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MLB Daily Fantasy Lineup Picks - FanDuel Baseball Advice for 4/7/16

Today is one of those days that if you'd like to take advantage of the full suite of players to pick from for your roster, you better get after it the minute you sit at your desk this morning. Now, I'm not advocating that you neglect your day job, but I'm also not not saying to neglect it. You feel me?

FanDuel has broken down today's nine game slate into three groups - All Day (9 games), Early Only (5 games) and Late (3 games). As for any insight Vegas can provide us, it's a little early for a some of the lines as I write this, but a few teams with high expected run totals are the Cubs (5), Diamondbacks (4.6), Orioles (4.5), and believe it or not, the Reds (4.5).

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball MLB lineup picks for FanDuel on 4/7/16. The DFS lineup picks will range from high-priced to low-priced options and identify options who will out-perform their expectations, including sleepers and value plays on FanDuel.

 

DFS Lineup Stacks to Target for FanDuel

Orioles' right-handed hitters against Phil Hughes

Despite finishing on a relatively strong note, Hughes had stretches last season where it looked like he wouldn't record another out on the season. He had full month stretches with double digit ERA's to prove it. Most importantly, he allowed a .369 wOBA and .547 slugging percentage to right-handed batters in 2015. Tonight, he faces a lineup full of right-handed bats - many of which that hit for power - in a hitter's park. That should spell doom for Hughes and convert to cash for you, me and anyone else that stacks the Orioles in Camden.

Also Consider: Cubs and Diamondbacks

 

DFS Starting Pitchers to Consider for FanDuel

Selecting pitchers today sure is a lot tougher than my last write up earlier in the week, when there were aces and two-slot pitchers abound. If there is one silver lining to no obvious selection(s), it's that ownership percentages can be an afterthought when putting together your lineups.

John Lackey (SP, CHC) - $9,000

It definitely feels strange typing in 'CHC' after Lackey's name. It likely will for some time. Anyway, Lackey has what I would consider one of the better - speaking relatively to today's options, of course - and safer matchups of the day. He's not the strikeout pitcher that he once was, but he has great control, can pitch to his spots and perhaps most importantly for a game being played in Arizona - he keeps the ball in the yard. In fact, in 2015, he posted a better HR/9 (0.862) than any other pitching taking the bump today. The Diamondbacks are also a team that strikes out a fair amount more than the average (dating back to last year) and that should work in Lackey's favor.

Danny Salazar (SP, CLE) - $9,300

This is honestly one of the spots where I think we could see Salazar touted as one of the better cash game plays of the day, or one of the riskier tournament plays. I know I've gone back and forth, but I've landed on: tournament play. Things can certainly change over the course of the offseason, but the only numbers I have to base my decisions off right now are 2015 numbers. Last season, Salazar averaged over nine strikeouts per nine innings, but he also allowed more than a home run per nine, which is a bit scary for cash game consideration against a capable - and currently hot - Red Sox lineup. That said, his strikeout potential combined with my hunch that people shy away from him because of the Red Sox offensive successes the past two days means I'll have a few shares of Salazar in tournaments.

Also Consider: Nathan Eovaldi (SP, NYY) - $9,100 (cash) and Mat Latos (SP, CHW) - $6,200 (GPP)

 

DFS Infielders to Consider for FanDuel

Catcher (C)

Brian McCann (C, NYY) - $2,900

Catcher might be the position I'm least confident in for today. There aren't any guys with great splits against the pitcher arm side they're facing today, and a handful of those that have good pop are either facing a strong pitcher, playing in a pitcher's ballpark, or both. McCann fits the bill of a guy with relatively solid splits against right-handers, has strong career ISO numbers (.218 last season against RHP), and is playing in the confines of a very home run friendly stadium in the Bronx.

Yan Gomes (C, CLE) - $2,500

You probably wont have to worry too much about ownership percentages among catchers in tournaments, but if I had to pick one "sleeper" type today with a fairly high upside, it's Gomes. He handles right-handed pitching far better than he does southpaws, and usually finds himself slotted in the middle of the order when facing one. He's in a decent hitters' ballpark and has a matchup with Joe Kelly, he who allowed a .365 wOBA and .463 slugging percentage to right-handed batters last season.

First Base (1B)

Chris Davis (1B, BAL) - $3,700

Opposing pitcher Phil Hughes may have found his groove last September, but he was very prone to giving up long balls and big innings throughout the year. Take into consideration the fact that Davis mashed right-handed pitching last season to the tune of a .402 wOBA, .335 ISO and .588 slugging percentage, and you've found your first baseman for the day.

Also Consider: Mark Teixeira (1B, NYY) - $2,800 (GPP only)

Second Base (2B)

Jonathan Schoop (2B, BAL) - $2,400

I'm going to go back to the pick on Phil Hughes in a hitter's ballpark well and roster Schoop. He's got a lot of pop in that bat of his and does the majority of his damage when facing right-handed pitching. In 2015, he posted a .388 wOBA and .271 ISO when facing that side. That's a lot of value and a lot of upside for a player priced at just $2,400.

Also Consider: Jason Kipnis (2B, CLE) - $2,900 (cash)

Shortstop (SS)

Addison Russell (SS, CHC) - $2,400

The shortstop position today feels a lot like catcher. There are some top tier offensive talents - Correa, Lindor and Bogaerts, to name a few - but none of them have a matchup that I'd consider ponying up the cash for them for. With that in mind, I'm going to take a stab at Russell, despite him starting off the season cold. Russell handles right-handed hitting far better than he does lefties, and I think tonight is the night he gets it going. In 2015, Russell had a wOBA more than 100 points higher against RHP than LHP, and his .418 slugging percentage was pretty great for a rookie.

Third Base (3B)

Kris Bryant (3B, CHC) - $4,100

The third base options are quite the opposite that of the catcher and shortstop positions in that there are a number of attractive options. Dollar for dollar, Bryant is my favorite of the bunch. He's price fairly, and he draws a very favorable matchup against Ruby De la Rosa in Arizona - a great park for power hitters. Last season, Bryant hit right-handed pitching very well, as proved by his .376 wOBA and .213 ISO.

Also Consider: Manny Machado (3B, BAL) - $4,200

 

DFS Outfielders to Consider for FanDuel

Mark Canha (OF, OAK) - $2,500

Canha can do a lot of damage against right-handed pitching, especially when said pitching is prone to giving up deep fly balls that land in the bleacher seats. In 2015, he put up a .220 ISO and .493 slugging percentage against RHP.

Dexter Fowler (OF, CHC) - $3,100

I think Fowler fits well as part of a Cubs stack but can also make for a nice cash game play. He's moderately priced, hits at the top of the order of the team projected to score the most runs today, and despite his splits slightly favoring southpaws, he hits RHP well.

Miguel Sano (OF, MIN) - $3,300

Of the power hitting outfield options, I like Sano the best of the bunch. I'm a pretty big fan of Canha as well, but I think Sano has both the higher ceiling and floor. Sano faces a shaky starter in Ubaldo Jimenez and he had a pretty outstanding slash line against right-handed pitching last year with .251 ISO to boot.

Also Consider: Kyle Schwarber (OF, CHC) - $3,400; Jayson Werth (OF, WAS) - $2,800 and David Peralta (OF, ARI) - $3,600

 

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