RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 190
CURRENT ADP: ~215 overall
ANALYSIS: Martinez was still a good hitter in 2022, with a barrel rate of 12.2% and a wOBA of .342, but he did seem to take a step back. Martinez had a three-mph decrease in average exit velocity in 2022 with only 16 HRs as well (he had 28 in the season before). However, there are several confounding variables that many have overlooked.
Martinez had a terrible second half, with a .233 BA in the second half compared to a .303 BA in the first half. Bad second halves tend to carry over into the following year, but Martinez’s regression was mostly due to locker room issues. The Red Sox clubhouse became entirely dysfunctional after the Christian Vazquez trade, as many veterans on the team saw it as the front office throwing in the towel on the 2022 season. Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and Nathan Eovaldi all showed serious statistical declines after the Vazquez trade.
Now a member of the Dodgers -- and back with former teammate Mookie Betts -- J.D. Martinez should return to the version of him we’re used to seeing. You should be further encouraged by Dave Roberts explicitly saying that Martinez is the Dodgers’ everyday DH. With playing time and a track record of offensive success, pull the trigger on J.D. Martinez.
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