RADIO
Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the 3.41-mile road course at Austin for the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Chase Elliott Under 38.5 Points. This is a high-risk prop because of how often Elliott wins and places well on road courses. Does he have the speed to keep up with his own teammates is the question as well? Now, the No. 9 has to lead quite a few laps if he does not place in the top three. Remember, on PrizePicks, leading a lap is only worth 0.01 points. This road course features just 68 laps (231 miles). That means Elliott would have to basically dominate the race. That does not seem likely based on the practice session on Saturday and simulators. Take the under here.
Joey Logano Over 31 Points. Logano finished second during the practice session just behind William Byron on Saturday. He did spin out but as he put it, the Team Penske driver wanted to overcook a little just to test his car out fully. Hopefully, Logano is right. That being said, his ability on-road tracks is well documented. The possibility of him qualifying near the front is high enough to look at the over realistically. Again, even a tenth is an automatic push here. A short race must have lowered the prop totals just enough. Take the over for Logano on Sunday.
William Byron Over 31.5 Points. The idea is to take risks and ride the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver's consistency. He has now finished in the top-10 in 11 consecutive races. This weekend at Austin could very well be at 12 given how well the No. 24 is running. Byron topped the practice session on Saturday and expects to be able to stay in the top ten. He just has to finish ninth or better. While Byron has not dominated a race as he did at Homestead, what he has done is consistently stay near the front. If he can do that again on Sunday, Byron will stay out of trouble and likely lead to another strong finish. Take the over.
Kyle Larson Over 32.5 Points. This is still low for Kyle Larson on Sunday as he seems to just adapt to any track thrown at the No. 5. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver could easily qualify in the top five again. Larson did not have any issues negotiating the track in sheets of rain. There expect to be some dry periods mixed with the rain later this afternoon. Larson projects well because of this chameleon-like ability. Also, the build from HMS carries the most speed and the best grip on a 20-turn track that definitely will bump a driver around. Take the over and do not be surprised if Larson even leads a few laps.
Christopher Bell Over 30.5 Points. Bell is an extreme-risk pick on Sunday. Think about it. A 10th is a hit here so basically Bell has to just finish top-ten without leading any laps. The latter part seems likely enough. Since Bell has shown an ability to drive well on the road courses, it is not unreasonable to project a good finish for the Joe Gibbs Racing driver. Again, the low amount of laps and mileage is something that benefits Bell. Our idea is to take the over here on Bell and ring in those dollars.
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