James Conner (RB, ARI) - 2021 Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~93 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~103

ANALYSIS: Conner leaves Pittsburgh after spending the past four seasons there and coming virtually out of nowhere to turn into a fantastic tailback for the Steelers in years past. While he has not been the healthiest of players out there (he has missed 14 games in his four-year career, almost a combined full season), and he will see a downtick in playing time now as the RB2 of the Cards and that should help his chances of staying healthy.

Chase Edmonds should be Arizona's no. 1 rusher. Edmonds has not missed that much time (only three games in three years) but he's never been the true no. 1 option for the Cardinals as he's played mostly second-fiddle to Kenyan Drake (2020) and David Johnson (2018 and 2019) in his three NFL seasons, never topping 150 touches. Do we assume his moment has finally arrived and are we sure that's the case? How long of a leash will Arizona give him knowing Conner is waiting in the wings? That's yet to be seen.

While it is true that Conner is not the ultimate pass-catching threat, PFF still projects him to a healthy 31 targets in 2021 to go with a much better-looking 132 carries for 563 yards and four scores. Only four other non-RB1 players project to more scores, and his projection of 0.80 FP/Opp is also ranked sixth in that cohort. Conner's ADP of RB37 is almost on par with his RB40 projection (130+ PPR points) and he could reach much higher positions if he ends up outproducing Edmonds throughout the season and snatching the RB1 role from him--something I am definitely not ruling out.

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