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Although we have had some bumps along the way this MLB season, the show continues to move forward for the 2020 season. Of course, along with MLB 2020 season, comes MLB Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks. Be sure to check back here regularly to see which picks I am targeting on any given day.
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As it pertains to MLB on MKF, I like to start with pitcher strikeout totals and give a breakdown of my rationale on those first. Next, I will offer up some options to pair with the pitcher totals in case you want to dive into some 3/3, 4/4, or 5/5 type of contests. Friday, September 4th presents a big slate of games to choose from. We can look to attack the Cardinals at Cubs and Padres at Athletics.
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Cardinals @ Cubs: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Yu Darvish less than 7.5 strikeouts and Jack Flaherty more than 5.5 strikeouts
Yu Darvish has been electric thus far in 2020, but reaching eight strikeouts may be a tall task for him vs. the Cardinals tonight. In his last start vs. the Cardinals on August 18th, he managed to strike out seven, but the Cardinals have been solid vs. righties lately. In the previous two weeks, the Cardinals are only striking out 21.2% vs. right-handed pitching, which ranks 13th in the league. They have also been very patient at the plate as they are posting the highest BB rate vs. righties over the previous two weeks with a rate of 17.3%, which bodes well for the less than mark here.
Jack Flaherty has been eased along to begin 2020, but he finally reached the 83 pitch mark on August 29th vs. the Indians. He should be able to handle his normal workload at this point and that means going over the 5.5 total here. The Cubs have been awful vs. right-handed pitching the last two weeks as they are posting 23.3% K rate over that span.
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More or Less Contest: Paul Goldschmidt more than 1.5 hits/walks
Paul Goldschmidt more than 1.5 hits/walks: Goldschmidt has been hot all season and has been really cooking the previous seven days as he is batting .350 with four BB. He has reached this total in three of his previous seven games and two of his previous three. He will also get to face a Cubs pen that is currently posting a 5.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Padres @ Athletics: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Jesus Luzardo less than 5.5 strikeouts and Zach Davies more than 3.5 strikeouts
Jesus Luzardo has reached this total in his last two starts, but he will be going up against a different animal in the Padres' offense on Friday night. The Padres are only striking out at a rate of 19.4% vs. lefties over the previous two weeks, which ranks them sixth in baseball over that span. They are also posting a wRC+ mark of 139, which ranks them fifth overall. It is a tough matchup for Luzardo and that is why I like the less than here.
I am not quite sure why Davies total is set so low here. He has struck out at least four batters in every single start except one this season. He has actually reached five strikeouts in every game except that one as well, so the 3.5 is a bit puzzling. Couple that with the fact that Oakland is striking out at a rate of 27.7% vs. right-handed pitchers over the past two weeks (worst in the league) and you have a great recipe for success for Davies.
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