X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/6/22)

kyle wright fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups draft sleepers pitchers

Happy Tuesday, RotoBallers, we're back for another day of MLB betting picks, this time during the week! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 season!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Tuesday, September 6th, 2022.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

 

LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

  • Season to Date: 60-64-2, -17.63 units
  • Sides: 31-33-1, -12.77 units
  • Totals: 28-31-1, -6.56 units
  • Props: 1-0 +1.70 units

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Marlins @ Phillies

O/U: 6.5 | Moneyline: PHI -245

MIA: Jesus Luzardo | PHI: Aaron Nola

We were able to finish up our weekend strong going 2-0 on two first-inning unders on Sunday. We'll be going head down into the new week with another first-inning under play in Philadelphia. The Marlins will be sending southpaw Jesus Luzardo (3-6, 3.44 ERA) to the mound. Luzardo has been solid in the first inning over the course of the season, holding opponents scoreless in five of seven road starts as well as nine of 11 starts overall. 

Now, the Phillies did hurt us in the first inning under plays over the weekend, but I feel "safer" tonight with them sending Aaron Nola to the mound. Nola's thrown a scoreless opening frame in 11 of 13 starts at Citizens' Bank Park as well as in 22 of 26 starts overall. This includes two starts against the Marlins this season, one at home and one in Miami, allowing a run in neither of them. 

Offensively, the Marlins are the worst in the league in terms of scoring in the first inning. They've scored in just 12% of first innings on the road and in roughly 15% of first innings overall. On the other hand, the Phillies have scored in 35% of home games, but in just 28% of games overall. We're getting slight value here, as my model gives the under a true line of -161 while FanDuel has it at -150. 

Pick: Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-150) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Braves @ Athletics

O/U: 7.5 | Moneyline: OAK +190

ATL: Kyle Wright | OAK: Cole Irvin

I'll be heading out west to Oakland for our second play of the day. We won't be looking at a first inning under here, but rather a first-half play. I'll look to back the Braves behind Kyle Wright (17-5, 2.85 ERA) to the mound. Wright has pitched extremely well this season and despite his xFIP (3.26) showing potential regression, Wright should have no issue carving through an Athletics lineup that projects to a .370 wOBA + ISO and 22.83% hard-contact rate according to my model. 

The Athletics will be sending lefty Cole Irvin (7-11, 3.35 ERA) to the mound. Irvin has been a bright spot in a pretty ugly season out in Oakland, and I can't see I'm anticipating him shining tonight. His xFIP shows signs of regression (4.20), and projects to a 4.24 xFIP tonight against a Braves lineup that has a projected 36.74% hard-contact rate and a .547 wOBA + ISO, both among the highest on the slate.

It's clear that the Braves have a strong advantage in this matchup, from the pitcher to the lineup. I do trust the Braves' bullpen against the Athletics late in the ballgame, I'd rather back them to win in the first five innings rather than take the run line. With that, I'll back the solid value we're getting on FanDuel Sportsbook at -130.

Pick: Braves F5 Money Line (-130) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. Enjoy your Labor Day!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Isaac Guerendo25 mins ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 16
Marquise Brown49 mins ago

Chiefs Plan To Activate Marquise Brown For Saturday's Game
Scottie Barnes3 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Thursday
Brandon Miller3 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday's Game
Alperen Sengün3 hours ago

Alperen Sengun Questionable To Face Pelicans
Kristaps Porzingis3 hours ago

Carries A Questionable Tag Thursday
Domantas Sabonis3 hours ago

Iffy For Meeting With Lakers
Anthony Davis3 hours ago

Likely Good To Go Thursday
LeBron James4 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Thursday
Kyrie Irving4 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday
Luka Doncic4 hours ago

Misses Thursday's Action
Mason Marchment4 hours ago

Exits Early Wednesday
Brock Faber4 hours ago

Remains Under Evaluation After Getting Hit By Puck
Justin Barron4 hours ago

Canadiens Trade Justin Barron To Nashville
Alexandre Carrier4 hours ago

Moves To Montreal
Will Borgen4 hours ago

Joins Rangers
Kaapo Kakko5 hours ago

Traded To Seattle
Cade Otton12 hours ago

Absent From Practice Wednesday
Bucky Irving12 hours ago

Limited As Week 16 Prep Begins
Geno Smith13 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Wednesday
DK Metcalf13 hours ago

Misses Practice As Week 16 Prep Begins
Kenneth Walker III13 hours ago

Opens Week 16 With A Missed Practice
Trey Lyles15 hours ago

A Full-Go In Wednesday’s Practice
Tyreek Hill15 hours ago

Gets A Day Of Rest
Kevin Huerter15 hours ago

Uncertain for Thursday
Cameron Johnson15 hours ago

Nuggets, Nets Hold "Exploratory Talks" Regarding Cameron Johnson
Keegan Murray15 hours ago

Misses Wednesday’s Practice
Bradley Beal15 hours ago

Heat Reportedly Not Interested In Bradley Beal
Domantas Sabonis15 hours ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Zach Charbonnet16 hours ago

Misses Practice With Oblique Injury
Nolan Arenado18 hours ago

Blocks Trade To Astros
Trae Young18 hours ago

Expected To Face The Spurs
Kawhi Leonard18 hours ago

Progressing
Onyeka Okongwu18 hours ago

Out At Least Four Games
Kobe Bufkin18 hours ago

Done For The Rest Of The Season
Marcus Smart18 hours ago

Unlikely To Face The Dubs
Ja Morant19 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night
Vitek Vanecek19 hours ago

To Miss "At Least A Couple Of Weeks"
Thomas Harley19 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Wednesday
Baker Mayfield19 hours ago

Buccaneers List Baker Mayfield As DNP On Wednesday
Marco Kasper19 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Action Wednesday
Alex Lyon19 hours ago

Returns To Work Wednesday
Sam Bennett19 hours ago

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Aleksander Barkov19 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision On Wednesday
Nikolaj Ehlers19 hours ago

Set To Return To Jets Lineup
Michael Pittman Jr.19 hours ago

Picks Up DNP On Wednesday
Zach Ertz20 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Clyde Edwards-Helaire20 hours ago

Signed By New Orleans
Jaleel McLaughlin20 hours ago

Ruled Out For Thursday
Hayden Hurst21 hours ago

Questionable, Will Dissly Ruled Out
Patrick Mahomes21 hours ago

Logs Second Straight Full Practice
Kenneth Walker III21 hours ago

Seahawks Optimistic Kenneth Walker III Will Return To Practice This Week
Geno Smith21 hours ago

Practices On Wednesday
George Pickens22 hours ago

Missing Another Practice On Wednesday
San Francisco 49ers22 hours ago

Trent Williams May Miss Rest Of Season
Isaac Guerendo22 hours ago

Dealing With New Injury, Missing Wednesday's Practice
Devin Williams23 hours ago

Yankees Name Devin Williams As The Closer
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Remains On Winning Path With A Shutout
Jake Guentzel1 day ago

Pushes Goal Streak To Seven Games
Juuse Saros1 day ago

Piles More Misery On Rangers With Shutout Performance
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

Stops Islanders From Scoring
Gabriel Vilardi1 day ago

Delivers Three Assists In Tuesday's Win
Patrik Laine1 day ago

Nets 11th Career Hat Trick
Cody Bellinger2 days ago

Traded To The Yankees
Nick Foligno2 days ago

Available Tuesday
Taylor Hall2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision For Tuesday
Joaquin Buckley3 days ago

Extends Win Streak To Six
Colby Covington3 days ago

Gets Outclassed At UFC Tampa
Manel Kape3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Bruno Silva3 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Tampa
Tuco Tokkos3 days ago

Remains Winless In The UFC
Navajo Stirling3 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Adrian Yanez4 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Tampa
Daniel Marcos4 days ago

Remains Undefeated After UFC Tampa
Vitor Petrino4 days ago

Gets Finished Again At UFC Tampa
Dustin Jacoby4 days ago

Pulls Off Stunning Knockout At UFC Tampa
Billy Quarantillo4 days ago

Gets KO'd At UFC Tampa
Cub Swanson4 days ago

Pulls Off Upset At UFC Tampa
Jack Flaherty4 days ago

Viewed As "Fallback" Option For Baltimore
Jesús Luzardo5 days ago

Cubs Showing Interest In Jesus Luzardo
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Astros Serious About Trading For Nolan Arenado
Jeffrey Springs5 days ago

A's Acquire Jeffrey Springs From Rays
Christian Walker6 days ago

Seattle Would "Love" To Sign Christian Walker
Carson Kelly6 days ago

Agrees To Two-Year Contract With Cubs
Houston Astros6 days ago

Cam Smith Traded To Houston
Hayden Wesneski6 days ago

Shipped To Houston
Isaac Paredes6 days ago

Shipped To Houston
Kyle Tucker6 days ago

Cubs Acquire Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Kyle Tucker6 days ago

Cubs Close To Acquiring Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Nestor Cortes6 days ago

Traded To The Brewers
Adrian Yanez6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Tampa
Daniel Marcos6 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated At UFC Tampa
Vitor Petrino6 days ago

Looks To Return To Win Column At UFC Tampa
Dustin Jacoby6 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Tampa
Cub Swanson6 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Tampa
Billy Quarantillo6 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Tampa

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP