RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~49 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~66
ANALYSIS: Dobbins was another case in a long history of running backs coming back from an ACL injury and struggling with performance the following year. After missing the first two games of 2022, Dobbins returned for four weeks in Week 3, and you could tell that he was not ready. Playing in less than 50% of the snaps in each game, Dobbins could only manage one weekly finish above RB46 (RB10 in Week 4). This prompted the Ravens and Dobbins to shut things down again as he missed the next six games.
Once he returned, he flashed that upside that we have seen in the past. From Weeks 14-17, he led the league in rushing yards (397). However, due to a lack of usage in the passing game (one reception) and only one touchdown, he could only muster 11.8 fantasy PPG over that span (RB26). It was truly a lost year for Dobbins, and one that some fantasy managers could likely hold against him heading into the 2023 season.
Going into the 2023 season, Dobbins is now a year removed from the injury. That's not to say there aren't negatives circling him at the moment. The team has a new offensive coordinator in Todd Monken. He is expected to implement a more pass-friendly system that will bring the Ravens out of the Stone Age that we have been accustomed to seeing. Additionally, Dobbins has just recently been removed from the PUP as he has made clear his desire to obtain an extension to remain with the team beyond this season. If he can return to the team focused and ready, there is a light at the end of the tunnel regarding his potential value for 2023.
This new offense could lead to running lanes opening up, something we did not see a season ago when the Ravens led the league in facing stacked front defenses (35.9%). Dobbins saw 7.2 defenders in the box on average which was second at the position. Now with defenses potentially having to defend a more vertical passing attack, Dobbins will get to see more space behind an offensive line that could be one of the best in the league. With a healthy season and offensive efficiency, Dobbins could put together a solid 2023 as an RB2 for fantasy managers.
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