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The 2021 MLB Season is moving along nicely and we are having a ton of fun with pitcher strikeouts props so far. We will be here week in and week out offering up advice for some of the best prop picks in the industry with Monkey Knife Fight.
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Today, we will look at a couple of games including the Rangers at Tigers and Giants at Dodgers.
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Rangers @ Tigers
More or Less Contest
Mike Foltynewicz more than 4.5 strikeouts and Robbie Grossman less than 1.5 Hits + Walks
While the Tigers appear to be trending in the right direction in terms of K rate with a rate of 23.8% vs. right-handed pitchers, they were ranked the worst in baseball with a rate north of 30% just a few days ago. They have also been near the top of the K charts for most of the 2021 season and Folty has gone over this total in four of his previous five starts. This is a day game that also helps the over as you could see some different than normal lineups and players' biological clocks are typically a bit off for these games.
Robbie Grossman has failed to reach this total in seven of his previous 10 games. He also struggles vs. right-handed pitching as noted by his .210 average and .337 OBP as compared to his .277 average and .397 OBP vs. left-handed pitching. The fact that we like the over for Folty also plays into this selection.
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Giants @ Dodgers
More or Less Contest
Walker Buehler more than 6.5 strikeouts and Anthony DeSclafani more than 4.5 strikeouts
Currently, the Giants are striking out the 11th-most against right-handed pitching over the previous 10 games with a rate of 24.8%. Walker Buehler has managed to go over this total in four of his previous six starts, including a start against these Giants in which he struck out seven. Buehler also has 74 strikeouts in 7o innings pitched with a 2.31 ERA at home, so he should be solid in this one.
DeSclafani has managed to go over this total in six of his previous seven starts, including a start against these Dodgers in which he struck out six. While the Dodgers' K rate vs. righties over the previous 10 is sitting at 22.1%, it should be high enough for DeSclafani to go over 4.5. If the prop rises to 5.5 or above before you are able to play, I would then look at shying away.
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