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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday September 19th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Twins vs. Guardians
The Twins take on the Guardians on Monday September 19th at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (72-73) vs. Cleveland Guardians (79-66)
- Date: Monday September 19th, 2022
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Twins vs. Guardians
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Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Minnesota takes on the Cleveland Guardians looking to get back to .500, with a record of 72-73. This mark places them 3rd in the AL Central division. The Twins will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (30-41) closer to the .500 mark. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated Cleveland by a score of 3-0. Currently, Minnesota has a below .500 record in their 46 series, coming in at 20-20-6.
Starting for the Twins will be Sonny Gray. On the season, he has an overall record of 8-4. Through 23 outings, Gray's has an ERA sitting at 2.91. Gray's WHIP of just 1.10 compares favorably to other MLB starters. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .218. Across his previous outings, Gray has a SLG% allowed of .333. In total, he has given up 10 home runs. Overall, he has notched 116 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%.
Minnesota's offense comes into this game averaging 4.33 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team ranks 12th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Through 145 games, the Twins have a team batting average of .247, ranking 12th. For the season, 34.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Minnesota's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.15 home runs per game ranks 12th. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Minnesota's overall OBP of .316, is good for 12th in the league. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .316.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Cleveland Guardians host the Minnesota Twins, they have a record of 79-66, placing them 1st in the AL Central division. In their 71 games at Progressive Field, the Guardians have a strong record of 39-32. Cleveland will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Twins by a score of 3-0. For the year, the team has played a total of 47 series, going 22-15-10.
Starting for the Guardians will be Cal Quantrill, with an overall record of 12-5. Across 28 appearances, Quantrill has a combined ERA of 3.51. His batting average allowed of .256 compared to other pitchers. So far, opponents have taken Quantrill over the fence 19 times across 164 innings pitched. In his previous outings, Quantrill has a K/BB rate of 2.65, this includes averaging 4.1 K's per appearance.
Cleveland enters play with the 21st ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.18 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at 29. The Guardians have combined to hit .252, which ranks 10th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.6 hits per game. Despite the team's high batting average, they are off struggle in the power department, ranking 29th in the league, at .78 home runs per contest. Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 33.1%. Cleveland's OBP of .314 places them 16th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.3%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Twins vs. Guardians
Today's matchup between Minnesota and Cleveland is predicted to be a close game, as there is no clear cut favorite on the moneyline. However, the betting model gives the advantage to Minnesota in both starting pitching and at the plate. Go ahead and grab the Twins on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins Moneyline
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