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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Thursday, November 24th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bills @ Lions
The Bills take on the Lions on Thursday, November 24th at Ford Field, Detroit. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills (7-3) vs. Detroit Lions (4-6)
- Date: Thursday, November 24th, 2022
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ford Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bills @ Lions
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Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
The Bills head into week 12, looking for another win, as they picked up 8 point victory over the Cleveland Browns (31-23). When looking at the betting outcome, Buffalo entered the matchup as the -8.0 point favorite but ended with a push. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 50 points, which the teams surpassed. In their win over Cleveland, the Bills held a 12-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 22-10. However, their 8 point win was not enough to cover the point spread at -8.0, resulting in an ATS push. Through 10 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 4-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-7. This week's betting total of 54.5 is higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Detroit, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 28.1. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Lions defense ranked 31st in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 3rd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, the Bills should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better rushing teams in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Detroit Lions - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Lions picked up a conference win after taking down the New York Giants by a score of 31-18. In terms of betting, Detroit picked up an ATS win, as they were the 3.0-point underdogs. With their combined 44 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 44. Despite being the 3.0-point underdogs heading into the game, the Lions held a 18-point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 10 games, the Lions have an ATS record of 6-4. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-3. This week's betting total of 54.5 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Lions' offense is averaging 25.0 points per game, placing them 8th in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 5th-ranked defense, look for Detroit to try to move the ball through the air, as they are one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 233.8 yards per game through the air. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Detroit will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 132.8 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bills vs. Lions
Over the last 5 matchups between Buffalo and Detroit, the Lions have won 4 of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 0-5, with the average scoring total coming in at 32.4 points. Last year, the Bills and Lions did not play each other.
When looking at how the teams have performed vs the spread, neither unit has a leg up, each covering 2 times. The Bills offense has averaged 17.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Detroit, compared to the Lions at 15.2.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bills have gone 1-2 straight up. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 0-2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
Buffalo has played well in their previous 3 road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 21.33 points per game while allowing 20.0.
Detroit has put together a record of 3-0 over their past 3 games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1
Through their last 3 home games, Detroit has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 29.0 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -9.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 54.5
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