RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 400
CURRENT ADP: ~430 overall
ANALYSIS: Things went horribly for Yastrzemski last year, as he had the worst year of his young career by far, slashing .214/.305/.392. His career line now sits at .242/.326/.465 - so that itself is enough reason to believe in a bounce-back campaign is on the horizon.
He was also a hitter the league liked to shift on (81%), so there will be more space for base hits in 2023 in this case as well. His HR/FB dropped to 10.6% last year, well below his career mark of 14.9%, and the BABIP was also quite low at .261.
What we have seen from Yas every year he's been in the bigs is a lot of fly balls (45% career) and a good barrel rate (10.6%). The guy can hit the ball hard in the air, and he doesn't strike out a ton either (25%).
There are some concerns with the playing time now that Mitch Haniger and Michael Conforto have arrived, but you won't find too many more injury-prone outfielders than those two names, and Yastrzemski is still Roster Resource's pick for starting centerfielder on this team even with all of that going on. There should be enough playing time here to give Mike the chance to massively beat this pick 430 ADP, so I'm in on him as a reserve outfielder.
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