Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (6/29/23)

I had to take the day off yesterday, so I appreciate my man Tommy Bell filling in for me on the player prop article. I went two for two on the betting picks on Tuesday. Although a small sample size, I am looking for a clean sweep this week. We have two strikeout props today and, as always, my hit parlay.

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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, June 29, 2023. I will continue to hone in on K props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with some total base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice. 

MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Zack Greinke OVER 2.5 strikeouts (+100 DraftKings Sportsbook)

We start here today with a pitcher prop I never imagined writing up. Zack Greinke will square off against the Guardians tonight. Greinke has a 18.0% K% and a 7.5% SwStr%. These numbers are very underwhelming.

His opponent, the Cleveland Guardians, is also one of the toughest teams in baseball to strike out against right-hand pitching. The Guardians own a 19.2% K% against the split, good for second-best in baseball. Since June 1, they have held an 18.2% K%. So I bet you are thinking, why are we betting this?

This bet is solely based on a too-low line with a ton of juice. Greinke has three or more strikeouts in 14 of his 16 starts this season. He has hit that mark 87.5% of the time, and we are getting this line at +100. It's not pretty, but it's my favorite pitcher prop of the night.

Max Scherzer OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-110 DraftKings SportsBook)

Scherzer enters play with a 7-2 record, 26.2% K%, 14.0% SwStr%, and a 3.70 SIERA. Over the last six starts, Scherzer's strikeouts have been elite. He has a 29.4% K% and a 15.5% SwStr%. He has struck out eight or more in five of those six starts.

The Brewers are an elite matchup for strikeouts against right-hand pitching. They own a 25.1% K% against the split. Over the last month, they hold a 27.7% K%. With the way Scherzer has been trending with his strikeouts and the outstanding matchup with the Brewers, I see Scherzer smashing his strikeouts line tonight.

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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

SGP Kyle Tucker + Chas McCormick to record a hit (-140 DraftKings SportsBook)

Over the last few weeks, I provided you with some hit parlays. Honestly, it's been a blast betting and has been very profitable. I will make this a constant theme in my articles for the rest of the season. I like giving you guys different looks on how to bet instead of writing up the everyday props like always. You can always take either of the two guys below for their total bases prop to get a better line.

Adam Wainwright will get the ball for the Cardinals against the Astros. Wainwright has a .345 BAA and a 5.63 SIERA on the season. Over his last six starts, he allowed eight or more hits in five outings. He has been getting hit for a .367 BAA over that period. Wainwright has allowed a .398 BAA against lefties this season and a .306 BAA against righties.

Kyle Tucker is the best left-handed bat in this lineup against right-hand pitching with Alvarez on the shelf. He has a .254 AVG against the split this season. Tucker has a hit in five straight games this season. Chas McCormick is on a tear. He is hitting .359 in June against righties. McCormick has a hit in seven of his last ten games.

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