RADIO
Hello once again everyone! We head to the Auto Club Speedway for the Wise Power 400 this week and the second 2022 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 45 points, 2nd is worth 42, 3rd is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Kurt Busch Under 49.5 Points. This week we again start with an easy out err pick. Kurt Busch has to serve a penalty at the get-go and starts from far back. That is usually the kiss of death on a track like Fontana. Plus, the elder Busch may not have the car based on practice results anyway. Maybe someone confused Kurt with Kyle. Either way, the under seems to be a good way to go.
Chase Elliott Under 51.5 Points. The risk is palpable as this one is a close one too. Like Kyle Larson below, this could go very badly for us. The No. 9 car has a habit of making everything a little more interesting. Elliott could easily finish in the top-five or outside the top-ten here. The fact that he has not set a ton of fast laps in his short career on the track does not bode so well for the over. Take the under again.
Denny Hamlin Under 47.5 Points. The dicey nature of this one is fun. Hamlin could lead some laps here but has not finished in the top-five in three straight appearances. Could there be more unexpected results here at Fontana? It is plausible in a few cases. Hamlin, since 2016, has led just 16 laps in five starts. The No. 11 worries us about going too far over since his car may not be fast enough late in runs and could falter. Take the under yet again.
Kyle Larson Under 55.5 Points. The #5 driver hit the prop last week because the bar was set so low. This week will be much different as almost everyone expects him to dominate his nearly hometown track. Insert narratives here. What if Larson is not even the best Hendricks driver heading into this Sunday race? His car has been okay all week and he is starting 13th. It is not so easy to pass here. In order to set those fast laps and lead laps, that requires getting to the front early. That may not be so easy at least early on.
Austin Cindric Over 29.5 Points. This is probably far too bold. However, Cindric won the Daytona 500 last week and nabbed the pole for this week's race. At the very least, the Ford's have shown good, late speed in the Next-Gen practices so far. There is this hope that Cindric could lead a few laps, post a few fastest laps in the clean air. That is worth the thought process of hoping for more than 30 points.
Some other drivers to look at:
Kyle Busch (No prop?) -- Busch is off the board because he is so good here? What is the rationale? Hey, we have to ask because there was such a bet to be had here or several. With so many top-3 results and laps led, I guess someone got flat out scared in the props department.
Erik Jones (over 20.5 points) -- Sorry everyone again. The Jones could end up in the top-20 with ease here. He likes the track, qualified well again, and should be able to stay on the lead lap at the bare minimum.
Kevin Harvick (under 50.5 points) -- No one would be shocked if Harvick does not even come close here. Sure, it's possible. However, he banged his car up pretty hard too. Already, there were some issues with the #4 who starts 32nd this week. Too many obstacles seem to be there to overcome for a driver who might struggle early in 2022 much like 2021.
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