X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

LPL DFS Picks (8/12/21) - DraftKings and FanDuel League of Legends Daily Fantasy

Mav's expert League of Legends (LoL) DFS advice and DraftKings/FanDuel lineup picks for LPL on 8/12/21. His top LoL value plays and esports DFS recommendations.

Welcome back summoners, to a PLAYOFF EDITION article covering the LPL two-game slate that spans over the next two days. The playoffs have finally arrived and the bracket is right here https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/LPL/2021_Season/Summer_Playoffs. It's shaping up to be a pretty intense bracket, as some popular teams won't reach the double-elimination stage. Out of the two matchups on this slate, there is definitely one that I think you should be targeting over the other for full stacks. Let's get into it and as a side note, I exclusively play on DraftKings. For FanDuel players, I would recommend building around the game theories that will be discussed.

Roster changes won't need to be addressed as teams should be running the starters that ended the split. Few players hold sub risk in the playoffs so I wouldn't be too worried. Just realize if a player is having a really bad performance, THERE IS a chance they get subbed out mid-series, assuming they have a backup that got playing time during the regular split.

I'll provide my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 5:00 AM EST on Thursday, August 12th, 2021. If you have any questions about the slate or anything please reach out to me on Twitter @MAVPickems. I'll do my best to provide some useful analysis. The odds listed are from Pinnacle. Let's jump right into the matchups!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

LPL PLAYOFF Matches

THU 8/12 @ 5:00 AM   SN (-301) vs. LNG (+213)

This is the first LPL playoff matchup with SN (ninth seed) facing off against LNG (eighth) in a matchup where these terms profile similarly. Strong AD carries, also strong top lane carries, with junglers that play for their lanes and mid laners that usually do the same but can also put on the carry pants need be. About three weeks ago when these two faced off, SN won 2-1, as they usually struggle to sweep due to their side selection bias. SN grabbed 16 of their 24 wins on the blue side this split, while LNG also won mostly on the blue side. Suning's series win didn't feature Light and Iwandy playing, however, so the matchup may see more action around the bot side this time around.

This series will revolve around the power picks on the blue side, most of these picks being relevant on the top side of the map, so I predict a top-focused series again. When SN won earlier this split, SoFm and Bin were the catalysts in the wins, along with Angel and ON roaming to support. Huanfeng was not really even needed in their first win but was more involved in the second win of the series. LNG stole a game through their late-game scaling composition around the bot side. We also saw SoFm bust out the Zac and Kha'Zix in that series, so I expect some interesting jungle picks in the draft once again in this series. Teams will prepare to target the most common draft strategies of their opponents, especially since playoffs are best of 5, so I definitely expect Tarzan, Icon, SoFm, and even Angel to pull out something slightly different in this series than what we are used to seeing recently.

Suning holds a DRG% advantage and vision advantage while both teams are dead even in FT% and FB%. LNG holds the advantage in JNG% and BN%. This match is most likely not going to be as bloody and up-tempo as the OMG vs WE series. Neither team is willing to constantly fight their way back into a game if they're behind and will look to trade objectives and find any advantage possible on the map, rather than just run at the enemy. This is reflected in the CKPM where both teams hold under a 0.80.

Give me SN to win this series 3-1. I am confident in this match as SN is peaking at the right time later in the split, while LNG has certainly regressed since their blazing hot start to the summer. Just like the last split, I feel like LNG doesn't have an identity, and relies too heavily on Tarzan to snowball through one of the side lanes, as Icon rarely seems to be the primary carry. That doesn't bode well for LNG, as SN has the superior side lanes. LNG definitely needs to get ahead EARLY for any chance at winning this series, as I believe SN has the advantage from an even or ahead gold standpoint in the game. SN has the advantage in every role in my opinion, excluding Tarzan over SoFm. That can be mitigated though, as SoFm can play the surprise champs that can throw a team off. Bin will have a solid matchup vs Ale, but I expect Angel and SoFm to give him the resources needed to find an advantage, in the draft as well. Huanfeng is the most expensive SN member but shouldn't be the one most heavily involved in SN victories. I prefer Angel, Bin, and SoFm at CAPTAIN, however, I will be limiting this game to the SN team slot and probably a two-man small stack. I'll be focusing on the top side of the map, with Bin and Angel being my top picks but mixing in some SoFm in there as well. I'll be looking at my full stacks from the other match on Friday.

 

Top SN plays: Bin, Angel, SofM, TEAM

 

FRI 8/13 @ 5:00 AM    OMG (+199) vs. WE (-249)

For the second LPL series, we have OMG (tenth seed) squaring off against Team WE (seventh seed) in a rematch from a month ago where OMG won 2-1! If you recall, WE stomped game one with a Beishang + Breathe carry, lost game two by experimenting with Breathe on Dr. Mundo, and threw game three after holding a 10K(!!!) gold lead after an amazing early start. This series is projected to be closer than the first series, but I truly think WE have a higher chance of sweeping OMG than SN does vs LNG. I just think the matchup is good for WE here, as Breathe has a clear and dominant advantage over New, as we saw in the first series, and the bot lane for WE can neutralize OMG's biggest strength, their bot lane. Elk and Missing have been playing their strongest league arguably to end the split and hope to avenge the rough series they had when they lost this series a month ago. Elk and Missing were caught out of position and playing far too overconfident multiple times in that series, and the same can be said for the rest of Team WE. WE have the better players in every role, but OMG isn't that far behind in terms of potential once you look past New.

This is the series to target for big stacks, as there will be bloodshed starting from level one. In their earlier series, the team that won each game had at least 20 kills. Both teams aren't afraid to look for picks and fights to find an avenue back into the game and will contest most objectives if their team compositions allow. WE hold a whopping 77% FT rate, to OMG's 29%. A lot of the time it's WE granting Breathe resources in the top lane, along with the first tower, and then moving around with him to contest turrets and dragons, hopefully looking for a team fight. OMG is more of a team fighting team as well and has a balanced KP% all around the squad, with Able holding the highest KS% on the entire slate at a whopping 36%. Creme received rookie of the split and honestly has the best matchup vs Shanks tomorrow on the side of OMG. Creme excels at melee assassins and bruisers, so potentially WE target him in the draft. I think this series revolves around the bot side heavier than the first series. Fights may break out all over the map too, whenever and wherever like Shakira in Suerte.

I'm backing WE to win 3-1 or even sweep here. I'll respect OMG enough to think they steal a game on the red side, as Creme and Aki are a respectable mid/jungle duo that can snowball and transfer their leads to other lanes as well, usually Able. However, over a five-game series, WE's ability to carry through anywhere on the map and their decisiveness over the second half of the split will lead them to a victory here. Elk and Missing have picked up their play, while Beishang and Breathe are absolutely thriving in this meta and should continue to do so. Breathe is arguably the best top lane in the world and might be my favorite CAPTAIN play tomorrow. The dude got ROBBED of first-team LPL and I'm not the only one who believes this. OMG had a decent run this split but aren't on WE's level just yet. I consider OMG the best bottom-tier team and WE a top middle-tier team and even championship contenders(contenders ok.) That obviously doesn't mean OMG can't win tomorrow, but seeing them best WE three games total? I just don't see it considering both team's current form. CAPTAINS I like the most to pair with SN on this slate are Breathe and Beishang. It's pretty hard to afford both favorites with a MID CAPTAIN, so you have to play a value captain or an enemy one-off in a five-game series, assuming you think either series goes five. Give me all the WE for my main stacks tomorrow in the bloodier 3-1 victory. OMG is my favorite underdog on the slate if you do get to them, so here are my OMG plays too. I would recommend playing a WE one-off even if they lose a best of five vs OMG, as the kill upsides are much higher and a game stack lineup could also outscore the SN vs LNG series, assuming that one goes five games too. Game stacking on these smaller two-game slates where you think both outcomes are the same (I.e. both series go five games) is a great way to rocket past a large portion of the field and is worth a look if entering multiple lineups in deep GPP's.

 

Top WE plays, ALL in order: Breathe, Beishang, Elk, Missing, Shanks

Top OMG plays: Creme, Able, Aki, Cold

 

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS eSports subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Mike by using promo code BALLER when purchasing an eSports Premium Pass. You get 10% off, and full access to all of our Premium eSports cheat sheets, DFS research tools, and optimizer!

 

 

Summary

  1. TLDR: My favorite primary stacks/picks in order tomorrow: WE 3-1, SN 3-1 (I rank these based on confidence, GPP upside, and ownership leverage all weighed in) I expect more full stacks to come with a Suning Captain, as they are cheaper, so I'll be over the field on Breathe and Beishang at Captain.
  2. Game stacking on two-game slates is certainly viable if you think both series end with the same result, allowing you to leverage yourself by playing the players in the bloodier series. SN vs LNG has a real chance of snoozing for DFS purposes, but if LNG flashes a bit of that early split aggression, SN could pay off.
  3. I think OMG is the best dog and value on the slate, and I won't have ANY exposure to LNG. You had a good run LNG, see ya next split. THE PLAYOFFS ARE HERE BABY!!   Good luck tomorrow!

 

More eSports DFS Analysis

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis



RotoBaller Testimonials

Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been
winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!

Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

José Tena

Jacob Young, Jose Tena Sitting Out On Thursday
Kyle Gibson

Dealing With Minor Back Tightness
Triston Casas

Small Mechanical Tweak Working For Triston Casas
Tyler Lockett

Titans Likely To Use Tyler Lockett In The Slot
CJ Abrams

Reinstated From 10-Day Injured List
Washington Commanders

Commanders Trying To Trade Back From No. 29 Pick

Colston Loveland Could Be First Tight End Selected
Eli Morgan

Shut Down From Throwing For 2-3 Weeks

Jaguars Could Be Eyeing Trade Up For Travis Hunter
Javier Assad

Heading To Chicago To Be Examined
Jake Bauers

In Starting Lineup Against Giants

Jayden Higgins A Potential First-Round Pick?
Brandon Marsh

Starting Rehab Assignment On Thursday
Brendan Donovan

Expected To Return On Friday
Breece Hall

Available For Trade?
Patrick Bailey

Getting Breather In Series Finale
William Contreras

Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, Caleb Durbin All Sitting On Thursday
Trent Grisham

Activated From Paternity List
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome, Ogbo Okoronkwo Could Be Available Via Trade During The Draft
Tobias Myers

Activated Off Injured List, Starting On Thursday
Arizona Cardinals

Paris Johnson Jr. Completely Healthy This Offseason
Jacob Stallings

Nick Martini Sitting In Game 1
Carolina Panthers

Derrick Brown Expected To Be Ready For Start Of Season
Jorge Polanco

Sitting Against Lefty
Denver Broncos

Broncos Fielding Calls For No. 20 Pick In NFL Draft
David Festa

Optioned To Triple-A

Browns, Giants Both Like Jaxson Dart
Willi Castro

Placed On 10-Day Injured List

Kevin Stefanski Thinks Travis Hunter Can Succeed As Two-Way Player
Hagen Smith

Showing Strikeout Potential At Double-A
Texas Rangers

Kohl Drake Strikes Out 10 On Wednesday
Linus Ullmark

Attempts To Overcome Playoff Struggles Thursday
Robby Snelling

Tallies Nine Punchouts For The Second Time This Season
Anthony Cirelli

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Javier Rivas

Continues Hot Start To High-A Regular Season
Logan Thompson

Comes Up Big In Game 2
Connor McMichael

Strikes Twice In Wednesday's Win
Anze Kopitar

Tallies Four Points In Game 2 Victory
Adrian Kempe

Notches Two Goals, Two Assists In Wednesday's Win
Tyler Seguin

Gives Stars Series Lead With Overtime Winner
Gabriel Landeskog

Delivers Six Hits In First Game Since 2022
NFL

Browns, Giants, Patriots Receive Calls For Picks Nos. 2-4
Tyler Herro

Scores Game-High 33 Points In Wednesday's Loss
Donovan Mitchell

Fires In 30 Points In Game 2 Win
Paolo Banchero

Notches 32 Points In Game 2 Loss
Jaylen Brown

Posts 36-Point Double-Double Wednesday
Jalen Green

Erupts For 38 Points In Game 2 Victory
Brandin Podziemski

Limited To 14 Minutes Wednesday
Jimmy Butler III

Set For MRI Thursday
George Kittle

Wants To Be Highest-Paid Tight End
Tyler Lockett

Joining The Titans

Will Shedeur Sanders' Game Translate To The NFL?
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Could Go With Offensive Lineman At No. 6 Overall
NFL

Jaguars, Raiders Looking To Trade Up In First Round
New Orleans Saints

Saints Won't Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trevor Penning
Nick Chubb

Not Interested In Retirement
George Pickens

Drawing Trade Interest
Brandin Podziemski

Upgraded To Available
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Davion Mitchell

Moves Into Starting Lineup Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Picks Up Questionable Tag
Al Horford

Starts Game 2
Michael Porter Jr.

Practices On Wednesday
Jayson Tatum

Out On Wednesday
Isaiah Stewart

May Miss Another Game Thursday
NYI

Cal Clutterbuck Announces Retirement
Pavel Zacha

Recovering From Small Procedure
Nikolaj Ehlers

To Miss At Least Two More Games
Miro Heiskanen

Still Out On Wednesday
John Klingberg

Enters Oilers Lineup For Game 2
Evander Kane

To Make Season Debut Wednesday Night
Gabriel Landeskog

Likely To Play In Game 3
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Posts Team-High 26 Points In Tuesday's Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Notches 27 Points Despite Poor Shooting
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Pascal Siakam

Scores Team-High 24 Points In Game 2 Win
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Posts Big Double-Double In Game 2 Loss
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Julius Randle

Leads Timberwolves In Scoring In Game 2
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Nets 31 Points In Lakers Win
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
John Tavares

Collects Two Points In Overtime Win
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Frederik Andersen

Posts 40th Postseason Win
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Kirill Kaprizov

Leads Wild To Valuable Road Win
Matthew Tkachuk

Returns With Three-Point Performance
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Anthony Cirelli

Suffers Undisclosed Injury Tuesday
Gabriel Vilardi

May Return To Jets Lineup Thursday
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF