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Sunday afternoon features the Buschy McBusch 400 from Kansas Speedway. Brad Keselowski, William Byron, Michael McDowell, Kevin Harvick, and Matt DiBenedetto will make up the top five to start the race. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chase Elliott LESS 15.5 Fantasy Points and Ryan Blaney LESS 15.5 Fantasy Points
Elliott and Blaney are projected to be two of the lower fantasy point producers at Kansas on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
Elliott is just having one of those seasons where little goes right. He has some of the best results at Kansas in the last three years. Since Spring of 2018, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver has an average driver position of 6.17 -- best in NASCAR. The problem is getting there. He starts down in 17th on Sunday and leading laps may be an issue with drivers like Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin excelling on the Kansas Speedway. Elliott is a pocket driver and just seems to have issues getting into that sweet spot (top four or five) to make a difference in the final laps. He did it once and finished second. Sunday may be more difficult to pull this off.
For a driver like Ryan Blaney, he has a way of just lurking around. Will that be enough on Sunday as again Blaney is not likely to lead any laps. Basically, the Team Penske driver would have to finish fifth or better. The relatively good news is that he does start from the seventh position. Blaney's highest finish since early 2018 is, you guessed it, seventh. It seems that the No. 12 could again hang around but a top-five finish feels unlikely. It will be close, however. This one could go either way as Blaney's average finishing position is eighth among active drivers since 2018 on intermediate tracks like Kansas. Still, that is not good enough so take the less.
This all boils down to wrecks mostly (do watch for an isolated thunderstorm or two) but these two drivers tend to avoid the latter better than most which are good for the Buschy McBusch 400.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Denny Hamlin OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points, Martin Truex Jr. LESS 16.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is risky because of where the drivers start on Sunday in Kansas. For those that have not looked yet, Martin Truex Jr. starts from the 15th position on Sunday and Denny Hamlin begins 20th. That is no misprint.
Denny Hamlin evidently woke up on the wrong side of the bed last Sunday because he seemed to be mad at anything and everything. He played a pivotal role in several wrecks including one at the end of Stage 2 at Talladega that effectively ended his day and string of top-five finishes. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver wound up laps down and outside the top-30. Expect a different Hamlin this week as he races up the field into contention on Sunday. He may not win but a podium finish and some laps led would not surprise anyone. The driver has won three times at Kansas in the past.
These point totals become riskier when it comes to Martin Truex Jr. Can he lead a few laps and finish in the top five? It is quite possible given that Truex Jr. has finished in the top ten during five of the last six races at Kansas. However, the Buschy McBusch 400 may not be as kind as far as a top-five result. His laps led percentage is just 5.57% compared to 16.58% for Hamlin. That is why concern rises on that 16.5 point prop. Can the Joe Gibbs Racing driver overcome those odds? This becomes more and more difficult to risk as one thinks about it. Take the LESS here for Truex Jr on Sunday.
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