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ANALYSIS: Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Junior Guerra is throwing it all the way back to 2016 in the early-going with a microscopic 0.82 ERA through his first 22 innings. He has not allowed a single home run yet, which was his Achilles heel last season.
His 4.26 xFIP suggests regression is inevitable, but then again he did outperform his expected ERA by about a run and a half two seasons ago. While 2017 was a nightmare (5.12 ERA in 70 1/3 innings), he had a 2.81 ERA in 2016, finishing 9-3 with 100 strikeouts in 121 2/3 innings.
Guerra's ability to be slotted in as a RP is a nice added perk in his profile, as is the fact that he has seen his strikeout bump from last season carry over to 2018 (8.6 strikeouts per nine in each of the last two seasons). He will face the Pirates on May 4 and should be a decent streaming play, even against the league's sixth-highest scoring team this season.
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