RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~76 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~92
ANALYSIS: Jahan Dotson has a favorable combination of talent and opportunity that has paved a path for him to outperform his ADP.
Dotson was one of six wide receivers who were selected in Round 1 of the 2022 NFL Draft when Washington seized him with the 16th overall pick. This supplied an immediate opportunity for the fusion of his speed, athleticism, and route running acumen to launch him into a sizable role within the Commanders’ aerial attack.
In 2022, he paced the Commanders in targets (26/6.5 per game), targets per route run (22.2%), receptions (16/4.0 per game), receiving yards (290/72.5 per game), air yards (382), and yards per route run (2.48) from Weeks 15-18.
That includes his numbers during Washington’s season finale when Sam Howell was spearheading the team's offense. Dotson secured a 22.2% target share during that outing while collecting three of his four targets, generating 72 yards, and leading the Commanders in yards per route run (3.27) and aDOT (14.3).
| Weeks 15-18 | Targets | Targ/Gm | Rec | Rec/Gm | Yards | Yards/Gm |
| Jahan Dotson | 26 | 6.5 | 16 | 4 | 290 | 72.5 |
| Terry McLaurin | 22 | 5.5 | 15 | 3.8 | 246 | 61.5 |
| Curtis Samuel | 13 | 3.3 | 10 | 2.5 | 100 | 25 |
| Weeks 15-18 | TPRR% | YPRR | Air Yards | YPT | YPR | aDOT |
| Jahan Dotson | 22.2 | 2.48 | 361 | 11.2 | 18.1 | 13.9 |
| Terry McLaurin | 18.5 | 2.07 | 257 | 11.2 | 16.4 | 11.7 |
| Curtis Samuel | 11.8 | 0.91 | 121 | 7.7 | 10 | 9.3 |
Dotson returns for his second year with the chance to build upon his late-season momentum while operating with Howell under center. Dotson should also benefit from the team’s transition into a reconstructed offense that will be concocted by Eric Bieniemy.
Terry McLaurin should retain his role as Washington’s WR1. However, Dotson will also remain highly involved while operating as the Commanders’ WR2. He is also capable of vaulting into high-end WR3 territory for fantasy managers, even though he is only being drafted as a WR4. This elevates him among the most undervalued wide receivers during the middle rounds while presenting you with an opportunity to capitalize on his current ADP.
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