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Welcome to the Divisional Round of MLB. The next week (and month) should be a very exciting one in MLB and we here at Rotoballer will provide some MKF picks to get you through the postseason.
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Let's take a look at some of today's contests.
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Star Shootout Late Games: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Tyler Glasnow less than 7.5 strikeouts and Walker Buehler less than 6.5 strikeouts
Glasnow certainly has the stuff to reach eight strikeouts in this game as he has reached this total in eight of his 11 starts this season, but the Yankees have been hitting the ball well lately. Over the previous two weeks, the Yankees are only posting a K rate of 23.7% vs. right-handers, which is ranked 11th-best in baseball. They are also walking at a rate of 15.5%, which is tops in baseball over that same span. While I think Glasnow will have success and be able to go roughly six IP in this game, the strikeout total might be just a bit high in this prop. For this reason, I also like the over 15.5 pitching out for Glasnow in the 3/3 More or Less Contest.
Buehler has only reached seven strikeouts in one of his eight starts in 2020 and will be facing a very good Padres lineup. Over the previous two weeks, the Padres are only striking out at a clip of 17.6% vs. right-handed pitching, which ranks sixth in baseball over the span. Buehler also faced these Padres once back on August 3rd and only managed to strike out three across his five IP.
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Yankees @ Rays: More or Less Contest
Tyler Glasnow less than 7.5 strikeouts and Deivi Garcia more than 4.5 strikeouts
Glasnow shows up in a couple of contests tonight (as does Walker Buehler) and I also like his counterpart in this contest, Devi Garcia. Garcia has managed to strike out at least six in all of his starts but one in 2020. He will be facing a Rays team that has been striking out quite a bit vs right-handed pitching recently. Over the previous two weeks, the Rays have a K rate of 29.4% vs. right-handers, which is third-worst in baseball. They are also only posting a SLG of .397, which is ranked 19th in baseball over that same span. Garcia should be able to go deep enough (he has gone at least six IP in all but two starts) to get over the hump here.
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