X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (4/30/23)

Matt Chapman - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Another day of rain in the Northeast means we won't get a chance to bet on Spencer Strider again as that game just got postponed again. Yesterday our guy Nathan Eovaldi was awesome, striking out 8 in a CGSO against the Yankees, while Reid Detmers was incredibly frustrating to watch and came up one short of his prop despite striking out five hitters in his first two innings! I hope you bet on Gausman, too, as he whiffed 13 Mariners and looks back in peak form.

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Sunday, April 30, 2023. All odds listed are on DraftKings unless otherwise specified, but always shop the books for the best bargains! Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games already.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Sonny Gray OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-165 DK)

There's a decent chance this moves to 6.5 by the time this game starts, so get it while you can. Gray has been tremendous this season with an ERA under one and 34 strikeouts in 29 innings. His only real low strikeout game came back against these Royals in his first start of the season when he didn't have his control quite dialed in yet and walked four batters while striking out only one hitter in five innings. He likely had a pitch count that game and I'm not reading too far into it.

The Royals are a team we continue to attack with good strikeout artists as their young lineup has a lot of strikeouts in it. If Sonny keeps attacking the zone and getting in front of hitters, he can use his offspeed stuff to generate those whiffs and put guys away. He's my favorite K prop on the board based on how well he is slinging it and the matchup.

Logan Allen OVER 4.5 strikeouts (+110 DK)

These odds are also moving as I bet Allen at +120 before I started writing this piece this morning. This one is a no-brainer for me, we are getting some great odds from Vegas because Allen is an unproven commodity, but he whiffed 8 Marlins in his MLB debut and was dominating in Triple-A before coming up.

This is simply a "that's too low of a number for this guy" type situation as Allen's talent is worth investing in here, even in a tougher matchup with Boston than he had in Miami. I wouldn't be surprised if he turns in another solid outing with 6 or more strikeouts so he makes a nice ladder candidate on FanDuel as well.

Nestor Cortes OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-170 DK)

Like Sonny's prop, Nasty Nestor has a lot of juice attached to his today (so parlay them for better odds!). But it's justified as Nestor has pitched very well to start the year and has 6+ strikeouts in each of his last three outings.

I love that he has only a 4% walk rate and that you know he's not going to mess around and put guys on base without making them earn it. He's not afraid to challenge hitters either, even though he doesn't have overpowering velocity. He uses a variety of deliveries and pitches to keep hitters off balance and is so fun to watch. Texas has a few 30% strikeout rate against lefties guys in this lineup (Semien, Jung, Duran) and Nestor can usually pitch deep enough into games to get us there.

If you want a fourth guy at better odds, then consider Drew Rasmussen over 5.5 strikeouts at +110 odds on DK. I think he bounces back today against the White Sox.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Matt Chapman OVER 1.5 total bases (-130 DK)

Taking the low-hanging fruit here and rolling with one of the best hitters in baseball over the first month in Chapman. He's hitting .372 and has been barreling the ball like crazy even making loud outs when he doesn't get a hit. I'm not a BvP truther by any means, but Chapman is 14-37 off Gonazles in his career with six extra-base hits (one HR) and he's been mashing lefties in a big way this season with a .566 wOBA and .346 ISO.

Marco Gonzales has a 19% strikeout rate this year, but he's usually a guy who is closer to 15% and he gives up a lot of contact. Chapman just needs to get something he can hit today and one hard-hit ball finding a gap is all we need to cash this one.

William Contreras OVER 1.5 total bases (+105 DK)

Ironically enough after going after the Brewers with Detmers yesterday, I have some interest in their hitters today against the Angels starter Jose Suarez, who has a 7.74 xFIP, 14% strikeout rate, and 51% fly-ball rate. Of all the Brewers bats, Contreras has the best numbers against lefties so far this season as he's sporting a .450 wOBA and .227 ISO with only an 11% strikeout rate.

That means he's probably making a lot of contact today in his at-bats against Suarez and that there is a high probability of that contact being high quality. He's just a really good hitter and Suarez has been terrible. The platoon splits for both guys make for an incredibly favorable matchup. You have



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Demarcus Robinson19 mins ago

Will Not Face Team Suspension
Patrick Kane22 mins ago

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Josh Downs28 mins ago

Estimated As Non-Participant On Wednesday
Mike Matheson30 mins ago

Unavailable Wednesday
Auston Matthews37 mins ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Darnell Mooney42 mins ago

Limited On Wednesday
Calvin Ridley53 mins ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Kris Murray1 hour ago

Is Questionable For Wednesday
Peyton Watson1 hour ago

Listed As Probable For Wednesday's Matchup With Utah
Amon-Ra St. Brown1 hour ago

Questionable For Thursday
David Montgomery2 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Thursday
J.K. Dobbins2 hours ago

"Will Miss Some Time"
Romeo Doubs2 hours ago

Packers Rule Romeo Doubs Out For Thursday Night
Brock Purdy3 hours ago

To Be Limited In Wednesday's Practice
Trevor Lawrence3 hours ago

Surgery Not Off The Table For Trevor Lawrence
Aidan O'Connell3 hours ago

Raiders Confirm Aidan O'Connell Will Start In Week 13
DeVonta Smith3 hours ago

Still Not Practicing
Noah Clowney3 hours ago

Out Versus Suns
Isiah Pacheco4 hours ago

Will Return In Week 13
Nicolas Claxton4 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Matchup With Phoenix
Jose Alvarado4 hours ago

Ruled Out Wednesday
Gradey Dick5 hours ago

Won't Play Wednesday Against New Orleans
Austin Ekeler5 hours ago

To Miss Wednesday's Practice
Brian Robinson Jr.5 hours ago

Will Practice On Wednesday
Alex Caruso5 hours ago

Unavailable Wednesday
Dalton Kincaid5 hours ago

Won't Practice On Wednesday
Tommy Devito5 hours ago

Tommy DeVito A Long Shot To Play On Thursday Against Dallas
Josh Downs6 hours ago

Colts Not Ruling Out Josh Downs For Week 13
Tommy Devito6 hours ago

Tommy DeVito Questionable To Play On Thanksgiving
Trevor Lawrence6 hours ago

To Practice Wednesday, Get First-Team Reps For Week 13
Aaron Rodgers7 hours ago

Will Remain Starter If Healthy
Jonathan Kuminga8 hours ago

Might Miss A Third Straight Game Wednesday
Quentin Grimes8 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Wednesday
Klay Thompson8 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Tobias Harris8 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing First Game Of The Season
Cade Cunningham8 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful For Wednesday
Scoot Henderson8 hours ago

Questionable To Play Against Pacers
Donovan Clingan9 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Ilya Sorokin9 hours ago

To Face Bruins On Wednesday
Jayden Struble9 hours ago

Scores In Second Consecutive Game
Dylan Guenther9 hours ago

Bags Two More Points Against Canadiens
Nick Schmaltz9 hours ago

Records Two Assists In Tuesday's Win
Conor Garland9 hours ago

Extends Scoring Streak With Two-Point Effort
Kevin Lankinen9 hours ago

Shuts Out Bruins
Mike Matheson10 hours ago

Traveling With Team
17 hours ago

Red Sox Focusing On Max Fried
Blake Snell18 hours ago

Dodgers Agree On Five-Year, $182 Million Deal
Cameron Johnson19 hours ago

Questionable Against Phoenix
Stephen Curry19 hours ago

May Miss Wednesday's Contest
Cam Thomas19 hours ago

Sidelined For Wednesday's Matchup With Phoenix
Brandon Ingram19 hours ago

May Miss Another Game On Wednesday
Dejounte Murray19 hours ago

Officially Probable For Wednesday Night
Jerami Grant19 hours ago

Not Expected To Face The Pacers
Robert Williams III19 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus Indy
20 hours ago

Red Sox Stepping Up Their Efforts For Juan Soto
Auston Matthews24 hours ago

Could Be Ready For Action On Wednesday
Cole Sillinger24 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Mitchell Chaffee24 hours ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Thatcher Demko1 day ago

Nearing Season Debut
Tage Thompson1 day ago

Set To Return On Wednesday
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

May Be Ready To Return Later In The Week
Timo Meier1 day ago

Receives One-Game Suspension
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Returns To Action Tuesday
Nolan Arenado1 day ago

Willing To Move To First Base
Evan Carter1 day ago

Swinging A Bat, Expected To Be Ready For Spring Training
Josh Jung1 day ago

Expected To Be Ready For Spring Training
Adolis García1 day ago

Adolis Garcia Resumes Running
Corey Seager1 day ago

Nearing Full Baseball Activities
Macklin Celebrini1 day ago

Records First Career Three-Point Game
Connor Hellebuyck1 day ago

Stops 43 Shots In Win Against Wild
Seth Jarvis1 day ago

Returns With A Three-Point Effort
Devin Williams2 days ago

Brewers Plan To Hang Onto Devin Williams For Now
2 days ago

Blue Jays Could Make Aggressive Play For Anthony Santander
Alec Bohm2 days ago

Phillies, White Sox Have Discussed Alec Bohm, Garrett Crochet
2 days ago

Mets The Clear-Cut Favorites To Land Juan Soto
Yusei Kikuchi2 days ago

Signs Three-Year Deal With Angels
Yan Xiaonan2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tabatha Ricci2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Macau
Muslim Salikhov2 days ago

Gets Highlight-Reel Knockout Win At UFC Macau
Song Kenan2 days ago

2-2 In Last Four Fights After UFC Macau Loss
Zhang Mingyang2 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC Macau
Ozzy Diaz2 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Macau
Volkan Oezdemir4 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Macau
MMA4 days ago

Carlos Uberg Extends Win Streak At UFC Macau
MMA4 days ago

Cong Wang Gets Submitted In Upset Fashion At UFC Macau
Gabriella Fernandes4 days ago

Pulls Off Massive Upset At UFC Macau
Deiveson Figueiredo4 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Macau
Petr Yan4 days ago

Gets Dominant Win At UFC Macau
5 days ago

Nationals Non-Tender Kyle Finnegan On Friday
5 days ago

Rays Non-Tender Dylan Carlson
5 days ago

Rockies Non-Tender Brendan Rodgers, Cal Quantrill
Mike Yastrzemski5 days ago

Avoids Arbitration With Giants
5 days ago

Blue Jays Non-Tender Closer Jordan Romano
Dustin May5 days ago

Dodgers Sign Dustin May To One-Year Deal To Avoid Arbitration
Brady Singer5 days ago

Shipped To Cincinnati
Jonathan India5 days ago

Traded To Kansas City
Tabatha Ricci5 days ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Yan Xiaonan5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Muslim Salikhov5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Song Kenan5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Zhang Mingyang5 days ago

Set For His Second UFC Fight
Ozzy Diaz5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Carlos Ulberg6 days ago

Looking To Cement Himself As A Title Contender At UFC Macau
Volkan Oezdemir6 days ago

Eyes Another Knockout At UFC Macau
Gabriella Fernandes6 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Macau

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP