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Welcome to RotoBaller's League of Legends DFS column. We'll continue ramping up our analysis for LoL DFS all week, bringing you the insight you need to succeed in ESports!
With the LCS and LEC regular seasons over, we shift back to the LPL/LCK for a 6-match slate. We're back into big slates overnight for the next five days and I couldn't be happier. Today I'll be bringing League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL slate on DraftKings that locks at 2:00 AM on Wednesday, April 1st, 2020.
On the LCK side of things, all of the league's top four teams are going to be in action on Wednesday morning. T1 and Gen G showdown in a real clash of the titans. The LPL has its top team in the standings in action as well.
LCK Matches
2:00 AM: Sandbox Gaming vs. Dragon X
DRX is the number four team in the league. They used a matchup vs. Griffin to get right after a surprising loss to HLE and a fierce battle with T1 that they also lost. Sandbox had been on the rise since adding Lonely and Punch to the starting lineup. Then they lost to APK. They will have lost a lot in the eyes of the public with that loss.
Dragon X is one of the most aggressive LCK teams. All the stats point to them jumping out to an early game lead their gold differential at 15 minutes stands second in the league at 1350. Late game stats like their baron and dragon control are also in favor of DRX. We've seen that DRX can be stalled out and beaten late. With all the stats pointing to DRX being ahead early, I believe they can convert that into easy wins.
For MME players, you can look to add a couple of shots on the dog here due to price. SBG did swap junglers after losing game one to APK, so be careful with their lineup.
Pyosik - JNG ($7,200)
The rookie is second on the team in kill participation with 71%. I see them as an excellent stacking opportunity in what should be a higher upside matchup for DRX. DRX and SBG should combine to make the most fantasy friendly LCK game of the morning.
Keria - SUP ($6,000)
Keria, the other rookie on the team mixed so well with the veteran Deft; you'd think they had been together for years. Keria leads the team in KP% with 72.6%. He is in a good spot tomorrow as the bot gap falls heavily on the side of DRX over the likes of Gorilla and Route.
Deft - ADC ($7,400)
I like Deft here as well. He is the veteran on this team. He sports a 67.3% kill participation along with a 31.2% kill share. Deft has been cleaning up on the rift and will make a good addition to your lineup. He stacks well with his young teammates as well.
4:00 AM: KT Rolster vs. Griffin
Here we have a rematch from week five of the LCK where KT won 2-1. Since that match, KT has continued their upward trajectory; meanwhile, Griffin has continued to struggle. This seems cut and dried. I like KT to continue their winning ways with a victory over GRF. The only real problem here is this stands to be one of the slower matchups. I do expect KT to sweep this matchup, that could make up for any kill downside.
Aiming - ADC ($7,800)
KT's ADC is on an absolute tear right now. Over their current six-game win streak Aiming is averaging 95 DraftKings points per match. He leads the team with 77.9% kill participation, and 38.8% kill share leads the league.
bonO - JNG ($6,800)
Bono also has been making a name for himself during KT's long win streak. Without a sweep, bonO might not have the upside he needs. He stands just behind Aiming on KT with a 77.1% KP. The fourth highest priced jungler on the slate, bonO can also save some money on Wednesday a.m.
4:30 AM: Gen G vs. T1
This matchup stands out quite a bit as it is first vs. second. Either of these teams are good enough to be world championship material this season. This will be quite a treat for any league of legends fan, I am certainly hoping to be able to watch it. Unfortunately, without a sweep, neither of these teams is on the fantasy radar for Wednesday.
I think Gen G win this go around. T1 took them down in the first round robin. T1's top scorer in the first match was Faker with 65.6 DKP. Teddy didn't break 60, and Effort limped in with 22.7. Gen G is more aggressive early, especially towards the top side of the map. They have a much higher herald percentage.
Rascal and Clid would be the most worth a shot here for Gen G along with Ruler. They are bargain-priced on DK due to the matchup. If either side does grab a sweep, they could be sneaky, but I'll be avoiding this matchup.
LPL Matches
2:00 AM: Dominus Esports vs. Li-ning Esports
LNG disappointed in their last match vs. VG. What I took away from that matchup was more about Vici gaming and less about LNG. DMO are a struggling team. They recently picked up their second win of the season, only to turn around and get smashed by eStar. There is no shame in that, as eStar has looked like the best team in the league.
Their only wins on the year are over the two teams directly in front of them in the standings. They sit in sixteenth place right now without many prospects to advance. They are better than the likes of V5, but I don't think they have enough to get by LNG. Lng has been unable to close out anyone cleanly except for RW, but in that victory, they scored massively.
They make an excellent gpp play for Wednesday morning. In a sloppy 3 game series or a sweep, they carry nice upside. They can also limp across the line or worse yet lose 1-2. I think this is a hedge type of spot even though I think LNG win some DMO lineups could fit better pieces from later games.
Asura - LNG - ADC ($8,200)
One of the most significant advantages LNG will have over DMO is Asura. He is excellent in the late game. The rest of the team just has to hold up so he can get there. Among players who have played over 20 games, Asura is tied for second in the entire league with Knight at 77.6% kill participation.
Maple - LNG - Mid ($7,800)
This pick has more to do with how I feel Xiye has been performing this split. The former WE mid-laner has not recaptured his former glory. Maple however, has been solid. If LNG can put him on something like Corki or Azir and allow him the safety of scaling, he should respond with a beautiful morning.
Natural - DMO - TOP ($5,800)
One of the things we learned the other day in LNG matchup with Vici is that attacking Flandre and setting him behind is an effective strategy. Natural can have some big-time carry performances. If he and Xiaopeng can establish a lead on the top side, DMO may be able to pick up a win.
4:00 AM: eStar vs. Vici Gaming
The new kings of the LPL are back. They are also the kings of everyone's fantasy roster. Much like G2 in the LEC eStar has become must-have territory. People call them a baby Invictus, but I feel they are much more like a baby FPX. They are inevitable. They want to fight, and they refuse to back down until they get what they want. We saw this tendency exposed by EDG and in game one by BLG.
Vici stands out to me as a team that has a chance with the style of game that they want to play to stop the eStar juggernaut. I think Aix is secretly excellent. Kkoma will be put to the test, trying to draft around this eStar lineup. I think they need to attack Cryin and ShiauC. If they can force Cryin off of some of his comfortable scaling champions and deny ShiauC access to his hook champs, they might have a chance.
Lots of analysis there for a team that is a GPP option only. That's okay because eStar requires very little analysis. The most eStar is the best eStar for your lineups on Wednesday. They average nearly 22 kills per win. They fight every excuse that they get. They are fantasy gold. Inevitable is a good way to describe them. Everything they do begins with a fight. That's what reminds me so much of FPX. They may not be the most talented team, but they impose their will on their enemies. They get what they want, no matter the other team.
ShiauC - SUP - ($6,800)
The hook GAWD. I have criticized eStar's strategy of fighting to get everything done. That little quirk is what makes them so impressive from a fantasy standpoint. ShiauC is the primary engage option on this team. If you have watched any of their games recently, you know it doesn't matter which champion he has as long as ShiauC can throw out a hook to pull the enemy into his team he's going to hit it. This skill makes him score outrageous fantasy points. If stacking two favorites, try to get him in the captain slot. If you have a dog, you like to load up on everyone else too.
7:00 AM: Victory Five vs. Royal Never Give Up
I made mention the other day that V5 was entering a very tough section of their schedule. Having just gotten demolished by FPX, they now face RNG. After that, they get IG and SNG. RNG is in a great spot, and their DraftKings price reflects that. V5 is the worst team in the league by a wide margin. They average 20 deaths per loss, and all they do is lose. With eStar facing a slower side in VG, RNG becomes my favorite play on the day. The only concern is that like FPX did before them that RNG blitz through this V5 lineup with such little resistance, they fail to score enough DKP.
XLB - JNG ($7,400)
Xiaolongbao joined RNG in the offseason to replace Karsa. RNG hasn't missed a beat, and after such a substantial loss, that's saying something. I'd look to stack him up with Betty and Ming. RNG has a nearly 60% dragon take percentage. That shows me they spend a lot of time in and around the bot lane. UZI remains out, but some of that quintessential RNG bot focus remains.
Looking Forward
With LPL and LCK overnight slates continuing through mid-April, we here at RotoBaller have got you covered. The League of Legends DFS action never stops. The LEC and LCS will start their playoffs this weekend, and EU Masters kicks off next week.
Check back throughout the week as we'll publish more ESports League of Legends advice, analysis, and DFS lineup picks. Thanks for reading, and good luck RotoBallers!
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