X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (7/24/23)

Yu Darvish - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! As a washed baseball player myself, it's simply not enough to get my fix in a men's league, so here I am betting on the pros from my couch. I'm stoked to be back to provide some MLB picks again this year. We had a rough regular season in the articles in 2022 but bounced back significantly, going 17-6-4 en route to +6.71 units in the postseason. That success has rolled into 2023.

Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for five years now, and this is my third MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and moneylines, among many other things! In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Monday, July 24, 2023. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

LucidMedia's 2023 MLB Betting Picks

2023 Regular Season: 49-35-3 (+4.93 units)

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Pirates @ Padres

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: SD -250
PIT: Quinn Priester | SD: Yu Darvish

We had a rough day yesterday, dropping both of our plays. This opens up the door for a run-back play though, which we'll be taking here as we look back at the Padres with the Pirates coming into town.

The Pirates will send rookie Quinn Priester (0-1, 11.81 ERA) to the mound. Priester got roughed up in his debut, allowing seven earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched against the Guardians. He'll take on a Padres lineup that's tied for 17th in wOBA (.316) and 14th in wRC+ (101). They project to a .345 wOBA against Priester's pitch types and a .343 wOBA overall.

The Padres will send Yu Darvish (7-6, 4.36 ERA) to the mound. Darvish has been unlucky this season, bringing in a 3.56 ERA and 3.77 xFIP into this one. He also projects to a 3.66 SIERA today against a struggling Pirates lineup that projects to just a .297 wOBA against his pitch types.

The Padres have the offensive advantage and the pitching advantage here. The Pirates actually had to travel less than the Padres did yesterday, but I think the Padres will be happy to be back at home.

Pick: Padres -1.5 (-120), FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.2 units to win 1 unit.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Royals @ Guardians

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: CLE -196
KC: Ryan Yarbrough | CLE: Logan Allen

I'll wrap things up out in Cleveland, as the Royals and Guardians open up an early-week set.

The Royals will be sending southpaw and former Tampa Bay Ray Ryan Yarbrough to the mound. Yarbrough (2-5, 5.21 ERA) has certainly been an interesting case this season, bringing in a 5.44 ERA and 4.39 xFIP. Yarbrough has been solid lately but did allow three earned runs in 5.2 innings against the Tigers last Wednesday. Cleveland ranks poorly against lefties in general, but projects to a .331 wOBA against Yarbrough's pitch types today.

Conversely, it'll be Logan Allen taking the ball for the Guardians. Allen (4-2, 3.21 ERA) is due for some regression, generally speaking, but projects to just a 3.45 SIERA against a Royals lineup that doesn't rate too well against lefties. They project to just a .285 wOBA against Allen's pitch types.

We'll keep things within the first five innings here, as I want this to be a "starter vs. starter" play -- given that Logan Allen hasn't allowed a run in his last 12.2 innings. With that, we'll deal with a bit of juice as we grab the Guardians' F5 moneyline at -184 on FanDuel.

Pick: Guardians F5 Moneyline (-184), FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit to win 0.54 units.

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and follow my Twitter for more plays!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Trey Lyles17 mins ago

Misses Friday's Game Due To Back Soreness
Tommy Henry20 mins ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Grayson Allen23 mins ago

Not Playing Friday
Trey Jemison III24 mins ago

Unavailable Against Nuggets
Blake Walston26 mins ago

To Have Tommy John Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski32 mins ago

Brewers Reassign Jacob Misiorowski To Minor-League Camp
Gabe Vincent33 mins ago

Sits Out Friday's Game
Nick Richards35 mins ago

Sitting Out On Friday
Dorian Finney-Smith37 mins ago

Sidelined On Friday
Erik Swanson39 mins ago

Diagnosed With "Median Nerve Entrapment"
Domantas Sabonis44 mins ago

Back In Action On Friday
Shane Baz45 mins ago

Not Worried About Spring Training Results
Zeke Nnaji50 mins ago

Active On Friday
Christian Braun56 mins ago

Cleared To Face Lakers
Aaron Gordon1 hour ago

Returns To Nuggets Lineup Friday
Jamal Murray1 hour ago

Good To Go Friday Night
Nikola Jokić1 hour ago

Nikola Jokic Available Against Lakers
Ochai Agbaji1 hour ago

Out On Friday
Scottie Barnes1 hour ago

Active Versus Jazz
De'Andre Hunter2 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.2 hours ago

Returning On Friday
Mason Adams2 hours ago

Exits With Elbow Injury
Stephon Castle2 hours ago

Joins Starting Lineup Friday
Tristan da Silva2 hours ago

Starting Versus Minnesota
Will Klein2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A Tacoma
Kai Jones2 hours ago

Out Against Rockets
Simi Fehoko3 hours ago

Signing With Cardinals
Dante Exum3 hours ago

Playing Friday Against Houston
Cory Joseph3 hours ago

Starting Again On Friday Night
Kylen Granson3 hours ago

Headed To Philadelphia
Jared Shuster3 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Sterling Shepard3 hours ago

Remaining With Buccaneers
José Buttó3 hours ago

Jose Butto Dealing With Groin Injury
Cincinnati Bengals3 hours ago

Bengals Not Ruling Out Trey Hendrickson Extension
Wenceel Pérez3 hours ago

Wenceel Perez Receives Injection, Expected To Be Ready For Opening Day
Jose Trevino3 hours ago

Exits Early On Friday
Cooper Kupp3 hours ago

Signing With Seahawks
Jake Cronenworth3 hours ago

Not Expected To Play First Base
Lance McCullers Jr.3 hours ago

To Make Grapefruit League Debut On Tuesday
Giancarlo Stanton4 hours ago

Dealing With Minor Calf Injury
Jacob deGrom4 hours ago

Throws In Minor-League Game On Friday
Wilyer Abreu4 hours ago

To Make Spring Debut On Saturday, Could Be Ready For Opening Day
Grayson Rodriguez4 hours ago

Should Begin Throwing Progression Next Week
Karel Vejmelka4 hours ago

Makes Ninth Consecutive Start Friday
Kyle Wright4 hours ago

Hoping To Face Live Hitters Next Week
Dustin Wolf4 hours ago

Set To Face Avalanche Friday
Mikael Backlund4 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
Alec Marsh4 hours ago

Continues To Build Up His Arm
Bobby Witt Jr.4 hours ago

Does Some Hitting On Friday
Sam Colangelo4 hours ago

Deemed Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Sean Burke4 hours ago

To Open Season In Starting Rotation
Michael Bunting4 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Dallas Cowboys4 hours ago

Dante Fowler Jr. Heading Back To Cowboys
Andrei Svechnikov5 hours ago

Expected To Return Next Week
Nikolaj Ehlers5 hours ago

Good To Go Against Stars
Buffalo Bills5 hours ago

Larry Ogunjobi, Michael Hoecht Both Facing Six-Game PED Suspensions
Tee Higgins6 hours ago

Bengals Making Headway On Contracts For Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase
Ben Skowronek6 hours ago

Back With Steelers
Minnesota Vikings6 hours ago

Eric Wilson Returns To Minnesota
Pharaoh Brown6 hours ago

Heading To Miami
Minnesota Vikings7 hours ago

Justin Skule Signs With Vikings
Mackenzie Blackwood7 hours ago

Battling Illness, Not Starting On Friday
Rasmus Ristolainen7 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Upper-Body Injury
Lian Bichsel8 hours ago

Not Playing On Friday
Josh Norris8 hours ago

Undergoing Evaluation
JJ Peterka8 hours ago

Not Playing On Saturday
Neal Pionk8 hours ago

Viewed As Week-To-Week
Kareem Hunt8 hours ago

Chiefs Bring Back Kareem Hunt On One-Year Deal
Philadelphia Eagles8 hours ago

Eagles Open To Trading Bryce Huff
Cooper Kupp8 hours ago

Asking For $15 Million Per Year
Christian Kirk8 hours ago

Texans Restructure Christian Kirk's Contract
Rondale Moore9 hours ago

Visiting With Vikings
Bailey Zappe9 hours ago

Chiefs Re-Sign Bailey Zappe
Tim Patrick9 hours ago

Lions Re-Sign Tim Patrick
Roman Dolidze12 hours ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori13 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Cooper Kupp13 hours ago

Cowboys Not Considered Favorites For Cooper Kupp
Chidi Njokuani13 hours ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Laviska Shenault Jr.13 hours ago

Signing With Bills
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos13 hours ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh13 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez14 hours ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson14 hours ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear14 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Quinton Byfield14 hours ago

Scores In Fifth Straight Game
Jesper Bratt14 hours ago

Posts Second Straight Three-Point Performance
Brendson Ribeiro15 hours ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Tristan Jarry15 hours ago

Picks Up Third Straight Victory
Diyar Nurgozhay15 hours ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Adin Hill15 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Blue Jackets On Thursday
MMA15 hours ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Sam Bennett15 hours ago

Strikes Twice In Victory
Brady Tkachuk15 hours ago

Suffers Minor Injury On Thursday
Kevin Vallejos15 hours ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Charlie Lindgren1 day ago

Gets The Nod Against Kings Thursday
Filip Gustavsson1 day ago

Starts Against Rangers Thursday
Jacob Bridgeman2 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard2 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips2 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith2 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick3 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler3 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter3 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim3 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy3 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa3 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre3 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth3 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young3 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim3 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas3 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele3 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy3 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA3 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman3 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee3 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Power-Steering Failure Foils Tyler Reddick's Bid For Potential Victory
William Byron4 days ago

Recovers From Being Trapped A Lap Down To Finish Sixth
Josh Berry4 days ago

Gives Wood Brothers Team Best Run Since 2021
Alex Pereira4 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev4 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Justin Gaethje4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev4 days ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Ignacio Bahamondes4 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Scores His Third Consecutive Victory Of The Season At Phoenix
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Strong Phoenix Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Quietly Earns A Top-Five Finish At Phoenix
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Leaves Phoenix With His Best Finish At The Site Since 2016
Zane Smith4 days ago

Quietly Nabs His First Phoenix Top-10 Finish
Jalin Turner4 days ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
Iasmin Lucindo5 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 313
Amanda Lemos5 days ago

Dominates At UFC 313
King Green5 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC 313
Chase Elliott6 days ago

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Phoenix This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano6 days ago

Will Be A Top Contender To Win At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Is Difficult to Recommend As A DFS Option
Carson Hocevar6 days ago

Is Not An Ideal Driver To Add To Phoenix DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski6 days ago

Is A Solid DFS Choice For Phoenix Lineups
Austin Cindric6 days ago

Could Be Worth Using In Phoenix Tournament Lineups
Kyle Busch6 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Kyle Busch At Phoenix?
Michael McDowell6 days ago

Is Michael McDowell Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ty Gibbs6 days ago

Is A DFS Recommendation Despite Inconsistent Track History At Phoenix
Austin Dillon6 days ago

Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering In DFS For Phoenix This Week?
Cole Custer6 days ago

Is An Underrated DFS Value Pick For Phoenix Lineups
Tyler Reddick6 days ago

DFS Value Likely Hinges On How Much He Leads
Chase Briscoe6 days ago

Despite Strong Phoenix Record, Chase Briscoe Qualifies Inexplicably Poorly
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF