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What's going on RotoBallers? John Brubaker here for my first installment of FREE MLB Player Props. After taking some time to myself on Sunday I absolutely smashed Monday's slate, and am looking to keep the momentum going into tonight's slate. We have a plentiful slate to pick from today, as all 30 teams will be taking the field. Let's get right to it.
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In this article, I'll be providing my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. Without any further ado, let's take a look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games!
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Charlie Morton OVER 5.5K (-155 DK) vs. MIA
I'll start things off on tonight's slate with Charlie Morton. Morton (2-2, 3.22 ERA) has pitched pretty well to this point of the season, now making his fifth turn in the rotation.
He's finished with strikeout totals of one, six, five, and five over his first four starts, respectively. He'll take on a Marlins lineup that ranks 19th in strikeout rate (24.3%) against right-handed pitching. He projects to a 28.99% strikeout rate in this one and projects to 6.34 strikeouts. I'll back Morton in this spot, especially following Spencer Strider's 13-strikeout gem last evening.
Jake Woodford Under 3.5K (-128 FD) vs. SF
I'll take a look at an under next, this time with Jake Woodford. Woodford (1-2, 6.05 ERA) will be making his fifth start of the season.
Woodford has tossed three, five, three, and one strikeout across his first four starts, respectively. While he does take on a Giants lineup that strikes out far more than most – ranking 26th in strikeouts against right-handed pitching (25.9%), I'll back him here based on my model's data. His 13.54% strikeout rate and 3.02 median projection don't necessarily add up (likely based on the minimal data provided), but I just can't imagine him getting there tonight.
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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Nathaniel Lowe over 1.5 TB (+100 DK) vs. CIN
As far as hitters go, I'll take a look at Nathaniel Lowe's total bases to start. Lowe will take on Cincinnati starter Luke Weaver; who enters this matchup following just one start in 2023, allowing four runs while striking out eight.
Lowe comes into this matchup hitting .244 with seven doubles and two homers on the young season. He's had two career at-bats against Weaver, going 1-2 with a triple. He projects to an impressive .400 wOBA and 1.87 total bases tonight. He had a rough night against the southpaw Nick Lodolo last night (0-4, 2K), but will look to bounce back tonight with the platoon advantage.
Anthony Santander over 1.5 TB (+115 DK) vs. BOS
I'll back Anthony Santander for my final prop selection in tonight's slate. It'll be Corey Kluber taking the ball for the Red Sox tonight. If this was five years ago, there's no way I'd be attacking this matchup. But this is a different time, and Kluber isn't the "Klubot" he once was, despite striking out his 1700th batter in his last start.
Anyways, not only is Kluber getting up there in age, he doesn't particularly like facing Santander. In nine games against Kluber, Santander is 8-19 with three doubles, a homer, and three walks. He projects to a very good .393 wOBA and 1.82 total bases according to my data model, making this a very solid value play.
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