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Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Marcus Semien is a 2021 fantasy baseball draft value. His ADP is undervalued, making him a potential draft bargain and late-round sleeper to target.
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 110
CURRENT ADP: ~131 overall
ANALYSIS: If you look at his expected batting average from 2020, Marcus Semien should have theoretically performed worse than he actually did (.223), which suggests he was somewhat lucky. But then you look at his .260 BABIP last year which was both a career-worst and over 30 points lower than his career average, which suggests he was somewhat unlucky. For 2021 ATC projects Semien to have a .256 average and there is obviously the potential to significantly surpass that mark. Semien's power output should benefit from playing at Dunedin with Toronto, where the Blue Jays will start the season playing home games. But managers shouldn't get excited about another potential 30-homer campaign. Instead, look for him to hit 20 to 25 home runs to go along with his usual ~10 steals. And with a lineup around him that includes George Springer, Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Cavan Biggio, Semien should have little trouble reaching 80 runs and 80 RBI.
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Another added bonus to the move to the Blue Jays is what should be a rather quick addition of second base eligibility as he is slated to start at the keystone position. Currently Semien has an ADP of 131, even if he does not regain his 2019 form managers should consider grabbing Semien earlier in their drafts.
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