RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~160 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~224
ANALYSIS: This is a player who managed to produce highlights in 2023 despite being buried on an Arthur Smith offense in a TE room with Kyle Pitts. The one that sticks out is a 60-yard touchdown that was entirely Smith’s afterburners taking a bubble screen to the house.
Jonnu Smith reached a top speed of 21.15 mph on his 60-yard touchdown, the 3rd-fastest speed by a tight end as a ball carrier in the NGS era (since 2016).
Smith is the only TE to reach 20+ mph as a ball carrier since the start of last season.#MINvsATL | #DirtyBirds pic.twitter.com/PO2nRfir4b
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 5, 2023
This is a guy who can outrun defensive backs in pursuit and who now joins a Mike McDaniel offense that knows how to scheme players into space. We’ve seen the flashes as recently as last year, but there’s a buying opportunity here. Not only did Arthur Smith suppress all ceilings, but the Dolphins didn’t have a notable TE last season.
Smith enters an exciting Miami offense, having just posted career-high marks in catches (50), targets (70), and yards (582) on a run-oriented Atlanta offense. He boasted a 71.4% catch rate despite playing with Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke, topping 60 yards in four games.
Perhaps those in PPR leagues won’t love the spot with Miami being so hyperefficient at chasing big plays rather than cobbling together via volume. But we’ve seen enough out of Smith to see potential and enough out of McDaniel’s Dolphins to respect their ability to match a player to their scheme.
There’s also smoke around an Odell Beckham Jr. injury, which would throw the No. 3 WR role into further murkiness next to Smith.
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