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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday September 19th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Marlins
The Cubs take on the Marlins on Monday September 19th at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (62-83) vs. Miami Marlins (59-87)
- Date: Monday September 19th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Marlins
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
- BetMGM Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Chicago Cubs take on the Miami hoping to improve on their record of just 62-83, placing them 3rd in the NL Central division. The Cubs will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (30-40). In their previous games, the Cubs lost by a score of 4-3 to Colorado. To start the year, Chicago has picked up just 18 series wins, going 18-24-5.
Chicago pitcher Wade Miley gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 1-0. Through 6 outings, Miley has an ERA sitting at 2.89. On average, Miley is allowing 1.14 base runners per inning (WHIP). Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .204 against him. Across his previous outings, Miley has a SLG% allowed of .282. In total, he has given up 1 home run. Heading into the game, he has struck out just 20.0% of the batters he's faced.
On offense, Chicago has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 4.04 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 13th in runs scored through 4 innings. The Cubs' combined batting average currently sits at .241, placing them 17th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.11 hits. In terms of home runs, Chicago ranks 18th, averaging 1.00 home runs per contest. Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 36.7%. To date, Chicago has the MLB's 18th rated OBP, sitting at .312. So far, the team has a walk rate of 8.2%.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs Chicago with a below .500 record (59-87). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Miami will be looking to pick up a win at home, as they are currently 29-43 at LoanDepot park. In their last game, Miami picked up a 3-1 win over the Nationals. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 12-30-6.
Starting for the Marlins will be Edward Cabrera, with an overall record of 5-3. Cabrera boasts an outstanding ERA of 2.70. Cabrera's WHIP of just 1.08 compares favorably to other MLB starters. So far, Edward Cabrera has a SLG% allowed .304, including giving up 8 home runs. Heading into the game, Cabrera has struck 26.0% of the batters he's faced. Walks have been a problem for Edward Cabrera as his BB/9 figure is 4.5.
Miami's offense comes into this game averaging just 3.56, placing them 27th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at -106. Together, the Marlins offense has the 26th ranked batting average, at .229. For the season, 33.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just .88 deep shots per game (25th). Throughout the season, Miami has struggled to get on base, ranking 27th in OBP (.293). While their WOBA of .289 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Miami, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -138 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 57.98%. The MLB predictive model shows today's best bet being the Cubs to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take Chicago on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs Moneyline
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