X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB Betting Picks for Saturday 8/07 - Moneylines, Totals, and Runlines

Julio Urias - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Well, what a day we had yesterday! The Braves beat the Nationals and all three of our picks hit (+100, +100 and -133) before the A's made us sweat but Starling Marte came up clutch with a walk-off homer to bag us the -127 pick as well. Kyle Gibson failed to reach six strikeouts as we expected but unfortunately, Caleb Smith was knocked out of the game early so couldn't hit the over himself. But still, 3.82 units of profit on 5.5 units of outlay which is a 169% return. It was certainly nice to be on Lady Luck's good side for a change.

Before we begin, I want to remind you that gambling should be fun. When the fun stops, stop. Never bet more than you're willing to lose. I'm no professional gambler, just a guy who loves the game and likes a bet. But I'll still be giving 100% in my research to make us some money. Everything I put here, I'll be backing myself so we're in this together. I'll also be keeping track of only my picks so I don't drag down the numbers from my colleagues.

We have been really increasing our sports betting content at RotoBaller, and this year will be no different. Daily articles covering a range of picks are available and you can always hit up any of the team on Twitter (@BellRoto, @stevejanik6@LucidMediaDFS@kipppsta, @MarkStrausberg@Mark_Kieffer@ThunderDanDFS and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo). Let's make some money and have fun. but remember, please gamble responsibly!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

2021 MLB Betting Picks

  • Moneyline Record: 6-9 (-3.60 U)
  • O/U Record: 10-13-1 (-2.55 U)
  • Runline Record: 3-6 (-0.35 U)
  • 1st 5 Innings Record: 6-13 (-5.37 U)
  • Prop Record: 18-17 (+1.23 U)

 

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

O/U: 10.5 | Moneyline: PIT +155, OAK -180

PIT: Mitch Keller | CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez

The Reds comprehensively took Friday night’s game 10-0 after a seven-run first inning. Thursday night was a similar story when the Reds took game one of the series 7-4 after taking a seven-run lead in the second inning before the Pirates put up four runs in the fifth but ultimately couldn’t mount an unlikely comeback.

The Reds are 8-2 over their last ten games and are now just 2.5 games out of an NL wildcard spot. They’re also now 7-1 against the Pirates this year and have scored 68 runs in those eight games (8.5 per game), while scoring ten or more in four of their prior contests.

Last night’s loss leaves the Pirates with a 41-69 record (second-worst in the NL) and an 18-39 record on the road. Their -166 run differential is the second-worst in MLB and their 400 runs scored is fewest in the Majors. I’m not expecting things to get any better for them tonight.

Keller will be making his 14th start for the Pirates this year and comes into today with a 7.05 ERA (52.1 IP). He’s failed to get through more than five innings in any start this year and after being optioned back to Triple-A in June, this will be his second start since his return to the Majors. His last start was Sunday in which he allowed four earned runs in five innings against the Phillies.

Keller has faced the Reds once already this season and completed just 3.1 IP while giving up seven earned runs. Gutierrez has yet to face the Pirates and will look to build on his last two starts in which he’s tallied 13.1 IP and allowed just three runs (against the Cubs and Mets). His 4.39 ERA on the year is solid enough but his 5.68 xFIP and 5.51 SIERA do suggest regression is likely.

Even if the Pirates manage to score some runs against the Reds rookie starter, the Reds offense should still be far too much for Keller and the Pirates. Since the All-Star Break, the Pirates have an 84 wRC+ which is 29th in MLB while the Reds 120 wRC+ is second best.

The total run line is set pretty high at 10.5 and even the first five innings is set at 5.5. Whilst both are appealing, I can see the Reds scoring a bunch of runs but shutting out the Pirates again winning by a scoreline of something like 8-0. However, it’s difficult for me to see the Pirates scoring enough runs that if the Reds offense only put up four or five runs, the over could still hit. So I’m sticking to another comprehensive Reds win.

Pick: Runline - Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+100) 2 Units

 

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

O/U: 8 | Moneyline: ARI +250, SDP -290

ARI: Taylor Widener | SDP: Yu Darvish

Despite being 9-9 since the All-Star Break, the Padres offense has been productive, with a 114 wRC+ which ranks fifth in the Majors. That’s largely in part to them putting up 41 runs in their first three games of the season’s second-half but they have scored 25 runs in their four games this month and 49 in their last ten games (4.9 per game).

The Diamondbacks have the worst record in MLB (35-76) but did take game one of the series on Friday night 8-5 and have now scored 24 runs in their five games this week (4.8 per game). These two have played each other ten times now this year and have combined for 102 runs in their games (10.2 per game) while their last five contests have totaled 64 runs (12.8 per game).

Widener will be making his tenth start of the season and he has a 5.05 ERA from his previous nine outings. He did face the Padres back on April 04th and threw six shutout innings but has allowed five runs in each of his last three starts (12.2 IP). Two of those three starts came against the Rangers and Pirates so has struggled against teams much less potent than the Padres.

Darvish meanwhile has struggled lately too with a 7.36 ERA since July 01st (five starts). His last start prior to that run came against the Diamondbacks and saw Darvish go 6.0 IP while allowing just one earned run, so he'll be hoping to get back on track today and give the Padres beleaguered rotation a much-needed boost.

Given the way both starting pitchers have been recently and how many runs these two teams have scored in their contests this year, the total runs line looks a little light. The Padres can run up a big score on any given day and the Diamondbacks offense has at least been respectable this year. We'll take over eight runs knowing it's a wash if the eight total runs are reached.

Pick: Total runs - Over 8 (-105) 1.5 Units

 

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: LAA +250, LAD -320

LAA: Jaime Barria | LAD: Julio Urias

Last week the Angels bagged us an easy win when we took the under in their game against the A's. That was largely in part due to Barria and how the odds looked like they were set because he had a 6.23 ERA. If you remember, I pointed out that his ERA was due to his relief appearance on April 10th in which he allowed seven runs in two innings. That prompted a demotion to the Minor Leagues and Barria has since returned as a starter.

Following his recall, Barria went 7.0 IP and allowed just two runs, then last weekend he shut out the A's over 6.2 IP and now comes into this game with a 4.12 ERA. For the Dodgers, Urias continues to flourish and has a 3.40 ERA over 22 starts while having a career-high 129.2 IP. In his six starts since July 01st, Urias has a 1.98 ERA and the only time he gave up more than one run in any of those starts came at Coors Field.

Offensively, the Dodgers haven't quite hit the heights expected of them and rank 10th in wRC+ (106) since the All-Star Break. That's considerably better than the Angels who rank 28th in wRC+ (86) in that time frame. The Angels did manage to take game one last night, beating the Dodgers 4-3 in ten innings.

The Angels have only scored 78 runs in 21 games (3.71 per game) since the All-Star Break as they continue to struggle without Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon and Jared Walsh. The Dodgers have played 19 games since the All-Star Break, scoring 94 runs (4.95 per game). They did score 24 of those runs in three games at Coors field and without that series, they've averaging 4.38 runs per game in that timeframe.

Both starting pitchers have been good, Urias over a full season while Barria has impressed in his two starts. The Dodgers have been good offensively, not great while the Angels have really struggled without so many key players and although the total run line is a bit low, I still feel confident enough that it hits.

Pick: Total runs - Under 8.5 (+100) 1 Unit



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Drake Maye5 hours ago

Shows Flashes In Two-Touchdown Effort
CeeDee Lamb6 hours ago

Eclipses Triple-Digit Yardage Sunday
Jalen McMillan6 hours ago

Extends Touchdown Streak Against Cowboys
George Kittle7 hours ago

Goes Over 100 Receiving Yards In Week 16
Deebo Samuel Sr.8 hours ago

Busts Out Of Funk In Loss To Dolphins
Justin Jefferson8 hours ago

Torches Seahawks Secondary In Victory
James Cook8 hours ago

Scores Twice In Week 16
Brian Thomas Jr.9 hours ago

Dominant Once Again In Week 16
Keenan Allen9 hours ago

Finds The End Zone, Erupts For 141 Receiving Yards Week 16
Brock Bowers9 hours ago

Rebounds With Another Huge Day
Caleb Williams10 hours ago

Throws For 334 Yards In Loss To Lions
David Njoku10 hours ago

Goes For Eight Catches, 66 Yards In Week 16 Loss
Jerome Ford10 hours ago

Runs For 92 Yards, TD In Week 16
Jaxon Smith-Njigba11 hours ago

With Monster Day In Week 16
Carlos Pérez11 hours ago

Carlos Perez Heads To Chicago On Minor-League Deal
Austin Adams11 hours ago

Agrees To Minor-League Deal With Boston
Miami Marlins11 hours ago

Starlyn Caba Traded To Miami
Robert Garcia11 hours ago

Shipped To Texas
Nathaniel Lowe12 hours ago

Traded To Washington
Kyren Williams12 hours ago

Posts Another Big Line In Rams' Road Win
Kenneth Walker III12 hours ago

Unlikely To Return On Sunday
A.J. Brown12 hours ago

Leads The Way Versus Washington
Chuba Hubbard13 hours ago

Leads The Way In Overtime Victory
Zay Flowers13 hours ago

Nelson Agholor Pick Up DNPs On Sunday
Justice Hill13 hours ago

Absent In Sunday's Practice Estimation
Ja'Marr Chase13 hours ago

Tallies 16th Score Of The Season
Linus Ullmark13 hours ago

Red-Hot Ahead Of Meeting With Oilers
Pyotr Kochetkov13 hours ago

Achieves Rare Feat In Sunday's Win
Sebastian Aho13 hours ago

Scores Third Goal In Four Games
Michael Amadio14 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
Mackenzie Blackwood14 hours ago

Takes On Kraken Sunday
Matt Rempe14 hours ago

Slapped With Eight-Game Suspension
Joel Embiid15 hours ago

To Return On Monday
Trey Lyles15 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Keegan Murray15 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Domantas Sabonis15 hours ago

Uncertain For Sunday
Moritz Wagner15 hours ago

Suffers ACL Tear
Jesús Luzardo21 hours ago

Phillies Acquire Jesus Luzardo From Miami
Codi Heuer22 hours ago

Signs Minor-League Contract With Texas
Bryan Shaw22 hours ago

Agrees To Minor-League Deal With Cincinnati
Eric Lauer22 hours ago

Inks Minor-League Deal With Toronto
Eric Pardinho22 hours ago

Signs With Toronto
Los Angeles Dodgers23 hours ago

Dodgers Exploring Alternative Right-Handed Batters
Mark Stone23 hours ago

Tallies Three Points In Saturday's Victory
Patrik Laine23 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Three Games
Nico Hischier24 hours ago

Busy In Saturday's Victory
Connor Hellebuyck24 hours ago

Posts Fourth Shutout Of The Season
Quinn Hughes24 hours ago

Posts Three-Point Game In Saturday's Loss
Bo Horvat24 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Two Helpers In Victory
Moritz Wagner1 day ago

Won't Return On Saturday
Dalano Banton1 day ago

Won't Play On Saturday
Royce O'Neale1 day ago

Moves Into Starting Five
Jaden Ivey1 day ago

Available On Saturday
Anthony Gose1 day ago

Mets Sign Anthony Gose To Minor-League Contract
Corey Julks1 day ago

White Sox Designate Corey Julks For Assignment
Paul George1 day ago

Cleared To Play On Saturday
Alex Bregman1 day ago

Mets Showing Interest In Alex Bregman
Giannis Antetokounmpo1 day ago

Now Out On Saturday
Cam Booser1 day ago

Traded To Chicago
Draymond Green1 day ago

Expected To Suit Up Saturday
Slade Cecconi1 day ago

Traded To Cleveland
Moses Moody1 day ago

Out Versus Minnesota
Joel Embiid1 day ago

Resting Versus Cleveland
Jalen Suggs2 days ago

Unavailable Saturday
Keyonte George2 days ago

Won't Face Nets Saturday
Khris Middleton2 days ago

Cleared To Face Washington
Giannis Antetokounmpo2 days ago

Not Expected To Play On Saturday
Carlos Santana2 days ago

Inks One-Year Contract With Cleveland
Josh Giddey2 days ago

Out Versus Boston
Trae Young2 days ago

Unavailable Against Memphis
Dorian Finney-Smith2 days ago

Ruled Out Against Utah
Josh Naylor2 days ago

Traded To Arizona
Ilya Samsonov2 days ago

Starts Versus Kraken Saturday
Leevi Merilainen2 days ago

Starts For Senators Saturday
Cam York2 days ago

Re-Enters Flyers Lineup Saturday
Lars Eller2 days ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Auston Matthews2 days ago

Unavailable Saturday
Roman Josi2 days ago

Returns To Action In Overtime Win
Junior Fernández2 days ago

Royals Sign Junior Fernandez To Minors Deal
Hagen Danner2 days ago

Blue Jays Designate Hagen Danner For Assignment
Fernando Cruz2 days ago

Yankees Acquire Fernando Cruz, Alex Jackson From Reds
Mikko Rantanen2 days ago

Tallies Two Helpers, Extends Point Streak On Friday
Nathan MacKinnon2 days ago

Tallies Three Points On Friday
Charlie Lindgren2 days ago

Sharp On Friday

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Drew Lock - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

10 Worst QB Performances From Week 16, Including Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Week 16 brought a mixed bag of quarterback performances. The Saturday games were excellent, but Sunday brought puzzling quarterback play. Particularly, Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson struggled mightily in Week 16. Many quarterbacks are playing for their 2025 roster spots and starting jobs right now. Some of the guys on this list are not doing […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 17: Kendre Miller, Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Michael Carter, Audric Estime

Congratulations to those of you who are constructing rosters in Week 17. You have maintained your highest level of flexibility while navigating through injuries, bye weeks, production-inhibiting coaching decisions, and other unwanted developments that emerged during the season. Now your diligence has placed you at the threshold of capturing your league's championship. Winning your league […]


Calvin Austin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Top Fantasy Football WR Adds for Week 17 Include Hollywood Brown, Wan'Dale Robinson, Calvin Austin III, Olamide Zaccheaus

This is it. Unless you're in some weird league that plays in Week 18, this upcoming week is the finals for your fantasy league. If you're still alive, it's you against one other person for the fantasy championship. With this week being the final chance for you, we're narrowing the focus of our wide receiver […]


Trey McBride - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers, Tight End

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Najee Harris, Brian Robinson Jr., Cooper Kupp, Khalil Shakir, Trey McBride, more

The 16th Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Gus Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, Tyjae Spears, Chig Okonkwo, Kayshon Boutte

With fantasy football leagues into their postseasons, Week 16 gave us a lot of stunning performances. One such outing came from rookie sensation Jayden Daniels. The Washington quarterback passed for 258 yards and five touchdowns, and he added 81 more yards on the ground to spur the Commanders to victory. Vikings superstar wideout Justin Jefferson […]


Jalen Hurts - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Sunday Injury Report: Updates for Jalen Hurts, Kenneth Walker III, James Conner, And More

All told the Week 16 injury report was fairly light. This was good to see as you never want a playoff matchup to be decided because of injuries. We did have several players leave games early, but luckily for fantasy owners, most posted respectable games before leaving. Unfortunately, one star quarterback was injured and let […]


Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Monday Night Football Props for Week 16

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for the Week 16 Monday Night Football slate! The 2024 NFL season is moving into the winter months, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of […]


Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 17 Waiver Wire Pickups (QB, RB, WR, TE): Free Agent Adds Include Bryce Young, Kendre Miller, Trey Benson, Jalen McMillan, Dalton Schultz, Chig Okonkwo

Welcome to our Week 17 fantasy football waiver wire pickups article for the 2024 season. There is officially one week left. We are in Championship Week. There's no more hoarding handcuffs or anything like that. They don't matter anymore. The rules change completely in Championship Week. You should be focused on setting the most potent […]


Bryce Young - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Waiver Wire Express - Week 17 Lightning Round Including Kendre Miller, Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Olamide Zaccheaus, Dalton Schultz, Bryce Young, more

Allow us to extend a congratulatory handshake for making it through Week 16 as we press onto the championship week(s) to come. Most of you have no more bye weeks to hide behind as it's all hands on deck in pursuit of a title. Let's start our push to the podium with our fantasy football […]


Jared Goff - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

NFL Week 16 Fantasy Football Weather Report

Congratulations! You made it to the fantasy football semifinals AND we're less than one week away from Christmas! But that also means the weather continues to take a turn for the worse. And in the NFL, weather can significantly impact games, particularly as we head into the colder months of the season. In this article, […]


Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Saints vs. Packers MNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Jordan Love, Kendre Miller, Josh Jacobs, Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, and more

The final game of Week 16 and the fantasy football semi-final slate is a total mismatch on paper, yet it could still be crucial to fantasy managers trying to reach the championship round of their league. Read our Monday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Saints vs. Packers game to help make any fantasy […]


Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans - Tampa Bay Bucs, Fantasy Football

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Sunday Night Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Baker Mayfield, Cooper Rush, Rico Dowdle, Mike Evans, CeeDee Lamb, and more

We are well into the fantasy football playoffs and we have an excellent matchup for Sunday Night Football between two teams who are capable of providing offensive fireworks, as the Tampa Bay Bucs and Dallas Cowboys are set to square off in a Week 16 primetime matchup. Led by Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans, the […]


James Conner - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 16 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Week 16! This Week 16 matchups analysis and Start 'Em, Sit 'Em will help you make the right lineup decisions in the second round of the fantasy football playoffs.  With only two weeks left in most fantasy leagues, a championship title is within reach. […]