RADIO
Casey Wilson's top MLB betting picks and best bets for today's MLB games on 7/18/23. His free picks against the spread, game totals, NRFI, and other various baseball bets.
Happy Tuesday, everyone. After a long layoff with the All-Star break, we're back for some MLB bets. We start our action today with two different types of bets, both based on starting pitching matchups. We have one first five-inning bet and a moneyline bet. There's nothing better than attacking Alex Manoah on the first article back from break, so let's get to it.
Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
I do not have a model with my bets, but I dig into many numbers daily to find separations or mismatches with the bets I recommend. I also doubt anyone out there watches as much baseball as I do, and the game's feel is a massive part of my picks. In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. We will focus on money line bets, totals, and team totals. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games. Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice.
Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Brewers @ Phillies
O/U: 9.5 | Moneyline: PHI (-205)
MIL: Julio Teheran | PHI: Aaron Nola
We start our action today in Philadelphia with a matchup between the Brewers and the Phillies. Julio Teheran will be toeing the rubber for the Brewers, and Aaron Nola will get the ball for the Phillies.
Teheran enters today's start with a 4.62 SIERA, 17.3% K%, and a 1.02 WHIP. Since June 1, he has a 4.43 SIERA, 18.9% K%, and a 1.08 WHIP. Teheran has been getting knocked around in his last two starts, allowing six and seven earned runs. Since June 1, his opponent Aaron Nola has been nails. He owns a 3.26 SIERA, 30.6% K, and a 1.08 WHIP.
The Phillies are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have won 26 of their last 36 games. They have the advantage on the mound tonight with a red-hot Aaron Nola, and the bats have woken up over the previous month. I am betting the Phillies -0.5 first three innings, the first five innings, and the Phillies -1. The safest bet is the first five innings, so that I will post that below.
Pick: Phillies -0.5 first five innings (-155) DraftKings Sportsbook
Sports Betting Promo Offers
Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Padres @ Blue Jays
O/U: 9.5 | Moneyline: SD (-120)
SD: Joe Musgrove | TOR: Alek Manoah
I want to start by saying, wow, has Alec Manoah been a disappointment this season? He enters today start with a 5.63 SIERA, 18.4% K%, 13.8% BB%, and a .283 BAA. Manoah was great in his first start since being sent down to the minors against the Tigers, going six innings allowing one earned run, and striking out eight.
He gets a matchup today against the Padres, who, on the offensive side of the ball, are clicking on all cylinders. Since June 1, the Padres have owned a 111 wRC+, .330 wOBA, and a .427 SLG against right-hand pitching.
Joe Musgrove will get the rock for the Padres. Musgrove enters today's start with a 3.76 SIERA, 24.2% K%, and a 1.15 WHIP. Since June 1, he has a 3.43 SIERA, 25.3% K%, and a 0.96 WHIP. I am banking on getting a bad Manoah against the red-hot Padres bats today.
Pick: Padres moneyline -120 DraftKings Sportsbook
Good luck, Rotoballers!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
More Fantasy Baseball Analysis
