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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 6th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bills @ Jets
The Bills take on the Jets on Sunday, November 6th at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills (6-1) vs. New York Jets (5-3)
- Date: Sunday, November 6th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bills @ Jets
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Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Bills will look to keep things rolling after picking up a non-conference win over the Green Bay Packers (27-17). Even though Buffalo picked up the win, they failed to cover the spread as -10.5 point favorites. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 47. In their win over Green Bay, the Bills held a 17-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 27-10. However, their 10 was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 7 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 4-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-6. This week's betting total of 47.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on New York, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 29.0. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Jets defense ranked 14th in points per game. This season, Buffalo has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 307.71 yards per game through the air. Although the Jets defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Buffalo should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Buffalo figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 14th-ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
New York Jets - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Jets lost in a divisional matchup against New England Patriots by a score of 22-17. New York entered the game as 3.0 point underdogs on the spread. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 40. The Jets were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed New England by a score of 19-10 heading into the final quarter. Through 8 games, the Jets have an ATS record of 5-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-5. This week's betting total of 47.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Jets offense is averaging 22.0 points per game, placing them 18th in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 1st ranked defense, look for New York to put together an above average offensive performance. Even though the Jets head into this week's game ranked 14th in pass yards per game and have a tough defensive matchup, we project them to have an above average performance in the passing game. On the ground, New York figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 20th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
If the Jets are going to pull off the win as road underdogs, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Zach Wilson and the league's 18th-ranked scoring offense. This season, he has completed 54.9% of his passes, leading an average of 209.6 yards per game in the passing attack. In his last performance, he threw for 355 passing yards and put together a passer rating of 64.58. Against the Jets, the team will look to get receiver Garrett Wilson involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 7.38 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 429.0. Across the season, New York has outrushed their opponents in 50.0% of their games. This comes while ranking just 20th in the league in rush yards per game (108.75). Michael Carter comes into action ranked 49th among running backs, averaging 31.75 yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bills vs. Jets
Over the last 5 matchups between Buffalo and New York, the Jets have won 4 of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 38.0 points. Last season, the Bills and Jets met up for 2 games, with Buffalo winning both matchups by scores of 27-10 and 45-17.
The Buffalo Bills have gone 2-2 vs the spread in these games. The Bills offense has averaged 24.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with New York, compared to the Jets at 13.4.
Spanning across their last 3 games, Buffalo have gone 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 0-3 over-under mark.
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 22.0 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Jets have gone 2-1 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 0-3 over-under mark.
Although New York has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 23.0 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -13.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 47.0
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