X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB DFS: DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (7/7/24) - Today's Top Lineups

Tarik Skubal - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Free daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for today's slate on DraftKings, FanDuel. Use Kevin's MLB DFS expert picks to build winning DFS lineups on July 7, 2024.

Happy Sunday, RotoBallers! I'm excited to be covering another DFS slate that's full of possibilities. It's a beautiful afternoon for baseball, and what better way to cap off the Fourth of July weekend than with a tournament takedown? Let's break down my favorite plays from today's slate!

We have some excellent matchups today. The pitching mix offers us few reliable aces, so we'll have to consider some riskier options, which will undoubtedly lead to interesting lineup decisions. I'll point out the standout plays, but there will be plenty of opportunity to get creative on today's nine-game main slate.

This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 7/7/2024 and the slate locking at 1:35 p.m. EDT. The lineup picks will range from some elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. Monitoring injury news and today's MLB starting lineups is also essential.

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Tarik Skubal vs. Cincinnati Reds ($10.5K DK, $10.7K FD)

Looking broadly at the pitching options on this slate, nobody else rivals Tarik Skubal. He is the only true ace available to roster today and ranks among the favorites for the American League Cy Young Award. Across 17 starts, Skubal sports an impressive 2.90 xERA and a 2.94 xFIP. That success includes limiting opposing hitters to a .214 xBA, .271 xwOBA, 32.1% hard-hit rate, and a .357 xSLG. Most importantly, Skubal has generated an outstanding 29.2% strikeout rate alongside a 32% whiff rate and a minuscule 4.9% walk rate.

The Cincinnati Reds don't represent the easiest matchup for opposing pitchers, but they are far from intimidating. They have plated a middling 4.3 runs per game on the season, including a generous 24.3% strikeout rate. The Reds are not particularly impressive against left-handed pitching either, posting a 97 wRC+ against southpaws. Elly De La Cruz can produce offense in many ways, but this Cincinnati lineup lacks firepower overall.

DJ Herz vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($7.8K DK, $8K FD)

A DJ Herz recommendation as the SP2 on this slate says a lot about today's pitching depth. There aren't many great options, so why not chase down an uncertain value arm with a slate-breaking ceiling?

Through six career starts, Herz sports a weak 4.67 ERA, though his 3.43 xERA and 3.19 xFIP suggest the rookie is due for positive regression. That said, the advanced metrics aren't the only reason to like rostering him. Herz has struck out opposing hitters at a 30.6% rate with a 31.3% whiff rate. The sample size is relatively small, but it does continue the dominant strikeout numbers Herz posted in the minor leagues. He has already demonstrated the ability to rack up double-digit strikeouts in separate outings this season, and if he can accomplish something similar today, Herz will more than pay off his salary.

The St. Louis Cardinals have picked it up offensively after their uncharacteristically slow start to the campaign. Still, the numbers aren't very pretty. The Cardinals are scoring just four runs per game on the season, and they have been particularly awful against left-handed pitching. St. Louis owns a 77 wRC+ against southpaws, the second-worst mark in baseball, alongside a .273 wOBA and a .115 ISO.

Also Consider: Nathan Eovaldi, Jose Soriano, Zack Littell

 

Want more MLB DFS tools and content? Our MLB Premium package includes our daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Research Station, Optimizer, and access to our Premium Discord Chatrooms, where members can chat with our MLB analysts. Win more with expert advice from proven winners!

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

CJ Abrams - SS, WSH vs. Kyle Gibson ($6.4K DK, $3.6K FD)

If you can afford the steep price tag, CJ Abrams is worth paying up for today. He carries a .280/.350/.506 slash line with 14 home runs and 14 stolen bases so far this season. The underlying metrics further legitimize Abrams' success, as he has generated a .291 xBA, .471 xSLG, and a 39.1% sweet-spot rate.

Kyle Gibson's middling 3.88 ERA does paint an honest picture of his performance this season. Underneath, he sports an uglier 4.82 xERA, which includes a 9.2% barrel rate, .438 xSLG, and a .343 xwOBA. Left-handed hitters are slugging .457 against Gibson this season, down from a .480 mark in 2023.

Colt Keith - 2B, DET vs. Graham Ashcraft ($3K DK, $2.9K FD)

Colt Keith is an excellent value play today. His .241/.285/.361 slash line isn't terribly impressive, but the rookie appears to be establishing himself against major league pitching. Keith has hit safely in four consecutive games, posting three multi-hit efforts and three home runs during that span. There is some recency bias in that justification. However, it's important to remember that Keith launched 27 long balls in the minor leagues last season and entered the 2024 campaign as the No. 22 prospect in all baseball. A continued breakout would not be surprising.

Graham Ashcraft ranks among the worst pitchers on this slate. Over 14 outings, he sports a weak 5.02 xERA and a 4.38 xFIP. His struggles this season include surrendering a .450 xSLG and a 44.3% hard-hit rate to opposing hitters. Left-handed hitters have been particularly effective versus Ashcraft, slugging .468 against him.

Brooks Lee - 3B, MIN vs. Spencer Arrighetti ($2.5K DK, $2.7K FD)

For even cheaper value, look no further than Brooks Lee. The 23-year-old made his major league debut this past week and wasted no time making a strong first impression. Heading into today, Lee has hit safely in all four games, generating seven hits, one home run and six runs batted in already. He is the second-ranked prospect in the Minnesota Twins farm system and the No. 13 prospect in all baseball, per MLB Pipeline. Lee's price tag is unlikely to stay this low for long, so enjoy it while you can.

The advanced numbers suggest that Spencer Arrighetti is due for positive regression, but it is hard to ignore how ugly the rookie's results have been. Through 15 starts, he sports a 6.13 ERA, a much less forgiving mark than his still-mediocre 4.24 xERA. While a 12.3% walk rate has been Arrighetti's biggest flaw, he has also been susceptible to power. Left-handed hitters are slugging .471 against him.

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Brandon Nimmo - OF, NYM vs. Quinn Priester ($4.9K DK, $3.3K FD)

Brandon Nimmo and the entire New York Mets offense look fantastic today. He sports a .810 OPS on the season with 13 home runs and posted a 1.003 OPS in June. Nimmo's success includes a 49.3% hard-hit rate, 11.6% barrel rate, 92.4 MPH average exit velocity, .469 xSLG, and an outstanding .374 xwOBA. He has already enjoyed a strong campaign, but Nimmo is also a positive regression candidate as we advance.

Quinn Priester will be a preferred pitcher to target on this slate. The 23-year-old is making his first appearance in roughly a month following an injured list stint, but with a rehab assignment under his belt, Priester should assume a full workload. He sports a weak 4.76 xERA across six appearances this season, down from a 6.28 xERA during his rookie campaign last year. Priester has been crushed by opposing hitters to the tune of a 52.2% hard-hit rate, 91 MPH average exit velocity, and a .463 xSLG. He is vulnerable to hitters of all handedness, though it's important to note that left-handed hitters are slugging .611 against Priester for his career.

J.D. Martinez - 1B/OF, NYM vs. Quinn Priester ($4.7K DK, $3.2K FD)

Continuing with the trend of New York Mets hitters, J.D. Martinez is another fantastic option. After missing the first chunk of the season, Martinez has made his presence felt. He carries a strong .828 OPS with 10 home runs and a 141 wRC+. His success consists of some spectacular batted-ball metrics, such as a .551 xSLG, 17.9% barrel rate, .278 xBA, 46.7% hard-hit rate, and a 90.8 MPH average exit velocity.

Taylor Ward - OF, LAA vs. Hayden Wesneski ($4.6K DK, $3.1K FD)

Taylor Ward is better than what his .237/.322/.421 slash line tells us. He has generated a .504 xSLG, 15.2% barrel rate, 91.1 MPH average exit velocity, 44.1% hard-hit rate, and a 364 xwOBA. That has resulted in 14 home runs and a 108 wRC+ so far, but Ward is due for bigger numbers.

Hayden Wesneski seems to finally be stretched out as a starter after hurling 89 pitches in his most recent outing. Still, his numbers haven't been encouraging, posting a 4.79 xERA across 50 innings pitched. That includes surrendering a 10.8% barrel rate and a .473 xSLG to opposing hitters. Right-handed hitters are slugging .473 against Wesneski in 2024.

 

DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks

1. New York Mets vs. Quinn Priester

2. Los Angeles Angels vs. Hayden Wesneski



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!






POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Carson Whisenhunt24 mins ago

Shines In Latest Start
Brady House38 mins ago

Heating Up At Triple-A
Marcelo Mayer49 mins ago

Goes Deep, Posts Third-Straight Multi-Hit Game
Zac Veen54 mins ago

Hits First MLB Long Ball
Chandler Simpson1 hour ago

Swipes First MLB Bag On Sunday
Logan Henderson1 hour ago

Strikes Out Nine In MLB Debut
Javier Sanoja5 hours ago

Hits First MLB Homer
Jake Irvin5 hours ago

Punches Out Nine In Solid Performance
Tyler Mahle5 hours ago

Keeps The Good Times Rolling On Sunday
Jesús Luzardo5 hours ago

Jesus Luzardo Impresses Against Former Club
Max Fried6 hours ago

Flirts With No-No In Fourth Win
Brice Turang6 hours ago

Notches Three Steals, Scores Three Times On Sunday
Rhys Hoskins6 hours ago

Stays Hot, Delivers Combo Meal On Sunday
Austin Wynns6 hours ago

Collects Six Hits, Six RBI In Monster Game
Kerry Carpenter10 hours ago

Leaves Game With Hamstring Injury
Jeffrey Springs10 hours ago

Leaves Start With Hamstring Tightness
Noelvi Marte10 hours ago

Tallies Five Hits, Drives In Seven
Scott Blewett11 hours ago

Traded To Atlanta
Justin Martinez11 hours ago

Unavailable Due To Fatigue
Agustín Ramírez11 hours ago

Agustin Ramirez Headed To Majors
Luis Arraez12 hours ago

Carted Off In First Inning
Jayden Daniels13 hours ago

Focused On Improving In 2025
Isaiah Stewart13 hours ago

Iffy For Monday Night
Aaron Gordon13 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Game 2
Gabriel Vilardi14 hours ago

To Remain Out For Game 2
Logan Thompson14 hours ago

Could Be An Option Monday
Martin Fehérváry14 hours ago

Martin Fehervary Iffy For Game 1
Tanner Jeannot15 hours ago

Remains Week-To-Week, Out For Game 1
Zeev Buium15 hours ago

Makes NHL Debut In Playoff Opener
Anthony Stolarz15 hours ago

Makes First Career Postseason Start
Oliver Ekman-Larsson15 hours ago

Good To Go Sunday
19 hours ago

Washington Hosts Tre Harris
NFL20 hours ago

Will Johnson Visits With Seattle
NFL20 hours ago

Devon Key Sticking With Denver
Yegor Sharangovich23 hours ago

Recovering From Broken Foot
Rasmus Andersson23 hours ago

Played With Broken Fibula
Semyon Varlamov23 hours ago

Expects To Be Ready For Next Season
Owen Power23 hours ago

Avoids Surgery
Rasmus Ristolainen24 hours ago

May Miss Start Of Next Season
Evander Kane24 hours ago

Close To Being Cleared For Action
Kyle Connor24 hours ago

Caps Off Three-Point Effort With Game-Winner
Nathan MacKinnon24 hours ago

Leads Avalanche To Game 1 Victory
Max Pacioretty2 days ago

Available For Playoffs
Jake McCabe2 days ago

Available For Sunday's Game 1
Oliver Bjorkstrand2 days ago

Will Not Play In Round 1
Matthew Tkachuk2 days ago

Logs Full Practice Saturday
Jonathan Drouin2 days ago

Available For Game 1
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Upgraded To Day-To-Day
Jaylen Brown2 days ago

Not Expected To Be Limited On Sunday
Irv Smith2 days ago

Houston Re-Signs Irv Smith Jr.
Ja Morant2 days ago

Cleared To Play Friday
Brandon Williams2 days ago

Available Against Grizzlies
Anthony Davis2 days ago

Will Play Friday Night
Gary Trent Jr.2 days ago

Available For Game 1 Against Pacers
Taurean Prince2 days ago

Returns To Bucks Lineup Saturday
NFL2 days ago

Justin Hardee Sr. Waived With Non-Football Injury
Isaiah Stewart2 days ago

To Return For Game 1
Ausar Thompson2 days ago

Available For Game 1
Rui Hachimura2 days ago

On Track To Play Saturday
Austin Reaves3 days ago

Ready To Go For Game 1
NFL3 days ago

Bills Release Armani Rogers, Branson Deen
Luka Dončić3 days ago

Luka Doncic Removed From Injury Report
LeBron James3 days ago

Listed As Probable For Game 1
Ben Sheppard3 days ago

Probable For Saturday's Game 1
NFL3 days ago

Kolton Miller Absent From Raiders' Voluntary Offseason Program
Kevin Durant3 days ago

To Houston Already Losing Steam
Lauri Markkanen3 days ago

Wants To Stay With The Jazz
NFL3 days ago

Ross Blacklock Let Go By New York
Bennedict Mathurin3 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 1 Saturday
Pascal Siakam3 days ago

Available For Playoff Opener
Tyrese Haliburton3 days ago

Returning From Two-Game Absence Saturday
Cade Cunningham3 days ago

Available For Game 1 Against Knicks
NFL3 days ago

Raiders Considering Drafting A Quarterback
Irv Smith3 days ago

Sticking With Texans
NFL3 days ago

Texans Expected To Draft Wide Receivers
Greg Dortch3 days ago

Returning To Cardinals
Mark Andrews3 days ago

Could Be Traded Soon
NFL3 days ago

Raiders, Falcons Could Have Interest In Jalen Ramsey
3 days ago

Raiders Are High On Ashton Jeanty
Rome Odunze3 days ago

To Hopefully Get More Involved
NFL3 days ago

Dolphins Could Draft A Quarterback
James Cook3 days ago

Could Stay Away From Voluntary Workouts
Jake Tonges3 days ago

Signs Exclusive-Rights Tender
Denver Broncos3 days ago

Broncos To Focus On RB Position In Next Week's Draft
Lucas Glover5 days ago

Looks To Rebound After Poor Performance
Daniel Berger5 days ago

Looking To Continue Solid Play At RBC
Sepp Straka5 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At RBC
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Looking To Shake Off Poor Masters At RBC Heritage
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Still Looking For Year's First Win At RBC Heritage
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Is An Intriguing Play At RBC Heritage
Shane Lowry5 days ago

Looks To Shake Off Poor Masters Sunday At RBC Heritage
Will Zalatoris5 days ago

Eyes A Bounce-Back At RBC Heritage
Gary Woodland5 days ago

Could Add Some Surprise At Hilton Head
Sam Burns5 days ago

Hoping For Better Times At RBC Heritage
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Still Trying To Put It All Together
Aaron Rai5 days ago

Might Be That Guy For Hilton Head
Robert MacIntyre5 days ago

All Or Nothing At RBC Heritage
Tom Hoge5 days ago

Still Playing Solid Heading To Hilton Head
Nick Dunlap5 days ago

Continues To Have Rough Stretch
Keegan Bradley5 days ago

Looks To Move On From Masters Performance
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At RBC Heritage
Patrick Cantlay5 days ago

A Strong Play At RBC Heritage
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

Targets Another Strong RBC Heritage Showing
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Eyeing Victory At RBC Heritage
Max Homa5 days ago

Breaks Through At The Masters