X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (7/15/22)

Sandy Alcantara - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 season!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Friday, July 15, 2022. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

  • Season to Date: 42-50-2, -17.85 units
  • Sides: 29-33-1, -14.45 units
  • Totals: 12-17-1, -5.1 units
  • Props: 1-0 +1.70 units

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Phillies @ Marlins

O/U: 7 | Moneyline: MIA -166

PHI: Kyle Gibson | MIA: Sandy Alcantara

We were fortunate enough to pick up some of the slack on Sunday with two NRFI plays, and fortunately, I have two more on the board for today. I'll start out in Miami, where Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53 ERA) will take the ball for the Phightins this evening. While Kyle Gibson's overall numbers don't look great to the eye, he's done one thing well this year – shutting down opposing offenses in the opening frame. He's done so in seven of eight starts on the road and in 14 of 17 starts overall. He's held the Marlins scoreless in the first in each of his two starts against them this season.  

Who better to start our weekend off with than Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73 ERA). We backed Sandy in a NRFI play on Sunday against the Mets, and he delivered. That start was his 14th shutout first-inning in 18 starts (77.8%). He hasn't had the same first-inning success at home as he has on the road, but has held opponents scoreless in six of nine (66.7%) starts in Loan Depot. One of those first-inning runs came against the Phillies way back on April 14. However, that came via a Bryce Harper sac fly, and obviously, Harper won't be in the lineup tonight. Not to mention that Sandy has certainly found his groove since then.

The Phillies have been held scoreless in the first inning of 81.8% of road games on the year, 74.16% of games overall, and in seven of their last ten.  Meanwhile, the Marlins have been held scoreless in the first in 77.5% of home games and 81.6% of games overall, including nine of their last ten. My model gives the first inning under a 61.89% chance of hitting, while Vegas is giving us an even -150 (60%). While the value isn't substantial, I have no trouble backing these two starters given the circumstances. 

Pick: Under 0.5 First-Inning Runs (-150) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Dodgers @ Angels 

O/U: 8 | Moneyline: LAA +180

LAD: Clayton Kershaw | LAA: Patrick Sandoval

I'll head out (quite literally) to the West Coast as the Dodgers and Angels fire up a series before all the All-Star Break activities commence in the City of Angels. I'll be headed out that way myself tomorrow. The visiting Dodgers will send Clayton Kershaw (6-2, 2.40 ERA) to the mound, who's been awesome in the first inning this year. He's held opponents scoreless in the first in 5 of 6 (83.3%) starts on the road and in 10 of 11 (90.9%) overall. He hasn't faced the Angels since 2021, where he was a perfect 1-0 in regards to scoreless first innings.

On the opposite side, Patrick Sandoval (3-4, 2.95 ERA) will take the ball for the struggling Halos. Sandoval has also been great in the first inning, keeping opponents off the scoreboard in the opening frame in six of seven starts at home and in 11 of 14 starts overall. He hasn't faced the Dodgers yet in 2022 and did surrender a first-inning run in his one start against them in 2021. It's worth noting, though, that a big part of the production of that run was due to the likes of Corey Seager and Albert Pujols, whom neither plays in LA any longer.

While the pitchers here have been great in the opening frame, their offenses have been pretty good too. The Dodgers have been held scoreless in just 63.6% of first innings on the road this year and in 64.4% overall, but have scored in just three of their last ten opening frames. On the other hand, the Angels have been held scoreless in just 65.2% of home games, but have been kept off the board in 70.8% of games overall and nine of their last ten. My model gives the first inning under a 58.11% chance of hitting, and since these offenses have been relatively consistent in the first inning this season, FanDuel Sportsbook is giving us -111 (52.6%) for the under. Given the Dodgers' struggles against left-handed pitching and the Angels' recent overall struggles, I'm more than happy to take the value here.

Pick: Under 0.5 First-Inning Runs (-140) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. See you tomorrow!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mitch Garver53 mins ago

Goes Hitless In Return To Cactus League Action
Austin Riley59 mins ago

Doubles In Return To Lineup On Saturday
Jordan Mason1 hour ago

Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
RJ Barrett3 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Sunday
Immanuel Quickley3 hours ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Jerami Grant3 hours ago

Unlikely To Play On Sunday
Marcus Smart3 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Anfernee Simons3 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Sunday
Christian Braun3 hours ago

Available On Saturday
Aaron Gordon3 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Jamal Murray3 hours ago

Will Play On Saturday Night
Nikola Jokić4 hours ago

Nikola Jokic Cleared To Suit Up Versus The Wizards
Colby Thomas4 hours ago

Sustains Injury On Saturday
Dee Eskridge4 hours ago

Sticking With Dolphins
Josh Giddey4 hours ago

Officially Out On Saturday Night
Ja Morant4 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday Night
JuJu Smith-Schuster5 hours ago

Returning To Chiefs
Josh Rojas5 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Tennessee Titans5 hours ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
Thairo Estrada5 hours ago

Removed From Saturday's Contest
Damian Lillard5 hours ago

Available Versus Indiana
Parris Campbell5 hours ago

Headed To Dallas
Nick Kurtz5 hours ago

Exits After Hit-By-Pitch
Giannis Antetokounmpo5 hours ago

Good To Go On Saturday
Jamal Murray5 hours ago

Added To Saturday's Injury Report
Jiri Kulich5 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Tobias Myers5 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Brice Turang5 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Fatigue
Tyler Myers5 hours ago

Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Nikita Kucherov5 hours ago

Good To Go Against Bruins
Yegor Chinakhov5 hours ago

Rejoins Blue Jackets Lineup Saturday
Cole Anthony6 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Joel Armia6 hours ago

Expected To Return On Saturday
Brady Tkachuk6 hours ago

Available Saturday
Donovan Mitchell6 hours ago

Questionable Against Orlando
Adam Fox6 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Rangers Lineup
Andre Drummond6 hours ago

Out Against Dallas
Ja Morant6 hours ago

Questionable On Saturday Night
P.J. Washington6 hours ago

Returning On Sunday
Philadelphia Eagles9 hours ago

Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
Dante Exum9 hours ago

Diagnosed With A Fractured Left Hand
Los Angeles Rams9 hours ago

Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
Amed Rosario9 hours ago

Returning On Saturday
Cam Thomas9 hours ago

Expected To Miss Rest Of The Season
Jose Trevino9 hours ago

Going For CT Scan
Kirk Cousins9 hours ago

Set To Receive Roster Bonus
Bryce Eldridge10 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Aaron Rodgers10 hours ago

Wants To Play In Minnesota
Blake Perkins10 hours ago

Cleared For Light Baseball Activities
Doug Nikhazy10 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Jung Hoo Lee10 hours ago

Scratched On Saturday With Back Tightness
Cody Bradford10 hours ago

Won't Throw For At Least Four Weeks
Colorado Rockies10 hours ago

Charlie Condon Out At Least Six Weeks With Broken Wrist
Bryce Miller10 hours ago

Ironing Out The Kinks In Spring Training
Logan Gilbert11 hours ago

Named Opening Day Starter
Mookie Betts11 hours ago

Missing Tokyo Exhibition Games Due To Illness
Jesús Sánchez11 hours ago

Jesus Sanchez To Miss Four Weeks With Oblique Strain
Jon Gray11 hours ago

Has A Fractured Right Wrist
Washington Commanders11 hours ago

Clelin Ferrell Returning To Washington
New York Jets11 hours ago

Kris Boyd Signs With The Jets
Los Angeles Chargers11 hours ago

Mekhi Becton Inks Deal With Chargers
Tyler Johnson12 hours ago

Links Up With Jets
Kyle Juszczyk13 hours ago

Returns To 49ers
Eeli Tolvanen16 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
WPG17 hours ago

Kyle Connor Strikes Twice On Friday
Jack Roslovic17 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Friday's Victory
Leon Draisaitl17 hours ago

Leads Edmonton To Victory
Liam O'Brien17 hours ago

Exits With Undisclosed Injury
Josh Manson17 hours ago

Exits On Friday
Atlanta Falcons1 day ago

Falcons Agree To Terms With Morgan Fox
Indianapolis Colts1 day ago

Colts Sign Corey Ballentine To One-Year Deal On Friday
Pittsburgh Steelers1 day ago

Brandin Echols Signs Two-Year Deal With Steelers
Kenny Yeboah1 day ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Lions
Avery Williams1 day ago

Signs With Eagles
Kene Nwangwu1 day ago

Jets Re-Sign Kene Nwangwu To One-Year Deal
Simi Fehoko1 day ago

Signing With Cardinals
Karel Vejmelka1 day ago

Makes Ninth Consecutive Start Friday
Dustin Wolf1 day ago

Set To Face Avalanche Friday
Mikael Backlund1 day ago

Out Week-To-Week
Sam Colangelo1 day ago

Deemed Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Michael Bunting1 day ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Andrei Svechnikov1 day ago

Expected To Return Next Week
Nikolaj Ehlers1 day ago

Good To Go Against Stars
Mackenzie Blackwood1 day ago

Battling Illness, Not Starting On Friday
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani2 days ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos2 days ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson2 days ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Brendson Ribeiro2 days ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Diyar Nurgozhay2 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
MMA2 days ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Kevin Vallejos2 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Jacob Bridgeman4 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard4 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips4 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith4 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala4 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick4 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler4 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter4 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy4 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa4 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre4 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth4 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young4 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim4 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas4 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele4 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy4 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA4 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman4 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee4 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Power-Steering Failure Foils Tyler Reddick's Bid For Potential Victory
William Byron5 days ago

Recovers From Being Trapped A Lap Down To Finish Sixth
Josh Berry6 days ago

Gives Wood Brothers Team Best Run Since 2021
Alex Pereira6 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev6 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Justin Gaethje6 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev6 days ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Ignacio Bahamondes6 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Christopher Bell6 days ago

Scores His Third Consecutive Victory Of The Season At Phoenix
Kyle Larson6 days ago

Strong Phoenix Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Chris Buescher6 days ago

Quietly Earns A Top-Five Finish At Phoenix
Alex Bowman6 days ago

Leaves Phoenix With His Best Finish At The Site Since 2016
Zane Smith6 days ago

Quietly Nabs His First Phoenix Top-10 Finish
Jalin Turner6 days ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
Iasmin Lucindo6 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 313
Amanda Lemos6 days ago

Dominates At UFC 313
King Green6 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC 313
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Tyron Smith Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

New York Jets and former long-time Dallas Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith was one of the best offensive linemen in the NFL for an extended period of time. He's made five All-Pro teams, two with the first team and two with the second team, been selected to eight Pro Bowls, and earned a spot on […]


Bills Defense - Von Miller IDP Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Fantasy Football Team Defense

Von Miller Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

Buffalo Bills linebacker Von Miller, one of the greatest pass-rushers in NFL history, was released by his team on March 9, 2025. He had signed a six-year, $120 million deal with the team in 2022, but the soon-to-be 36-year-old wasn't able to make it to the end of that contract, so he's now looking for […]


Aaron Jones - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Staying Put - Impact Players Re-signed: Aaron Jones, Zach Ertz, Jaylen Warren, more

NFL free agency is a frenzy. As football fans, we love to see the movement around the league. It allows us to dream about the possibility of our team signing a fresh player who could make a serious impact. However, one cannot overlook the impact of re-signing significant contributors. While it is not as exciting […]


Tucker Kraft - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends To Buy in 2025

My friend Josh used to make me listen to the Bring Me The Horizon song "Diamonds Aren't Forever," which begins with the line "We will never sleep, cause sleep is for the weak." That sentiment rings true in fantasy football dynasty leagues as well. You can't get complacent. You can't stop thinking about how to […]


Zay Flowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football WR Buy or Sell: Zay Flowers, Rashee Rice, and Jordan Addison (2025)

The 2024 NFL Draft class had seven first-round wide receivers. Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze were selected in the top 10. Meanwhile, Brian Thomas Jr., Xavier Worthy, Ricky Pearsall, and Xavier Legette were Day 1 selections. More importantly, Nabers and Thomas finished their rookie seasons as top-7 wide receivers in half-point PPR […]


Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Sleepers, Draft Targets: Early 2025 Analysis

One of the biggest factors in winning fantasy football teams is finding middle-to-late-round sleepers. With wide receivers typically carrying the most drafted players of any position, it makes sense that taking multiple stabs at the position in search of hitting multiple-round values is the way to set yourself apart in drafts. For 2025, the draft […]


Caleb Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, QB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2025 NFL Free Agency Frenzy: Biggest Winners and Disappointments at Every Fantasy Football Position

NFL franchises will have an opportunity to reshape their rosters before the draft. Fantasy managers will have a chance to read the tea leaves and make measured strikes against their fantasy football opposition ahead of rookie drafts. Savvy managers will use this period to try to get the best return on some previous investments, as […]


DK Metcalf - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Free Agency Fantasy Football Analysis: Fallers On New Teams (2025)

With the first wave of NFL free agency coming to an end, several fantasy-relevant players have signed on to new teams. The quarterback carousel still has several dominoes to fall, but Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, and Kenny Pickett have found new homes within the first few days of the new league year. The running back […]


James Conner - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Fallers - Players Trending Down In 2025

Fantasy football players trending "down" can mean a few different things. It can mean aging veterans, a new situation for players, regression in production after a stellar season, a change in coordinators, or all of the above. It doesn't necessarily mean these players won't produce; it's just a warning sign to proceed cautiously. Ultimately, marking […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Free Agency Fantasy Fallout!

Michael F. Florio is back going over the any signings and trades that free agency week brought us! He discusses his winners and losers of players that changed teams - then does the same for players who were not moved but still had their value impacted! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM […]


Davante Adams - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Free Agency Tracker - Updates On Every Free Agent Signing (2025)

The NFL offseason is starting to heat up, and the league's legal tampering period is set to begin on March 10 at noon Eastern. Free agents cannot officially sign until the new league year begins on March 12 at 4 p.m. Eastern, but deals will be agreed to, and news will be coming in quickly […]


Drake Maye - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Players To Target In Deep Leagues

Fantasy football sleepers are what make the game fun. There is nothing like landing an absolute stud in the double-digit rounds of your fantasy draft. The more teams in your league, the more important sleepers become. As the player pool shrinks, it is an absolute must to hit on at least one or two sleepers. […]


DK Metcalf - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Avoids, Busts: 2025 NFL Free Agent Signings

The 2025 NFL free-agency period is well underway, and many wide receivers, tight ends, quarterbacks, and running backs have already found their new homes. While some of them are in better landing spots, or at least should continue having solid production relative to their ADP (anticipated draft position) in fantasy football, some of them should […]