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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, August 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Tigers vs. Guardians
The Tigers take on the Guardians on Wednesday August 17th at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers (45-74) vs. Cleveland Guardians (62-55)
- Date: Wednesday August 17th, 2022
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Tigers vs. Guardians
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Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Cleveland, the Tigers have a record of just 45-74. This places the team 5th in the AL Central division. On the season, the Tigers have been one of the worst performing road teams, going 19-41. In their last game, the Tigers picked up a 4-3 win over the Guardians. Currently, Detroit has a below .500 record in their 38 series, coming in at 9-23-6.
Tigers starter Daniel Norris comes into the game with a record of just 0-4. Against the Tigers, Norris is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 6.90. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .207. So far, home runs have been a problem for Norris, as he is averaging just over 2 homes runs allowed per game. Heading into the game, he has struck out 32.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Daniel Norris has had problems with walks, averaging 6.3 per 9 innings.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Detroit's offense, as they are the 30th ranked scoring team at 3.19. When playing on the road, the team has an even run differential. The Tigers combined batting average currently sits at .227, placing them 28th in the league. For the season, 28.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. On average, the team has hit just 0.59 home runs per game, placing them 30th in the league. To date, Detroit has the MLB's 29th rated OBP, sitting at .283, while their wOBA of .271 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians enter play ranked 1st in the AL Central division, with an overall record of 62-55. When playing at Progressive Field, the Guardians have played well, posting a record of 30-24. In their previous games, Cleveland lost by a score of 4-3 to the Tigers. So far, the team has won 17 out of their first 37 series, 17-12-8.
Cleveland pitcher Cal Quantrill gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 9-5. Across 22 appearances, Quantrill has a combined ERA of 3.67. On average, Quantrill is allowing 1.23 base runners per inning (WHIP). Currently, opponents have a batting average of .257 against him. Across his previous outings, Quantrill has a SLG% allowed of .407, including giving up 16 home runs. Heading into the game, Quantrill has struck 16.0% of the batters he's faced.
Offensively, Cleveland is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.34 runs per game. The team's offense has performed well late in games, ranking 0.86 in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. As a team, the Guardians are batting a healthy .252, this includes batting .253 over their last 3 games. On average, the team has hit just .79 home runs per game, placing them 29th in the league. To date, Cleveland has the MLB's 16th rated OBP at .314, while their current wOBA of .307 is similar to the league average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Tigers vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Detroit and Cleveland, the Guardians are the heavy favorite at -210 on the moneyline. Cleveland's implied win probability sits at 67.74%. The MLB predictive model shows Cleveland have enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Guardians on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Guardians Runline
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