X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (4/17/23)

Corbin Burnes - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! As a washed baseball player myself, it's simply not enough to get my fix in a men's league. That's why I'm super stoked to be back to provide some MLB picks once again this year. We had a rough regular season in the articles in 2022 but bounced back significantly, going 17-6-4 en route to +6.71 units in the postseason. Let's hope that postseason success rolls into 2023.

Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for five years now, and this is my third MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and moneylines, among many other things! In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Monday, April 17, 2023. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

LucidMedia's 2023 MLB Betting Picks

2023 Regular Season: 10-6-0 (+3.19 units)

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Angels @ Red Sox

O/U: 9 | Moneyline: BOS +130
LAA: Shohei Ohtani | BOS: Brayan Bello

I'll start the week off in Boston as we have a very early matinee game this morning with Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout, and the Angels in town.

Ohtani (2-0, 0.47 ERA) has been dominant in his first three starts of the season and will take the ball again today. He'll face a Red Sox lineup that's been about mediocre against right-handed pitchers this season, with a .320 wOBA and 95 wRC+. They project to a .309 wOBA and 29.4% hard contact rate today and Ohtani projects to an impressive 2.47 xFIP in this matchup.

On the other side, Brayan Bello will be making his season debut for Boston. Bello went 2-8 with a 4.71 ERA in 11 starts for the Sox last season and is making his first start of the year after dealing with some elbow inflammation. I can't imagine that Boston will want to stretch him super deep into tonight's game, so we'll likely see some bullpen arms early and often.

I'll keep it nice and simple here and grab the Angels on the F5 moneyline. They have a significant matchup advantage here, and the game is early enough that I don't think we'll have to worry about any "getaway day blues" from the Halos.

Pick: Angels F5 Moneyline (-155) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.55 units to win 1 unit.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Brewers @ Mariners

O/U: 7.5 | Moneyline: SEA +122
MIL: Corbin Burnes | SEA: Chris Flexen

We'll head out west to Seattle for our second play of the day.

The visiting Brewers will send Corbin Burnes to the mound. Burnes (1-1, 5.19 ERA) is having a relatively tough start to his season but is coming off a gem in Arizona where he tossed eight shutout innings, allowing just three hits while striking out eight. Similar to Burnes, the Mariners' offense has gotten off to a slow start, coming into this one with a .315 wOBA and 101 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.

The Mariners will be sending Chris Flexen to the mound. While Burnes has started off relatively poorly, Flexen (0-2, 8.74 ERA) has gotten off to a worse start, most recently allowing 10 hits and eight earned runs to the Cubs in just 2.1 innings last Tuesday. He projects to a 5.04 xFIP in this start against a Brewers offense that comes into this one with a team wOBA of .361 and wRC+ of 121 against right-handed pitching.

With the Brewers' bullpen struggling this season (1.23 WHIP, 4.41 FIP, 4.76 xFIP), we'll keep it simple and stick to the F5 moneyline here as well. The odds on both the F5 and full game moneylines are identical (-144), which we'll grab on FanDuel.

Pick: Brewers F5 Moneyline, FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.44 units to win 1 unit.

Good luck, RotoBallers, and follow my Twitter for more plays!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mookie Betts4 hours ago

Won't Play In Tokyo Series Against Cubs
Tee Higgins4 hours ago

Becomes Highest-Paid WR2 In NFL History
Ja'Marr Chase4 hours ago

Bengals Make Ja'Marr Chase The Highest-Paid Non-QB In NFL History
Brandin Podziemski5 hours ago

On Track To Return Tuesday
Christian Braun5 hours ago

Tagged As Probable On Injury Report
Aaron Gordon5 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Jamal Murray5 hours ago

Iffy For Monday
Nikola Jokić5 hours ago

Nikola Jokic May Sit Out Meeting With Warriors
Quinten Post6 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday
Stephen Curry6 hours ago

Questionable To Play On Monday
Vince Williams Jr.7 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Coby White7 hours ago

Tagged As Probable For Monday
Josh Giddey7 hours ago

Doubtful For Monday
Gary Trent Jr.7 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Scotty Pippen Jr.7 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Ja Morant7 hours ago

Won't Play Monday
Aaron Nesmith8 hours ago

Questionable Versus Minnesota
Tyrese Haliburton8 hours ago

On The Injury Report For Monday Night
Michael Tonkin8 hours ago

Will Open Season On Injured List
Aaron Wiggins8 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Bucks
Michel Otañez8 hours ago

Michel Otanez Shut Down From Throwing
Myles Turner8 hours ago

Questionable Against Minnesota
Kyle Kuzma8 hours ago

Ready To Play Sunday
Pascal Siakam8 hours ago

Won't Play On Monday
Damian Lillard8 hours ago

Good To Go Sunday
Giannis Antetokounmpo8 hours ago

Available Against OKC
Brandon Marsh8 hours ago

Exits Early Sunday
Royce Lewis9 hours ago

Expected To Begin 2025 On Injured List
Miami Dolphins9 hours ago

Ryan Stonehouse Signs With Dolphins
Sam Darnold9 hours ago

Could Opt Out After One Season
Mark Andrews9 hours ago

Unlikely To Be Cut
Igor Shesterkin10 hours ago

Remains In Rangers Crease Sunday
John Gibson10 hours ago

Still Out On Sunday
Nick Bjugstad10 hours ago

Returns For Utah Sunday
Filip Chytil10 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Jiri Kulich11 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
Adam Pelech11 hours ago

Out On Sunday
Zach Hyman11 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Sunday
Bailey Falter11 hours ago

Ready To Go For Monday
Yu Darvish11 hours ago

Dealing With Fatigue
Clarke Schmidt11 hours ago

Won't Start On Monday
Mark Leiter Jr.11 hours ago

Should Be Ready For Opening Day
David Bednar11 hours ago

Not Officially Named Closer
Yoán Moncada12 hours ago

Yoan Moncada Could Land On Injured List
Atlanta Falcons12 hours ago

Keith Taylor Signs With Falcons
Atlanta Falcons12 hours ago

Storm Norton Back With Atlanta
Ronnie Rivers13 hours ago

Re-Ups With Rams
Mason Adams13 hours ago

Diagnosed With Flexor Strain
Joey Gallo13 hours ago

White Sox Release Joey Gallo
Sean Burke14 hours ago

Named Opening Day Starter
Jung Hoo Lee14 hours ago

Expected To Remain Sidelined For A Few Days
Max Kepler14 hours ago

Exits Early On Sunday After Collision
Eiberson Castellano14 hours ago

Could Win Bullpen Job
Kyle Freeland14 hours ago

Rockies Name Kyle Freeland Their Starter For Opening Day
Royce Lewis14 hours ago

Exits Early On Sunday
Ramón Urías14 hours ago

Ramon Urias Expected To Return On Thursday
Emmanuel Rivera14 hours ago

Dealing With Sore Shoulder
New York Jets15 hours ago

Derrick Nnadi Signing With Jets
Washington Commanders16 hours ago

Eddie Goldman Joins Commanders On One-Year Deal
Cooper Rush16 hours ago

Agrees On Two-Year Deal With Ravens
Baltimore Ravens18 hours ago

Ben Cleveland Remaining With Ravens
Seattle Seahawks18 hours ago

Shemar Jean-Charles Signing With Seahawks
Velus Jones Jr.19 hours ago

Signs With Saints
Christopher Bell20 hours ago

Quest For Four Wins In A Row Just Got More Difficult
Kyle Larson20 hours ago

Should Contend For Another Win At Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney20 hours ago

Once Again The Chalk DFS Pick At Las Vegas
Ross Chastain20 hours ago

Fastest In Practice At Las Vegas
Chris Buescher20 hours ago

Has Sneaky Upside This Weekend
Quinton Byfield20 hours ago

Scores In Sixth Straight Contest
Chase Elliott20 hours ago

May Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Las Vegas Lineups
Artemi Panarin21 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Eight Games
Pyotr Kochetkov21 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Flyers On Saturday
William Byron21 hours ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Las Vegas
Tyler Reddick21 hours ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Las Vegas
Anthony Cirelli21 hours ago

Strikes Twice On Saturday
Denny Hamlin21 hours ago

Could Denny Hamlin Be A Quality Driver For DFS At Las Vegas?
Alex Ovechkin21 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Connor Dewar21 hours ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
NASCAR21 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Could Be A Solid DFS Option For Las Vegas
Brad Keselowski21 hours ago

Qualifies Deep In The Field For Las Vegas
Erik Jones21 hours ago

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Las Vegas This Week?
Daniel Suarez21 hours ago

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Daniel Suarez At Las Vegas?
Carson Hocevar22 hours ago

Showcases Speed And Can Be Worth Rostering At Las Vegas
Ryan Preece22 hours ago

Is Ryan Preece A DFS Fade For Las Vegas Lineups?
Joey Logano23 hours ago

Likely To Lead At Las Vegas, But Will He Lead Enough For DFS Consideration?
Michael McDowell23 hours ago

Wins Spire Motorsports' First Pole At Las Vegas
Austin Cindric23 hours ago

Qualifies Third But Is Almost Guaranteed To Lose Spots
Chase Briscoe23 hours ago

Las Vegas Performance Hard To Predict
Ty Gibbs23 hours ago

A Solid DFS Option In Theory
Shane Van Gisbergen23 hours ago

Too Inexperienced At Las Vegas For DFS Consideration
Jordan Mason1 day ago

Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
Dee Eskridge1 day ago

Sticking With Dolphins
JuJu Smith-Schuster1 day ago

Returning To Chiefs
Tennessee Titans1 day ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
Parris Campbell1 day ago

Headed To Dallas
Jiri Kulich1 day ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Tyler Myers1 day ago

Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Nikita Kucherov1 day ago

Good To Go Against Bruins
Yegor Chinakhov1 day ago

Rejoins Blue Jackets Lineup Saturday
Joel Armia1 day ago

Expected To Return On Saturday
Brady Tkachuk1 day ago

Available Saturday
Adam Fox1 day ago

Ready To Rejoin Rangers Lineup
Philadelphia Eagles2 days ago

Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
Eeli Tolvanen2 days ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani3 days ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos3 days ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez3 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson3 days ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear3 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Brendson Ribeiro3 days ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Diyar Nurgozhay3 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
MMA3 days ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Kevin Vallejos3 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Jacob Bridgeman5 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard5 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips5 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith5 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler5 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter5 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim5 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy5 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre5 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young5 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim5 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy5 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA5 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman5 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee5 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF