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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, April 26th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Warriors @ Kings
The Warriors take on the Kings on Wednesday, April 26th at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Golden State Warriors (44-38) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-34)
- Date: Wednesday, April 26th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Warriors @ Kings
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Warriors & Kings Key Injuries
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Kings
- Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
- De'Aaron Fox (Questionable) Finger
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Kings by a score of 126-125, the Warriors are riding a two-game win streak. Stephen Curry led the way in scoring with 32 points. Heading into their previous matchup against the Kings, the Warriors were favored by -7.5, giving them an ATS loss.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 33-8 at home and 11-30 on the road. Golden State's record against the spread is below .500 at 40-45.
Through 86 games, the Warriors have put together one of the top-scoring offenses (4th) at 118.9 points per game. Not only that, but they enter today's game averaging 125 points per game over their last five games. A key to the team's offensive success is their ability to push the pace while not sacrificing efficiency. This year, the Warriors are 2nd in possessions per game, while also hitting 38.5% of their three-point field goal attempts. Currently, Golden State's overall effective field goal percentage of 57.1% is 5th in the NBA.
The Warriors will look to step up their defensive effort in today's game, as they currently sit at 21st in the NBA for points allowed per game (105.5). Although the team has held up well on the defensive glass (11th) and forcing turnovers, at an average of 15.7 per game, they still have mediocre overall numbers. Opponents have hit 33.9% of their three-point shots and 43.9% of their overall field goal attempts against the Warriors.
Sacramento Kings - NBA Betting Analysis
The Kings enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 126-125 loss to the Warriors. De'Aaron Fox led the team in scoring with 38 points on 45.2% shooting. Despite the straight-up loss, Sacramento covered the spread as they were 7.5-point underdogs going into the game.
Now, the Kings' overall record sits at 48-34, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 23-18 and 25-16 on the road. This season, Sacramento's ATS record sits at 47-38.
With an average of 120.7 points per game, the Kings are ranked 2nd in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 111 points per game in their last five contests. Sacramento has utilized their pace effectively this season, with an average of 101.7 possessions per game, which ranks 2nd in the league. Their fast-paced style has offset their three-point field goal percentage of 36.9% (15th). The Kings are 8th in the NBA for free-throw attempts and have a shooting percentage of 79.0%.
Defensively, the Kings enter today's game having allowed an average of 105.5 points per game, placing them 21st in the league. One problem for the unit has been their inability to generate turnovers, ranking 22nd at 13.1 per game. This year, opponents have hit 43.9% of their field goal attempts and 33.9% of their shots from beyond the arc. However, Sacramento has held up well on the boards, ranking 11th in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Warriors vs. Kings
Today's matchup will be the 8th game of the season between the Warriors and Kings. So far, the Warriors have the leg up in the series 5-3. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Warriors won by a score of 126-125 but did not cover as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 236.0 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Warriors' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 241 points per contest.
Across Sacramento's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the underdog, the Kings are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of -3 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 227 points per game and an over/under mark of 4-6.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: SAC +1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 235.0
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