X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (4/16/23)

patrick corbin fantasy baseball rankings mlb player news

Happy Sunday RotoBallers! As a washed baseball player myself, it's simply not enough to get my fix in a men's league. That's why I'm super stoked to be back to provide some MLB picks once again this year. We had a rough regular season in the articles in 2022 but bounced back significantly, going 17-6-4 en route to +6.71 units in the postseason. Let's hope that postseason success rolls into 2023.

Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for five years now, and this is my third MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines, among many other things! In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Sunday, April 16, 2023. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

LucidMedia's 2023 MLB Betting Picks

2023 Regular Season: 9-5-0 (+3.54 units)

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Guardians @ Nationals

O/U: 9 | Moneyline: WSH +205
CLE: Shane Bieber | WSH: Patrick Corbin

I'll start off today in D.C., as it's National Fade Patrick Corbin Day once again, as the Guardians and Nationals finish up their series with some matinee action.

The Guardians will be sending Shane Bieber (1-0, 2.37 ERA) to the mound this season. Bieber has pitched very well this season, but does have a WHIP of just under one. Fortunately for him, though, he faces a Nationals lineup that has just a .259 wOBA and 54 wRC+ against right-handed pitching on the season. Bieber projects to a 2.98 xFIP this afternoon, and the Nats project to a .284 wOBA.

On the other hand, the Nationals will be sending the one, the only, Patrick Corbin to the mound. Corbin (1-2, 7.71 ERA), has allowed at least four runs in each of his three starts this season, despite just two of them being earned in his Opening Day start. Nevertheless, he projects to a 4.21 xFIP today against a Guardians lineup that projects to a .342 wOBA and 35.99% hard contact rate in this one.

We're getting a decent line on DraftKings for Cleveland at -135, which I think is more than fair considering the wide gap in starting pitching. Back Cleveland to cover today.

Pick: Guardians -1.5 (-135) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.35 units to win 1 unit.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Diamondbacks @ Marlins

O/U: 7 | Moneyline: MIA -134
ARI: Zac Gallen | MIA: Sandy Alcantara

We'll head down to Miami for our second play of the day, this time a first inning under.

The visiting Diamondbacks will send righty Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA) to the mound. Gallen has been good in the first inning this season, going 2-0 so far on the road and 3-0 overall. He'll take on a Marlins lineup that's scored in just two of eight first innings at home and in just three of 14 overall.

The aforementioned Marlins will be sending reigning Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara (1-1, 5.79 ERA) to the mound. Alcantara got roughed up in his last start against the Phillies, allowing nine earned runs across four innings. He didn't allow a first-inning run, though, and hasn't in any of his three starts. The DBacks have scored in six of 14 first innings on the young season, but I don't expect Sandy's troubles from Monday night to carry over into this start.

As expected, the NRFI is juiced no matter which book you're looking at. We'll grab it on FanDuel though, where we can get it at -146.

Pick: First Inning Under 0.5 Runs, FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.46 units to win 1 unit.

Good luck, RotoBallers, and follow my Twitter for more plays!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Carlos Estévez5 hours ago

Carlos Estevez Feels Great After Cactus League Debut
Jon Gray5 hours ago

Leaves Game Friday After Being Hit By Comebacker
Kevin Porter Jr.6 hours ago

Expected To Be Available Saturday
Atlanta Falcons6 hours ago

Falcons Agree To Terms With Morgan Fox
Damian Lillard6 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Saturday's Game
Giannis Antetokounmpo6 hours ago

Probable For Saturday
Lonzo Ball6 hours ago

Remains Out For Saturday
Indianapolis Colts6 hours ago

Colts Sign Corey Ballentine To One-Year Deal On Friday
Trendon Watford7 hours ago

Will Miss Saturday's Game
Chet Holmgren7 hours ago

Resting Versus Detroit
Nicolas Claxton7 hours ago

Resting On Saturday
Pittsburgh Steelers7 hours ago

Brandin Echols Signs Two-Year Deal With Steelers
Josh Giddey7 hours ago

Not Likely To Play Saturday
Noah Clowney7 hours ago

To Remain Out Against Celtics
Kenny Yeboah7 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Lions
Avery Williams7 hours ago

Signs With Eagles
Cam Thomas7 hours ago

Sits Out First Leg Of Back-To-Back Saturday
Jalen Williams7 hours ago

Still Out On Saturday
Coby White7 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Saturday
Kene Nwangwu7 hours ago

Jets Re-Sign Kene Nwangwu To One-Year Deal
Cody Martin7 hours ago

Cleared To Return Friday
Eli White7 hours ago

Appears Likely To Open Season In Utility Role
Trey Lyles7 hours ago

Misses Friday's Game Due To Back Soreness
Tommy Henry7 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Grayson Allen7 hours ago

Not Playing Friday
Trey Jemison III7 hours ago

Unavailable Against Nuggets
Blake Walston7 hours ago

To Have Tommy John Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski7 hours ago

Brewers Reassign Jacob Misiorowski To Minor-League Camp
Gabe Vincent7 hours ago

Sits Out Friday's Game
Nick Richards7 hours ago

Sitting Out On Friday
Dorian Finney-Smith8 hours ago

Sidelined On Friday
Erik Swanson8 hours ago

Diagnosed With "Median Nerve Entrapment"
Domantas Sabonis8 hours ago

Back In Action On Friday
Shane Baz8 hours ago

Not Worried About Spring Training Results
Zeke Nnaji8 hours ago

Active On Friday
Mason Adams9 hours ago

Exits With Elbow Injury
Will Klein9 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A Tacoma
Simi Fehoko9 hours ago

Signing With Cardinals
Kylen Granson9 hours ago

Headed To Philadelphia
Jared Shuster10 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Sterling Shepard10 hours ago

Remaining With Buccaneers
José Buttó10 hours ago

Jose Butto Dealing With Groin Injury
Cincinnati Bengals10 hours ago

Bengals Not Ruling Out Trey Hendrickson Extension
Wenceel Pérez10 hours ago

Wenceel Perez Receives Injection, Expected To Be Ready For Opening Day
Jose Trevino10 hours ago

Exits Early On Friday
Cooper Kupp10 hours ago

Signing With Seahawks
Jake Cronenworth10 hours ago

Not Expected To Play First Base
Lance McCullers Jr.10 hours ago

To Make Grapefruit League Debut On Tuesday
Giancarlo Stanton10 hours ago

Dealing With Minor Calf Injury
Jacob deGrom11 hours ago

Throws In Minor-League Game On Friday
Wilyer Abreu11 hours ago

To Make Spring Debut On Saturday, Could Be Ready For Opening Day
Grayson Rodriguez11 hours ago

Should Begin Throwing Progression Next Week
Karel Vejmelka11 hours ago

Makes Ninth Consecutive Start Friday
Kyle Wright11 hours ago

Hoping To Face Live Hitters Next Week
Dustin Wolf11 hours ago

Set To Face Avalanche Friday
Mikael Backlund11 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
Sam Colangelo11 hours ago

Deemed Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Michael Bunting11 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Dallas Cowboys11 hours ago

Dante Fowler Jr. Heading Back To Cowboys
Andrei Svechnikov12 hours ago

Expected To Return Next Week
Nikolaj Ehlers12 hours ago

Good To Go Against Stars
Buffalo Bills12 hours ago

Larry Ogunjobi, Michael Hoecht Both Facing Six-Game PED Suspensions
Tee Higgins13 hours ago

Bengals Making Headway On Contracts For Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase
Ben Skowronek13 hours ago

Back With Steelers
Minnesota Vikings13 hours ago

Eric Wilson Returns To Minnesota
Pharaoh Brown13 hours ago

Heading To Miami
Minnesota Vikings13 hours ago

Justin Skule Signs With Vikings
Mackenzie Blackwood14 hours ago

Battling Illness, Not Starting On Friday
Rasmus Ristolainen14 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Upper-Body Injury
Lian Bichsel14 hours ago

Not Playing On Friday
Josh Norris15 hours ago

Undergoing Evaluation
JJ Peterka15 hours ago

Not Playing On Saturday
Neal Pionk15 hours ago

Viewed As Week-To-Week
Kareem Hunt15 hours ago

Chiefs Bring Back Kareem Hunt On One-Year Deal
Philadelphia Eagles15 hours ago

Eagles Open To Trading Bryce Huff
Cooper Kupp15 hours ago

Asking For $15 Million Per Year
Roman Dolidze19 hours ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori20 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani20 hours ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos20 hours ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh20 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez21 hours ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson21 hours ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear21 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Quinton Byfield21 hours ago

Scores In Fifth Straight Game
Jesper Bratt21 hours ago

Posts Second Straight Three-Point Performance
Brendson Ribeiro21 hours ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Tristan Jarry22 hours ago

Picks Up Third Straight Victory
Diyar Nurgozhay22 hours ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Adin Hill22 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Blue Jackets On Thursday
MMA22 hours ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Sam Bennett22 hours ago

Strikes Twice In Victory
Brady Tkachuk22 hours ago

Suffers Minor Injury On Thursday
Kevin Vallejos22 hours ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Charlie Lindgren1 day ago

Gets The Nod Against Kings Thursday
Filip Gustavsson1 day ago

Starts Against Rangers Thursday
Jacob Bridgeman3 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard3 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips3 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith3 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala3 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick3 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler3 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter3 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim3 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy3 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa3 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre3 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth3 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young3 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim3 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas3 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele3 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy3 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA3 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman3 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee3 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Power-Steering Failure Foils Tyler Reddick's Bid For Potential Victory
William Byron5 days ago

Recovers From Being Trapped A Lap Down To Finish Sixth
Josh Berry5 days ago

Gives Wood Brothers Team Best Run Since 2021
Alex Pereira5 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev5 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Justin Gaethje5 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev5 days ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Ignacio Bahamondes5 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Scores His Third Consecutive Victory Of The Season At Phoenix
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Strong Phoenix Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Chris Buescher5 days ago

Quietly Earns A Top-Five Finish At Phoenix
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Leaves Phoenix With His Best Finish At The Site Since 2016
Zane Smith5 days ago

Quietly Nabs His First Phoenix Top-10 Finish
Jalin Turner5 days ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
Iasmin Lucindo5 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 313
Amanda Lemos5 days ago

Dominates At UFC 313
King Green5 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC 313
Chase Elliott6 days ago

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Phoenix This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano6 days ago

Will Be A Top Contender To Win At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Is Difficult to Recommend As A DFS Option
Carson Hocevar6 days ago

Is Not An Ideal Driver To Add To Phoenix DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski6 days ago

Is A Solid DFS Choice For Phoenix Lineups
Austin Cindric6 days ago

Could Be Worth Using In Phoenix Tournament Lineups
Kyle Busch6 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Kyle Busch At Phoenix?
Michael McDowell6 days ago

Is Michael McDowell Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ty Gibbs6 days ago

Is A DFS Recommendation Despite Inconsistent Track History At Phoenix
Austin Dillon6 days ago

Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering In DFS For Phoenix This Week?
Cole Custer6 days ago

Is An Underrated DFS Value Pick For Phoenix Lineups
Tyler Reddick6 days ago

DFS Value Likely Hinges On How Much He Leads
Chase Briscoe6 days ago

Despite Strong Phoenix Record, Chase Briscoe Qualifies Inexplicably Poorly
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF