Jets vs. Broncos: Week 5 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Zach Wilson, Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Russell Wilson, Javonte Williams, Courtland Sutton

Welcome to our Jets vs. Broncos fantasy football start 'em, sit' em matchups analysis article for Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season.

Read our matchups analysis, player breakdowns, and lineup recommendations for the matchup and set those winning lineups. Good luck RotoBallers!

New York Jets at Denver Broncos

Spread: Broncos -2.5
Implied Total: Jets (20.5) vs. Broncos (23)
Pace: Jets (15th) vs. Broncos (22nd)
Jets Off. DVOA: -1.5% Pass (21st), -28.4% Rush (29th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 18.3% Pass (15th), -5.1% Rush (15th)
Jets Def. DVOA: 14.1% Pass (22nd), -13.9% Rush (13th)
Broncos Def. DVOA: 63.7% Pass (32nd), 12.3% Rush (31st)

Matchups We Love

Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ)

The Jets nearly mounted a comeback against the Chiefs, inspiring confidence in their offense just in time to take on Denver. It could be a mirage, but the matchup is as good as it gets. Wilson has a 25-plus percent target share in every game, so if the offense can continue to sustain production, his ceiling could become a lot higher. He'll be the obvious choice for Patrick Surtain II to shadow, but receivers have found a way to produce because the rest of the defense is so inept. You could also look to Allen Lazard as a flex option given his big-play potential and the matchup.

Breece Hall (RB, NYJ)

One of the downsides of drafting Hall this season was their schedule. Buffalo, Dallas, New England, Kansas City, Denver, and Philly looked like a murderers row for matchups. It turns out one of these things is not like the others. Combine that with the update from head coach Robert Saleh that he'll no longer be on a pitch count, and things are trending upward for Hall. Saleh did note that they still want to use other players, but if he can get 12-15 touches, he could post a monster performance.

Breece Hall is expected to return to a full workload. 💪 https://t.co/uYiLeiGIFO pic.twitter.com/QU8Q69IHdr

— theScore (@theScore) October 5, 2023

Matchups We Hate

Russell Wilson (QB, DEN)

It's tempting to stay in the flames with Wilson, who has 300-plus yards or three touchdowns in each of the past three weeks. However, New York was a fearsome defense entering the year, and after a blip against Dallas, they appear back to form. He's not someone you can't start, but the risk is much higher this week.

Broncos WRs

Wilson elected to spread the ball around to 11 different players against Chicago, which is terrible for fantasy. It led to only five targets for Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton, who were disappointing given the matchup. Sutton found the end zone for the third time in 2023, but neither helped your team. One of these two will face Sauce Gardner in coverage, which is a problem. It's also hard to trust their volume. Sutton remains the preferred receiver, but he falls outside the top 30.

Other Matchups

Broncos RB

The mess at the running back position keeps on rearing its ugly head here. Javonte Williams suffered a quad injury, forcing him to leave the game early in Week 4.

Javonte Williams Expects To Be Listed As Questionable https://t.co/yYbRxBBUBv

— RotoBaller NFL (@RotoBallerNFL) October 6, 2023

That led to more work for Samaje Perine and Jaleel McLaughlin, who we highlighted as the backup in terms of production and touches. As a popular waiver add this week, he's intriguing, but mainly if Williams is out. It's also within the realm of possibility that all three of these players split touches. It's not a great matchup, so it's becoming a backfield to avoid for the most part. Although, Williams should be the lead back if he's healthy.

Zach Wilson (QB, NYJ)

Something no one thought possible was Wilson having a better game than Mahomes, but that was the case on Sunday. Wilson looked capable of leading an NFL offense for the first time in his career, which is fantastic for the pieces on this team. It's wise not to get overzealous, but if you're in need of a streamer and the options aren't great, the matchup dictates he's in play.

THE ZACH WILSON EMERGENCE
pic.twitter.com/pNTvA0E4Tc

— PFF (@PFF) October 2, 2023

Notable Injuries

Greg Dulcich (leg)
Javonte Williams (quad)

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