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Hello once again everyone! We hit the Kansas Motor Speedway for the Hollywood Casino 400 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Kyle Busch Over 35.5 Points. This week we again swing out during the second race of this third phase. The younger Busch could very well win this week and a group of us kind of think that he needs to. Martinsville has caused Busch some definite issues. There is opportunity. Busch has won once with several near misses over his last three seasons at Kansas. His laps-led percentage is just over 4%. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has gotten the downforce down on these low-maintenance tracks. The HP package is favorable for Busch on Sunday. He just has to avoid trouble. Take the OVER here and a likely top-five finish or better.
Ryan Blaney Under 33.5 Points. The risk is high here but Ryan Blaney seems like one of those forgotten drivers this week. Only Kurt Busch has more top-ten finishes at Texas in the last three years. Arguably, the time that the Team Penske car missed was when he had bad luck while running again among the top ten. Blaney is not among the 12 best active drivers when it comes to standings. It is tough to believe. Take the UNDER on Sunday and if this race goes into Monday, that may be longer.
Alex Bowman Over 30.5 Points. The idea is good enough again here. Bowman finishing outside the top ten is not a foregone conclusion because all the Hendrick Motorsports driver had to do was throttle it! The No. 48 sees his prop total at a nice, low total. This is one of those races which expects to start slow then build up to higher and higher success. Bowman may come close to a top-5 result on Sunday. This is even starting from the 25th position. It will not take long for Bowman to move up.
Kyle Larson Under 37.5 Points. The risk bit us last week and yet, we go to the well once again. The problem is that Larson will do anything to win a race. That becomes a double-edged sword. Sometimes it works for the props and other times it does not. Larson has to finish on the podium to prove us wrong. The chances he does are moderate at least but the chances he does not are as well. Larson could fall from the pole and pretty quickly. The No. 5 car just is s coin flip every week until the season ends. It is especially true this week even with his speed interval results on intermediate tracks. We take the UNDER here.
Kurt Busch Under 31 Points. This is nuts. Busch is right on the fence at 14th in driver average finish and that is you guessed it 11th among all current drivers. It should be intriguing to see if the No. 1 can get into the top ten on Sunday evening. Again, Busch does have four top-tens in his last seven attempts of the Kansa track. The best bet is to hedge and hope for a bit more attrition than usual. That means to roll the Numero Uno this week and take the UNDER.
Some other drivers to look at:
Christopher Bell (under 31.5 points) -- Things have not gone well for Bell at times and Sunday could be another one of those afternoons.
Martin Truex Jr. (under 33 points) -- Truex Jr.'s better tracks are coming up. Martinsville will be his chance to go for the win. This week is about survival and staying close.
Matt DiBenedetto (over 30 points) -- Sorry everyone again. DiBenedetto finished fourth here once upon a time caught the eye of many. A top ten result is pretty likely.
Chase Elliott (under 35 points) -- No one would be shocked if Elliott even ends up closer to the top ten. This may be a race where one gets twisted around often.
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NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
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