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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 17th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ Jaguars
The Chiefs take on the Jaguars on Sunday, September 17th at EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chiefs @ Jaguars
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
In their season opener, the Chiefs welcomed the Lions to their home turf. But they hed into week two at 0-1 as they suffered a 21-20 loss. In addition to losing straight-up, the Chiefs also lost vs. the spread as 4 point favorites. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 52.5 points. By combining for 41 points, the under hit.
Offensively, Patrick Mahomes finished with 226 passing yards while completing 53% of his passes. On the ground, the Chiefs rushed the ball 23 times for 90 yards. The team converted 5 of 14 third-down opportunites. Marquez Valdes-Scantling was thrown to two times and made two grabs for 48 yards and led the team in receiving yards.
The Chiefs' defense wrapped up the game with one sack and one interception. Additionally, the team's secondary yielded 250 passing yards, while the rush defense permitted 118 rushing yards.
Jacksonville Jaguars - NFL Betting Analysis
The Jaguars started their season by hitting the road to face the Colts, and they came away with a 31-21 victory. Against the spread, the Jaguars' 10-point win was enough to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under line for their game vs. 45.5 points, which the team's exceeded with a combined 52 points.
Offensively, the Jaguars rushed the ball 35 times against the Colts. Travis Etienne Jr. led the ground attack with 77 yards. Trevor Lawrence made 32 passing attempts, accumulating 241 yards and achieving a passer rating of 103. Calvin Ridley was the Jaguars' leader in receiving yards against the Colts, finishing with eight receptions for 101 and one touchdown.
Defensively, the Jaguars gave up 280 total yards of offense to Indianapolis. Of these yards, 65 were gained through rushing plays, and the team's secondary allowed 215 yards on 39 pass attempts.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Last season, the Chiefs and Jaguars met up two times, with the Chiefs going 2-0. Together the Chiefs and Jaguars averaged 45.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Chiefs' offense averaged 424 yards per game compared to the Jaguars at 332.
- Across their ten previous road games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 33 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
- Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Jaguars +3
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 51
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