Welcome to our Giants vs. Dolphins fantasy football start 'em, sit' em matchups analysis article for Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season.
Read our matchups analysis, player breakdowns, and lineup recommendations for the matchup and set those winning lineups. Good luck RotoBallers!
New York Giants at Miami Dolphins
Spread: Dolphins -12.5
Implied Total: Giants (17.5) vs. Dolphins (30)
Pace: Giants (11th) vs. Dolphins (18th)
Giants Off. DVOA: -31.1% Pass (32nd), -20.1% Rush (25th)
Dolphins Off. DVOA: 76.6% Pass (1st), 28.3% Rush (1st)
Giants Def. DVOA: 30.0% Pass (29th), -3.6% Rush (22nd)
Dolphins Def. DVOA: 20.8% Pass (26th), 6.8% Rush (29th)
Matchups We Love
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, MIA)
Tagovailoa is proving to be more matchup-based than anticipated, which does make sense when you consider he relies on passing touchdowns more because he doesn't run the ball. In Week 2 against the Patriots, he was the QB26, and against the Bills last week, he was the QB18. Meanwhile, against the Chargers and Broncos, he was the QB1 both weeks. He may overcome the difficult matchups as the season wears on, but thankfully, he gets the Giants, which puts him in play as a top-five signal-caller.
Most pass yards per game this season:
326.5 — Tua Tagovailoa
307.3 — Matthew Stafford
303.5 — Kirk Cousins
303.0 — CJ StroudThe only players with over 280 yards per game. pic.twitter.com/byAESUoneV
— StatMuse NFL (@statmusenfl) October 6, 2023
Tyreek Hill (WR, MIA)
Hill got hurt partway through the contest but was able to return to action. No one from the passing attack had a great day, but we know he'll bounce back, especially given the matchup. Historically, you'd find Jaylen Waddle lumped in with Hill as an elite option. However, things haven't been so smooth this year. He's averaging just five targets per game, making it a challenge to pop off a big week as he so frequently did. He's still averaging 17.5 yards per reception, showcasing his big play ability, but the volume hasn't followed suit. The probable outcome is a better outing at home in this one, but he's not as automatic as he once was.
Dolphins RBs
De'Von Achane continues to impress with elite speed and massive upside. His first two rushing attempts went for touchdowns and he later ripped off a 55-yard run. To sustain 11.4 yards per carry on 27 attempts is unbelievable. Additionally, he's second only to Breece Hall in terms of the percentage of his yards that have come from breakaway runs (15-plus yard runs) at 65.7%. It seems impossible to maintain, but there's no doubt he's an explosive athlete.
De'Von Achane is averaging 11.4 yards per carry so far this season 😳
That could shatter the NFL record of 8.4, held by Michael Vick (2006) and Beattie Feathers (1934) 👀 pic.twitter.com/Nv70Roktvv
— ESPN Fantasy Sports (@ESPNFantasy) October 6, 2023
Raheem Mostert had a polar opposite experience, losing one of his two fumbles while averaging 1.3 yards per carry. Achane may have already surpassed him on the depth chart, but it'd be nice to have one more week of data before we make any declarations. There's also a chance Salvon Ahmed will see more snaps in his second week back from injury; plus, we're waiting to find out if Jeff Wilson Jr. will be active. That said, they're both in the top 24 against New York with the edge to Achane for his ceiling.
Matchups We Hate
Daniel Jones (QB, NYG)
Jones faced an assault of pressure on Monday. He was sacked 10 times and hit on eight more occasions. They lost their starting left tackle, Andrew Thomas, midway through the game, which was too much for their O-line to overcome. The Dolphins present a relatively similar challenge this week, making Jones a bench.
Other Matchups
Darren Waller (TE, NYG)
It's been a sad state of affairs for Waller. He's run the fifth-most routes among tight ends with a targets per route run of 19% and a yards per route run of 1.25. The usage metrics are there to indicate he's on the field earning targets, the production just hasn't been there to the extent we all hoped it would. As unsatisfying as his output has been, he's currently the TE13 on the season in half-PPR scoring and he's yet to find the end zone. It's fair to assess your options, but against Miami, he's still in the mix as a top-12 tight end.
Giants RB
Another week of uncertainty here for the New York RB room. Saquon Barkley was ruled out ahead of their game on Monday and remains limited in practice, exactly like last week. Miami is a plus matchup, especially for a player like Barkley who can showcase his receiving ability in comeback mode. If he's out, Matt Breida remains the primary backup and would be a flex option.
UPDATE: After another week of limited practices, Barkley is listed as questionable again. The odds are better this week, but it seems far from a guarantee that he's active.
Saquon Barkley questionable, three offensive linemen out for Giants. https://t.co/RGwHVmqBnR
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) October 6, 2023
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR, NYG)
We said last week that Robinson was on the rise, but it was too early to trot him out there. That's starting to shift. Robinson played the second-highest number of snaps behind only Darius Slayton, ran the second-most routes, and led the team in targets. He's quickly ascending to the top of a wide-open depth chart, placing him in the flex range. Hot on his tail is Jalin Hyatt, who played just three fewer snaps, ran two fewer routes, and earned four fewer targets. He's an interesting player to stash.
Notable Injuries
Jeff Wilson Jr. (abdomen)
Saquon Barkley (ankle)
Wan'Dale Robinson (knee)
Daniel Bellinger (neck)
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!