Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday October 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Yankees vs. Guardians
The Yankees take on the Guardians on Saturday October 15th at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Yankees (1-1) vs. Cleveland Guardians (1-1)
- Date: Saturday October 15th, 2022
- Time: 7:37 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Yankees vs. Guardians
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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New York Yankees - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into game 3, the Yankees look to take the leg up in this Divisional Round as they are all tied with Cleveland at 1-1. In their games as the road team, New York has put together a record of 42-39. In their previous games, the Yankees lost by a score of 4-2 to Cleveland. For the year, New York has played a total of 54 series, going 30-16-8.
New York pitcher Luis Severino gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-3. Coming into the game, Severino has put together an ERA of 3.18 across his 19 outings. Severino's WHIP of just 1.0 compares favorably to other MLB starters. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .196. Across his previous outings, Severino has a SLG% allowed of .353. In total, he has given up 14 home runs.
On the season, New York boasts the 2nd ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.96 runs per game. The Yankees' combined batting average currently sits at .241, placing them 15th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .176. The team's lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.57 home runs per game (1st). To date, the team's barrel rate of 10.1% ranks near the top of the league. New York's overall OBP of .324 is good for 4th in the league. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .327.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians will be looking to pick up their 2nd straight win over New York, which would give them a 2-1 lead in this Divisional Round series. In their games at Progressive Field, Cleveland has put together a record of 48-35. Cleveland is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 4-2 win over the Yankees. So far, the team has won 27 out of their first 53 series, 27-15-11.
Guardians starter Triston McKenzie comes into the game with a record of just 11-11. Through 31 outings, McKenzie has an ERA sitting at 2.96. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .201 against him. So far, home runs have been a problem for McKenzie. Through 191 innings of work, he has already given up 1.18 deep shots. Triston McKenzie takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 4.32. This has come while striking out 26.0% of the batters he's faced.
On offense, Cleveland comes into the game averaging 4.25 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the team ranks 12th in runs scored through 4 innings. As a team, the Guardians are batting a healthy .252, placing them .252 in the league. For the season, 30.5% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 29th in the league at .79 home runs per contest. The team's current slugging percentage of .380 ranks near the league average. Up to this point, Cleveland has been getting on base at a rate of .315, placing them 16th in all of baseball. While their current wOBA of .306 is similar to the league average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Yankees vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Cleveland, the Yankees are the betting favorite at -120 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 54.55%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Yankees on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Yankees Moneyline
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