RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~130 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~155
ANALYSIS: Johnson had a career year in 2022, catching 42 passes for 508 yards and seven touchdowns while undeniably emerging as the Saints' best tight end. He did well stretching the field, posting an aDOT of 9.4 (sixth among tight ends) and 296 unrealized air yards (ninth).
His efficiency and fantasy value were equally apparent. Johnson finished the year with a 22.1% dominator rating, +37.1 EPA, 111.6 QBR per target, and 2.07 fantasy points per target.
Don't forget that from Weeks 7 to 17 last season, Johnson had the third-most fantasy points per game among qualified tight ends and that was with Andy Dalton under center.
Fantasy managers should be incredibly excited about how his production will grow with Derek Carr, who elevated Darren Waller to Pro Bowl level, now under center.
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