BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~110 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~133
ANALYSIS: The Chiefs wanted to add more speed on offense when they drafted Hardman in 2019. The raw speed combined with Kansas City’s scheme intrigued a lot of fantasy gamers last off-season. From a pure counting stat perspective, Hardman produced just 26 receptions for 538 yards and six touchdowns, posting 50 yards or more in just four games and zero contests with five or more receptions.
There are some indicators that we can hitch our wagon to for this season. With limited opportunities last year, Hardman was able to generate production by creating yards after the catch. As a matter of fact, 55.01 percent of his production came from yards after the catch with spikes in weeks three, eight, and ten. This is something to note, considering he’s entering his second season in a high volume passing offense, which means opportunity and game script could allow him to see an increase in targets leading to more opportunities to burn defenses with his speed.
In the four games when Tyreek Hill was out of the lineup (and he got injured in training camp a few days ago, just in case), Hardman did his best work, accumulating 12.2 PPR fantasy points per game, compared to the 5.7 fantasy points per game with Hill in the lineup.
We are seeing the 22-year-old getting selected with a 133 ADP, which is to say the WR51 off the board. Being a young, talented wide receiver playing in one of the most explosive offenses in the history of the NFL isn’t being accounted for in his overall price tag. Hardman is a mid-to-late-round flier who could pay huge dividends if he takes a step forward in his development or if he sees an increased role on offense due to injury, which at least for the start of the year could very well happen while Hill fully recovers.
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