Jake Odorizzi (SP, HOU) - Week 25 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in leagues of 10+ teams

ROSTERED IN: 40% of leagues

ANALYSIS: Odorizzi has had a rather solid bounce-back season in 2021 after an injury-shortened season last year. Over 94 2/3 innings of work this year, Odorizzi has posted a 4.28 ERA, 1.215 WHIP and 21.4 percent strikeout rate while going 6-7 for Houston. He's had a particularly nice stretch on the mound over his last six starts, where he's gone 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA, 1.226 WHIP and 21.4 percent strikeout rate over 31 innings.

He'll open up the week on the road, which could spell trouble for him as he's been worse on the road (4.82 ERA, 1.223 WHIP) than at home (3.61 ERA, 1.205 WHIP). On top of that he'll be facing a hot-hitting Rangers squad that is averaging 5.1 runs per game over their last 10 games and is hitting better both against right-handed pitching this year (.228/.295/.382) and at home (.237/.301/.394).

While that Texas matchup could be a tough one for Odorizzi, his outing against Arizona looks to be a very nice start for him. For starters, the Diamondbacks are slashing .212/.279/.344 and averaging 3.7 runs per game over their last 10 games. They are also hitting worse against right-handed pitching (.229/.303/.366, 24.6 K%) than against left-handers (.251/.328/.420, 21.5 K%), and they are hitting significantly worse on the road (.220/.297/.362) than at home (.251/.323/.400).

It's a one good start, one bad start scenario this week for Odorizzi. That Texas matchup could end in disaster, but the Arizona outing looks to be potential fantasy gold. If he can put up similar numbers this week to what he's done this season against the Rangers (3.29 ERA, 1.024 WHIP, 25 K% in 13 2/3 innings), that plus his Arizona start makes Odorizzi a great two-start streamer in Week 25.

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