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Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy MLB DFS prop picks for Friday, June 23, 2023. Welcome back to our DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the MLB DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks - whether you think pitchers and hitters will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (ex: 3 picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win MLB DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people - you're just playing against the projections.
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MLB DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Today
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Zack Greinke 3.5 Strikeouts (LOWER)
Greinke faces a Tampa Bay team with a 115 wRC+ for the season and 108 for the last 30 days. Versus right-handed pitchers at home, the Rays have a 132 wRC+ for the season and a .206 ISO. Greinke has fanned less than four batters per game, on the road, for the 2023 season. His K rate for the season is 18%. I can't see him doing significant damage against the Rays in Tampa.
Bobby Witt Jr. 7.5 Fantasy Points (LOWER)
Versus right-handed pitchers on the road, for the season, Witt is slashing an anemic .211/.232/.358 with a 27.7% K rate and a 57 wRC+. Zach Eflin has a 25.5% K rate and a 2.9/3.17 FIP/xFIP for the season. In 19.2 innings pitched versus right-handed batters at home in 2023, Eflin has a 2.56/2.69 FIP/xFIP. I don't think Witt, Jr., will be getting a hit, let alone over 7.5 fantasy points.
Luis L. Ortiz 4.0 Strikeouts (LOWER)
Ortiz is facing a Marlins team trending up, with a 111 wRC+ for the last 30 days, up from 94. For the season, Ortiz has a 16.9% K rate with a 4.3 ERA but a 5.08 xFIP. The Marlins have four players with an OPS of over .900 versus right-handed pitchers at home this season. Ortiz is due some dingers, which could happen quickly tonight versus the Marlins.
Underdog Fantasy for June 23 (LOWER)
Bo Bichette 8.5 Fantasy Points (HIGHER)
Bichette is slashing .316/.345/.491 with 11 home runs and 38 RBI against right-handed pitchers in 281 plate appearances. He's going up against James Kaprielian, who has a 19.2% K rate for the season and a 5.82 xFIP. Versus right-handed batters, Kaprielian has an 18% K rate and a 6.21 xFIP. This game could get ugly quickly versus Bichette and the Blue Jays.
Luis Arraez 1.5 Total Bases (HIGHER)
As mentioned, this Marlins team is trending, with a 111 wRC+ for the last 30 days. The Marlins have four players with an OPS of over .900 versus right-handed pitchers at home this season. Versus left-handed hitters at home, Luiz Ortiz has a 6.94 xFIP and a 19.5% K rate. At home, Arraez has a batting average of .404, an on-base percentage of .457, and a slugging percentage of .505. He has also hit two home runs and 25 RBI. He will get to over 1.5 total bases tonight.
TJ Friedl 0.5 Singles (HIGHER)
Cincinnati has a 110 wRC+ and .199 ISO for the season. Smith-Shawver has a 2.03 ERA but a 4.78 xFIP. Versus right-handed pitchers for the season, Friedl is slashing .314/.379/.491 with four home runs, 50 hits, and 25 RBI. I'm expecting at least one single from Friedl, if not a few more.
Underdog Fantasy for June 23 (HIGHER)
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