BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~157 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~172
ANALYSIS: It makes sense why Green Bay Packers tight end Luke Musgrave is going as late as he is in drafts. He wasn't a fantasy option in his first year after missing six games due to a lacerated kidney. He also faces an uphill battle for targets with Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, and Tucker Kraft all seeing plenty of chances in the passing game.
Before his injury in Week 11, Musgrave caught at least four passes or totaled at least 50 yards in seven of 10 games. He also scored at least eight PPR fantasy points in six of those 10 contests. Again, he wasn't a fantasy option in those weeks, but putting up those stats with pre-breakout Jordan Love under center shows how much potential he does have in Year 2.
Love will only improve in 2024, which should help Musgrave's case in his second year. Yes, the target share might be somewhat low with a lot of mouths to feed on offense. But there is room for the young tight end to be a solid fantasy option in an up-and-coming offense.
#Packers HC Matt LaFleur on Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft:
“I think both of those guys can do it all. I think they both will end up becoming complete tight ends in this league… Just to see where they are right now from a year ago, it’s night and day.” pic.twitter.com/TeMC7ShG2U
— The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) June 4, 2024
At his TE17 ADP, he is certainly worth a shot because the talent is there. He was just the fourth tight end selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, and he showed some nice things on the field when healthy in his first year. If he can secure 80-90 targets this upcoming season -- which averages out to about five targets per game -- we could see Musgrave break out in a good offense in 2024.
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