RADIO
Welcome back to another League of Legends DFS fantasy slate! New rosters are still finding their team synergy, and early split underdogs haven't been as profitable as in splits past. Hopefully, you read the article yesterday and had some Elk captain lineups and capitalized on the 2-0 KDF sweep. Follow the guys on Twitter, @MAVpickems, NvanhareDFS, @ThunderDanDFS, and @mr_malmanger too, if you haven't already. Looking to keep the momentum rolling so let's dive into this five-game slate!
Roster changes will be addressed if need be when mentioning each team. As a friendly reminder, if you can't stomach any sub risk or don't enjoy waking up early, then figure a way to roster players that don't hold any sub risk. The LCK is tricky when it comes to starting lineups, and we are usually given the LCK starting lineups about an hour or so before lock, for the first series. (@KorizonEsports on Twitter is a good lineup source, as well as @kenzi131) In this case, we probably won't get LCK lineups before the 2:00 AM lock, so we are going to try and project starters based on new additions. LPL starters are found earlier and on Twitter too.
I'll provide my League of Legends DFS advice, analysis, and lineup picks for this LPL & LCK slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 2:00 AM EST on Saturday, January 22nd, 2022. If you have any questions about the slate or anything please reach out to me on Twitter @nolanroth10. I'll do my best to provide some useful analysis, and the odds listed are from Pinnacle. Let's jump right into the matchups, and good luck RotoBallers.
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LCK Matches
3:00 AM: DWG (-500) vs. BRO (+335)
We might not get starting lineups before lock for this LCK match, The only sub-risk is the DWG Top lane. In the last match against NS, DWG started Hoya in game one before starting Burdol in games two and three. Both Burdol and Hoya have not played all that well and it might be safer to just avoid them.
Both the LCK matches should be heavily one-sided and likely won't finish with scores high enough to be optimal. DWG should have no trouble up against BRO, each lane matchup is favored towards DWG and I expect to see Canyon dominate the map. Canyon has an 81% KP and has done a good job getting his laners ahead. Deokdam has been the big kill threat for DWG leading the team with a 39.6% KS. ShowMaker is always a good choice if playing DWG lineups. He is second on the team in KS at 24.5%.
Top DWG plays: Canyon, Deokdam, ShowMaker
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5:00 AM: GEN (-800) vs. HLE (+475)
For this LCK match, both teams have only used one lineup so far this split so we don't need to be all that worried about any sub risk. GEN should make easy work of HLE. HLE had a surprise upset win in their first game of the split but have looked much more like what was expected of them in their last two series losses. GEN is one of the best teams in the LCK and is 3-0 in the split winning 6 of 7 games. Gen is the most expensive team on the slate.
HLE likes to play slow and while GEN has been putting up good kill numbers in their wins, I see this matchup being a slower-paced game that GEN dominates the map and wins on macro plays compared to bloody kill games. Chovy and Ruler are the two most expensive players on DraftKings. They are the two key carries for GEN and would be the players from GEN to get in your lineups. Chovy and Ruler combine for 55% of the kill share and Chovy leads the team in KP.
There is always upside with GEN, but based on the pricing I will be looking elsewhere besides a few small stacks.
Top GEN plays: Chovy, Ruler, Lehends
LPL Matches
2:00 AM: LNG (-650) vs. WE (+400)
The LPL matches are the games we should be looking to target on today's slate. All 3 LPL matches have a clear favorite so choosing the right combinations of teams to stack is going to be important.
LNG is 6-1 in their 7 games this split and WE are 2-6. LNG is the much better team here and I'm just not sure where WE have any advantages in this matchup. WE have collected under 50% of dragons and barons this split compared to over 50% in both categories for LNG. LNG should control the natural objectives with relative ease this series which is a boost to everyone on the team. The Chemtech Soul can make it nearly impossible to lose late-game team fights.
LNG has left top lane to fend for himself this split which has led to Ale only having a 37% KP. He is the member I would leave out of 4 man LNG stacks if only making one. However, Ale could go under-owned based on his numbers this split and could make a good leverage play. ADC Light has an 81% KP and 34% KS and is the top play for LNG. Look for jungle Tarzan to get the bot lane ahead in this series.
Top LNG plays: Light, Tarzan, LvMao, Doinb
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4:00 AM: JDG (+305) vs. FPX (-460)
This is the game I am targeting for my large stacks. FPX is priced in a range that allows me to stack them with a team from the next game. FPX is 6-1 this split. I didn't expect to see FPX come out as hot as they have and I expect that they continue their winning ways on tomorrow's slate.
JDG ADC Hope will be the main reason should JDG find a way to pull off the upset. Hope didn't start the first two games and ADC Lpc looked very underwhelming. Hope came in against LGD and put up a 17/1/20 line in two games against LGD. I don't expect JDG to win but if you are on the upset train I would start my teams with Hope and Missing.
FPX is one of my main targets on this slate. Xiaolaohu leads the team in KS and has had counter pick in 6 of 7 games this split. That is a clear message that FPX wants to have top lane in an advantageous position. Jungler Beichuan leads the team in KS and has had counter pick in every game this split. When you are 6-1, I don't see much reason to change what is working. Lwx is second in both KP and KS and is one of my favorite captain plays on the slate. While he hasn't had a "pop-off" series yet Lwx is a very talented ADC and that series could just be this one.
Top FPX plays: Lwx, Xiaolaohu, Beichuan, Hang, Gorri
Top JDG plays: Hope, Missing, 369
6:00 AM: EDG (-600) vs. OMG (+375)
The 6 AM early morning hammer features EDG as favorites against OMG. OMG has been one of the darkhorse teams early on this split going 7-2. They have been a common underdog pick and it has been successful early on. With their early split success, we could see OMG draw some ownership. OMG has not faced a team as talented as EDG and the record will have a few more losses on it after this series.
I will keep the OMG section short, but if I was playing the upset angle I would look towards Able and Creme as they have been the clear carries for OMG. The entire team has similar KP numbers so you can really divide your combinations up after Able and Creme.
EDG is the reigning world champion and has come back in 2022 in great form. They are 6-1 and have the shortest average game time in the league. What that says is that they are stomping teams. EDG has secured 70% of dragons and 78% of dragons in their games. Those are elite numbers. Viper and Meiko continue to rule the bot lane and are both great options on this slate. I would stay away from top lane as they have swapped once already this split. The other 4 members are great options.
Top EDG plays: Viper, Meiko, Scout, JieJie
TOP OMG plays: Creme, Able
Summary
- TLDR: I'll be loading up on the LPL favorites on this slate, with most of the focus on FPX and EDG. This looks like a slate of easy wins for the favorites.
- GPP Stacks: My favorite combinations for GPP stacks are LNG/JDG/GEN/EDG
- Cash Stacks: For cash, FPX with EDG looks like the way to go. Double Adc with Lwx and Viper is a nice start.
Good luck tomorrow RotoBallers!
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