RADIO
Welcome back to my League of Legends DFS column here at RotoBaller! We will continue to extend our analysis for LoL DFS across different leagues and sites, bringing you the insight you need to succeed.
With five more games on the docket tonight in the LPL and LCK and the LCS and LEC playoffs in full swing, it's an excellent time for ESports DFS enthusiasts like myself and the number of contests on FanDuel and DraftKings continues to grow. There are three LPL matches, and two in the LCK grace the slate tonight.
Today, I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL/LCK slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 2:00 AM on Friday, April 10th, 2020. Make sure you are following me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.
LCK Matches
4:00 AM: DragonX (-230) vs. Damwon Gaming
Sometimes I feel like the way this week has gone that this should be a comfortable 2-0 victory for DWG because of course. Since DRX's victory over DWG in week five, both teams have been trending up. Damwon looked like they had things figured out with the addition of Ghost to the roster reeling off four straight wins before dropping a head-scratching 2-0 loss to Griffin.
DRX dropped a surprising set to HLE then got dumped by T1 before they too righted the ship and ran off four straight wins, including an impressive sweep of Gen G. DRX will look to duplicate their week five win here on Friday morning, and with the team statistics being so close it will come down to individual performances.
The meta shift to more tanks in the top lane will help Doran contain Nuguri; this is important because DWG likes to focus on early rift herald takes. They often focus on early objectives where DRX looks to farm hard, win lane, and win game. With the top lane gap muted by Doran looking to get onto an Ornn or Sett pick, the most significant advantage is going to be in the mid lane.
Chovy has a historical advantage over Showmaker going back to their days of facing off in Challengers Korea his team has won seven of the last eight matches. Couple that great history with the fantastic form that Chovy is currently displaying, and he becomes the win condition DRX is looking for.
Chovy - MID ($7,000)
Chovy has been an animal of late going over 100 DKP in two of his last four. He has played an incredible 22 champions this split and has been a focal point for his team during their recent winning streak. Considering this recent hot streak, his historical success in the matchup, and his depressed price it makes sense to consider the all-star mid-laner on Friday.
Deft - ADC ($7,400)
Ghost has been fantastic in the bot lane for DWG since joining the starting lineup his stats line up very well with Deft's. Ghost even outstrips the veteran in several places, but where Deft holds a decided advantage is his support player. Keria has been a difference-maker on the bottom half of the map, and whichever support DWG rolls out to face him will be at a disadvantage. Keria's excellent play allows Deft to reach his potential with nearly 70% KP, and a team-leading 32.3% kill share Deft has 100 DKP potential on Friday.
7:00 AM: T1 (-360) vs. KT Rolster
T1 is still in a dog fight with Gen G for the first spot in the league, and with the LCK's gauntlet style playoff system, that first spot is highly contentious. KT has improved since their first meeting with T1, but the Telecom war isn't what it used to be.
T1 is just too good here, but stop me if this sounds familiar because I fear that T1 lacks upside. They proved me right yesterday vs. SBG when only Canna managed to score over 80 DKP.
Teddy - ADC ($7,800)
If you are going to choose a T1 player, it should be Teddy. Even though Faker is the most known league of legends player ever, it is the young ADC that secures the most fantasy points. He's the team leader in Kp % and kill-share, plus he is only the fourth-highest priced ADC on DraftKings. ADC/SUP stack is a no brainer in LOL DFS. Effort spends a lot of time protecting Teddy, but his price is also down a bit.
Canna - TOP ($6,400)
Canna is rock-solid in the top lane for T1, he's nearly a lock for 80 DKP. He's sitting at 70% KP, which is good for second in the league. It's downright scary how consistent this kid has been since taking over the top lane for T1. In their last six series wins Canna has a low score of 77.7 DKP and a high score of 83.8 DKP. That's one reason you can count on T1 nightly as a cash game play.
LPL Matches
2:00 AM: Dominus ESports (-345) vs. Victory Five
Welp this is it V5's last chance to secure a series win this spring. They close the split vs. TES, BLG, and VG. all of those teams are too good for V5 to get one over on. I still don't see it. I tried a shot on V5 in their last winnable game, and it went as expected just like V5's mid-game it stank.
DraftKings even has clx listed as a mid and priced above other mids; maybe I could recommend him as a one-off value if he was still a $3,600 support. We've seen much better teams than DMO lose series this week in head-scratching ways, but I cant with v5 anymore. They're so bad I finally had to admit that they wouldn't win the LCS.
DraftKings have DMO players priced up in anticipation of this matchup. The matchup is great, and they can be a pay-up spot to be contrarian, as people may be reluctant to pay top dollar for the 16th place team.
Natural - TOP ($7,000)
The top lane carry for DMO is my favorite non-Xiye player on the roster and I write him up every chance I get. He is a hidden gem in this league he leads all top-laners (yes even Zoom) in the LPL in kill share with a whopping 27.6% that is just a few points behind Xiye for the team lead as well.
Xiaowei - MID ($7,400)
I had already written up my love for former Team WE stand out Xiye, only to have DMO release their starting lineup with Xiye. So we'll go with the short version here. Xiaowei may not be the assassin threat that Xiye is he prefers to be on a supportive or scaling mid. Cassiopea, Azir, Zillion, Karma, or even Lulu could be in play here. He is still a high KP% mid with 100 DKP upside in a good matchup. His lane opponent clx has nearly 30% of his team's deaths, making this a nice spot for the younger player to continue to gel with the rest of the squad.
5:00 AM: Fun Plus Phoenix (-575) vs. Vici Gaming
Will FPX be the next huge LPL favorite to fall to a stunning upset this week? I don't think so. They had their brush with death vs. LNG nearly losing the first game until they were able to win a hail mary team fight to turn the tables.
Vici is smart, steady, and draft well, but I don't think that will matter on Friday morning. A lot of Vici gamings recent success has come from putting Forge on comfort picks Sylas, Irrelia, or Quiyana, I don't foresee him getting over Doinb. My main concern here is that Vici may slow things down to the point where FPX can't pay off their prices.
Doinb - MID ($8,000)
This is always a given anytime FPX is on the slate. Doinb carries 100 DKP upside in any matchup, and he is an evergreen MVP candidate. He brings a 74% KP to the table and with the way VG has been running so much through Forge that will bring even more action Doinb's way.
6:00 AM Billibilli Gaming vs. Top Esports
I'm pretty sure I'm not alone here in having been gotten burned by TES on Wednesday morning. Looking back on it, TES has struggled a bit with more aggressive scrappy teams and faired much better vs. passive teams. WE fits that description to a tee, while BLG does not.
That's been a lot of my problem with BLG this year is they have drafted poorly and been too passive not allowing Meteor to excel. My main concern on the TES side is Karsa has been spotty at best this split, and Meteor has a positive history vs. him from last season. I also have to admit I might have a bizarre love affair with BLG; I just can't quit them. I think this match might be a dog or pass spot for me on Friday.
With starting lineups already out, we know Jackeylove still won't play for TES, and I think that is another positive on the side of BLG. It must be hard for Photic to play out the string as a lame-duck here. Either way TES or BLG I will tread lightly here
Meteor - BLG - JNG ($6,200)
Here I go again. We just saw Beishang and another favorite of mine get in Karsa's face and cause problems for TES, and I think Meteor can do much the same. Meteor is fourth in the league in KP with 77%, and a lynchpin for this squad.
Knight - MID ($8,000)
I said Wednesday that Knight would not allow his team to lose, and lo how he tried. His Zoey was impeccable as usual and nearly singlehandedly won game three. Knight leads TES with 77.2% kill participation, plus he is second on the team with a 27.5% kill share. Knight has gone over 100 DKP in three of his last four wins. Without Jackeylove starting yet Knight should have the upside to go big again
Summary
The LCK matchups seem pretty clear cut, and I like T1 as a cash game play. DRX and DMO are the Gpp stacks that I prefer. If I have to take a big dog it will have to be BLG like always. I worry about the upside for TES and FPX facing a few of the slower teams in the LPL, but their star mids always are viable.
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Looking Forward
With LPL and LCK overnight slates continuing through mid-April, we here at RotoBaller have got you covered. The League of Legends DFS action never stops. The LEC and LCS playoffs are in full swing, and EU Masters kicked off yesterday.
Be sure to check back throughout the week as we'll be publishing daily ESports DFS articles, analysis and lineup picks for League Of Legends, Counter Strike, Rocket League and eNASCAR. Thanks for reading, and good luck RotoBallers!
More ESports DFS Analysis
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Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!
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— "Thunder Dan" Palyo (@ThunderDanDFS) April 16, 2020
