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Baseball season is underway and although there have been some bumps along the way, the show continues to move forward into the 2020 season. Of course, along with MLB 2020 season, comes MLB Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks. Be sure to check back here regularly to see which picks I am targeting on any given day.
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As it pertains to MLB on MKF, I like to start with pitcher strikeout totals and give a breakdown of my rationale on those first. Next, I will offer up some options to pair with the pitcher totals in case you want to dive into some 3/3, 4/4, or 5/5 type of contests. Thursday, August 13th presents a slate of 13 games for us to choose from. The first game we will examine is the Indians at Pirates.
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Indians @ Pirates: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Shane Bieber more than 6.5 strikeouts and Trevor Williams more than 3.5 strikeouts
Shane Bieber has been an absolute machine to start the season as he has 54 strikeouts in his first 34.2 IP. He has also struck out at least eight in every one of his starts this season. Tonight, he faces the Pirates who strike out at a clip of 24.4% vs. right-handed pitching, which ranks 13th-highest in the league. This prop total should likely be set to somewhere around 8.5, so get the 6.5 while you can.
Trevor Williams is not known as a high strikeout pitcher, but he has gone over this total in three of his four starts this season. The Indians have also not been great vs. right-handed pitching as they have posted a strikeout rate of 24.9%, which ranks 11th highest in the league. They also are not scoring vs. right-handed pitching as they have a wRC+ of just 80, so Williams should be able to keep himself in the game long enough to achieve the total in this contest.
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More or Less Contest - Carlos Santana more than 1.5 hits/walks
Carlos Santana more than 1.5 hits/walks - Here we are again looking at a Santana hits and walks prop. Santana has stayed in the groove as he has reached this prop in seven of his last 10 games. He has also posted 27 BB on the season, which leads the league, and is the main reason this prop is so attractive. He also has tremendous splits at PNC Park where he has an OBP of .425.
Dodgers @ Mariners: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Clayton Kershaw more than 5.5 strikeouts and Yusei Kikuchi more than 3.5 strikeouts
While Clayton Kershaw is not as dominant as he once was, he should be able to take down six Mariners tonight. He has managed to strike out at least six batters in every start thus far in 2020 and is going against a Mariners team that is not very good against left-handed pitching. The Mariners currently rank fifth-worst in the league with a 26.2% K rate vs. lefties and also rank 29th in wRC+ with a mark of just 65.
Kikuchi's prop total is a little tighter, but he should be able to achieve it as the Dodgers have also struggled vs. left-handers this season. They currently rank 16th-worst with a K rate of 22.4% and also rank 10th-worst in wRC+ with a mark of just 82. Kikuchi has also reached this total in two of his three starts and missed it the third time by just one strikeout.
More or Less Contest - Kyle Seager more than 1.5 total bases and Mookie Betts more than 1.5 hits/walks
Kyle Seager more than 1.5 total bases - Kyle Seager has been crushing left-handed pitching to begin the season as he currently boasts a 1.090 OPS with a HR and two doubles in just 19 AB. He also posted a .946 OPS vs. lefties in 2019 across 130 AB, so this could be a developing trend.
Mookie Betts more than 1.5 hits/walks - Mookie Betts has started the season very hot as he is currently boasting a .398 OBP. He has reached this total in six of his last 10 games as well. The Mariners pen is also one of the worst in the league, so he will have plenty of good spots to reach the total in this one.
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