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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday September 21st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Marlins
The Cubs take on the Marlins on Wednesday September 21st at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (63-85) vs. Miami Marlins (61-88)
- Date: Wednesday September 21st, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Marlins
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Chicago Cubs come into this road contest vs Miami, with a below .500 record (63-85). In the NL Central division standings, the team ranks 3rd. Chicago will be looking to improve their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 31-41 away from home. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated Miami by a score of 2-1. Currently, Chicago has a below .500 record in their 48 series, coming in at 18-24-6.
Cubs starter Marcus Stroman comes into the game with a record of just 4-7. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 3.76. So far, Marcus Stroman has put together a WHIP of 1.17. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .237. So far, Marcus Stroman has a SLG% allowed of .382, including giving up 14 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 20.0% of the batters he's faced.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Chicago, as they are the 23rd-ranked scoring team, averaging 4.01 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 13th in runs scored through 4 innings. So far, the Cubs have combined for a team batting average of .240, placing them 19th in the league. For the season, 34.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging 1.00 home runs, placing them 18th. Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard hit rates in the MLB at 36.8%. Chicago's overall OBP of .311, puts them 19th in the league. While their current wOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Chicago, the Marlins have a record of just 61-88. This places the team 4th in the NL East division. The Marlins will need a win in today's game to improve their record at LoanDepot park (30-44) above the .500 mark. In their previous games, Miami lost by a score of 2-1 to the Cubs. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 49 series, coming in at 12-30-7.
Jesus Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins with a below .500 record at 3-7. Currently, Luzardo's ERA is 3.64. Jesus Luzardo has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.08. Currently, opponents are batting just .193 against the left-hander. So far, Jesus Luzardo has a SLG% allowed .339, including giving up 8 home runs. For the season, Luzardo has picked up 92 strikeouts on a K rate of 28%.
Miami's offense comes into this game averaging just 3.58, placing them 28th in the MLB. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 27th in runs scored through 4 innings. The Marlins combined batting average currently sits at .230, placing them 24th in the league. This includes batting .282 over their last 3 games. In addition, the team's lineup has had problems hitting for power, ranking just 24th in the league at .89 home runs per contest. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .363. Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of just .294, placing them 27th in all of baseball. While their WOBA of .290 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Miami, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -120 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 54.55%. The MLB predictive model shows to today's best bet being the Cubs to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take Chicago on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs Moneyline
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