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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 MLB season and alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props in which you determine if the pitcher in question will go over or under their projected strikeout total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat MLBP Totals
Kenta Maeda under 6.5 strikeouts - Maeda is set pretty high today considering he has yet to strike out seven on the season. He is facing an Oakland team that is striking out at a rate of 26.7% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days, which ranks ninth-worst in baseball. While this K rate is pretty high, Oakland is also on a 10-game winning streak and posting an outstanding wRC+ mark of 159 vs. righties over the last 10 days. Maeda may struggle a bit vs. this hot offense and the under seems like the correct play here.
Jose Urquidy over 5 strikeouts - Urquidy seems like his prop is set a bit low today as he has struck out 19 batters across 16 innings pitched on the season, including two games with seven strikeouts. He is facing a Colorado team that has been awful in the past 10 days against right-handed pitching. They have a K rate of 31.1%, which ranks last in baseball, and are also only posted a wRC+ mark of 38, which also ranks last in baseball. This is a great spot for Jose tonight.
Adrian Houser under 4 strikeouts - Houser has managed to strike out 4 just once this season and has yet to go over that total. He is not a high strikeout pitcher and has a tough matchup against a Padres team that is only striking out at a clip of 21.9% vs. right-handers over the last 10 days, which ranks fifth-best in baseball. They also just faced Corbin Burnes, one of the best young arms in baseball, so Houser's stuff should look mild in comparison.
Bruce Zimmermann under 4 strikeouts - This is a play on the idea that Zimmermann will not be able to go deep in this game and the fact that he went over four strikeouts in just one game this season, and it was his first start of the season. The Marlins offense has been solid vs. left-handed pitchers over the previous 10 days as they are posting a wRC+ mark of 141 across 117 PA, which is ranked sixth-best in baseball. They are also posting a walk rate of 10.3%, which is ranked 10th-best in the league over that span. They should be able to get to Zimmerman early and keep him from reaching the over in this one.
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