BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~60 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~89
ANALYSIS: Can somebody explain Marvin Jones Jr.'s ADP to me? Simply put, it has me completely lost. Sure, Jones was a little bit bouncy last season from week to week, but even with that, the gap in ADP between Jones (~89) and Kenny Golladay (~25) is massive. Not only that but when comparing his projections it makes even less sense: PFF projects Jones to reach 212+ PPR in 2020 and Golladay to 250+. Jones would be the WR21 and Galladay the WR7. Sure, Golladay is the better player, but not the better value, and it is not even close. We're looking for sleepers and undervalued receivers here and the ROI (ADP vs. fantasy points) returned by Jones is much higher than that of Golladay.
Let me hand you some interesting takeaways from PFF projections just so you get a grasp of his value: Jones in the only WR projected to get 212+ PPR with an ADP above 66 (Jarvis Landry); only Jamison Crowder (112) projects to get more targets than Jones (112) among those with an ADP above 88; Jones is one of only 11 WRs projected to finish 2020 with 110+ targets, 70+ receptions, 1,000+ yards, and 7+ TDs (all of the rest have ADPs below 35, more than two times as higher as Jones').
All of that at the sweet ADP of 89. There is no WR2 in the NFL that has the upside to reach better numbers than Jones in 2020 other than perhaps Mike Evans/Chris Godwin and Jarvis Landry/Odell Beckham Jr., depending on how you order them in their offenses. And again, those are currently being drafted at ADPs between 18 (WR6) and 67 (WR29) compared to Jones' ADP of 89 and WR36... while projecting to finish 2020 as the WR21 (low-end WR2 with upside to enter the WR1 realm if Golladay drops in production/usage). Now tell me Jones is not a clear bargain everybody is sleeping on these days.
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